Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
America Mineiro
24 matches
Ponte Preta
24 matches
| America Mineiro | Statistic | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 17 | Losses | 18 |
| 16 | Goals For | 16 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.08 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.21 | Shots On Goal | 3.38 |
| 12.46 | Total Shots | 10.58 |
| 5.42 | Corners | 4.83 |
| 53.5% | Ball Possession | 43.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ponte Preta. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with America Mineiro expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Ponte Preta in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ponte Preta having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
America Mineiro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 11 points from 23 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 16 defeats with a 16:39 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gonzalo Mastriani (4 goals), Matías Segovia (2 goals), Paulo Victor (2 goals), with creative support from Matías Segovia (2 assists), Willian Bigode (2 assists), Gonzalo Mastriani (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 10 points from 23 games and a place of 20, Ponte Preta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 16:48 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Elvis (2 goals), Brandão (2 goals), William Pottker (2 goals), with creative support from Elvis (3 assists), Diego Tavares (3 assists), Brandão (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, America Mineiro won 7 times, Ponte Preta won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:8 from America Mineiro's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
Goias
America Mineiro
Avai
America Mineiro
Ceara
America Mineiro
Londrina
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
Juventude
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
CRB
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
Goias
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
CRB
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Avai
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Goias
America Mineiro
Ceara
America Mineiro
Londrina
America Mineiro
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
CRB
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta
CRB
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 |
America Mineiro
Home
|
24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Away
|
24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|