Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
70.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
79.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.9%
|
- |
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
America Mineiro
4 matches
Sport Recife
4 matches
| America Mineiro | Statistic | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 0 |
| 3 | Goals For | 5 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 2.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.75 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 15.25 | Total Shots | 14.25 |
| 7.5 | Corners | 5.25 |
| 63% | Ball Possession | 54.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sport Recife's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sport Recife carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 6 points while America Mineiro sit 20 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. America Mineiro have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with America Mineiro expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sport Recife in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Recife having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sport Recife.
America Mineiro sit 20 with 1 points after 4 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 3:9 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), with creative support from Willian Bigode (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sport Recife sit 11 with 6 points after 4 league matches. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 5:4 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Chrystian Barletta (2 goals), Pedro Perotti (2 goals), de Pena Carlos (1 goals), with creative support from Augusto (1 assists), Felipinho (1 assists), Marlon Douglas (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, America Mineiro won 7 times, Sport Recife won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:11 from America Mineiro's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.
America Mineiro
6
0
5
5
6
4
Lineups
America Mineiro
Avai
America Mineiro
Ceara
America Mineiro
Londrina
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
Juventude
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
CRB
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
Goias
Sport Recife
Goias
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Juventude
Sport Recife
CRB
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ceara
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
Avai
Sport Recife
Londrina
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
Ceara
America Mineiro
Londrina
America Mineiro
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
CRB
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
Goias
Sport Recife
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
Juventude
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Londrina
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 27:22 | 5 | 35 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 21:12 | 9 | 32 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 31 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Sport Recife
Away
|
19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 24:18 | 6 | 28 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25:19 | 6 | 27 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 27 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29:32 | -3 | 26 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24:24 | 0 | 24 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 24 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 20 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 19 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14:38 | -24 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 |
America Mineiro
Home
|
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13:31 | -18 | 8 |
L
D
D
L
L
|