BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Independência
Referee: A. Furtado
America Mineiro
Match Timeline
CRB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Felipe Amaral
America Mineiro
🟨
8'
Paulinho
America Mineiro
10'
Emerson Santos · Assist: Paulinho
America Mineiro
VAR
12'
Emerson Santos
America Mineiro
🟨
36'
Douglas Baggio
CRB
41'
Dada Belmonte
CRB
🟨
45+3'
Mikael
CRB
🔄
55'
Felipe Amaral ↔ Ale
America Mineiro
🔄
59'
Douglas Baggio ↔ Thiaguinho
CRB
🟨
64'
Nathan Cardoso
America Mineiro
🔄
67'
M. Segovia ↔ K. Dorna
America Mineiro
🔄
67'
Eduardo Person ↔ Yago Souza
America Mineiro
🔄
70'
Mikael ↔ Luiz Phellype
CRB
🔄
70'
Pedro Castro ↔ Guilherme Estrella
CRB
🔄
75'
Gonzalo Mastriani ↔ Willian Bigode
America Mineiro
🔄
75'
Yago Santos ↔ Jhonatan Lima
America Mineiro
🔄
81'
Dada Belmonte ↔ Guilherme Pato
CRB
84'
Guilherme Pato · Assist: Guilherme Estrella
CRB
🟨
88'
Guilherme Estrella
CRB
🟨
90+5'
Thauan Willians
America Mineiro
🟨
90+5'
Danielzinho
CRB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 84.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 31.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
84.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
31.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
America Mineiro Win 15.2%
Draw 45.8%
CRB Win 39%
Expected Goals (xG)
America Mineiro1.03
CRB1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WWDLW
3 GF / 10 GA
CRB CRB
WLDWL
6 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
4.83
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America Mineiro America Mineiro 6 matches
CRB CRB 6 matches
America Mineiro Statistic CRB
0 Wins 0
2 Draws 2
4 Losses 4
3 Goals For 6
10 Goals Against 11
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
3 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 2
4.83 Shots On Goal 4.33
14.83 Total Shots 13.33
8 Corners 3
61.8% Ball Possession 56.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with America Mineiro expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and CRB in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CRB having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward CRB.

America Mineiro Analysis

America Mineiro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 2 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 3:10 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), with creative support from Willian Bigode (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

CRB Analysis

CRB sit 19 with 2 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 6:11, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Mikael (2 goals), Dadá Belmonte (1 goals), Douglas Baggio (1 goals), with creative support from Hereda (2 assists), De Lucca (1 assists), Lucas Lovat (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, America Mineiro won 9 times, CRB won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:11 from America Mineiro's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: America Mineiro 4-1-4-1 / CRB 4-3-3
H2H summary: America Mineiro wins 9, draws 2, CRB wins 4
Stats
America Mineiro America Mineiro
CRB CRB
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 4
18 Fouls 20
1 Offsides 0
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Goal 8
4 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 6
6 Goalkeeper Saves 3
358 Total passes 460
297 Passes accurate 395
0.84 expected_goals 1.59
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

America Mineiro
Formation
CRB
Gustavo
Gustavo
Leo Alaba
Leo Alaba
Nathan Pelae
Nathan Pelae
Emerson Santos
Emerson Santos
Paulinho
🎯
Paulinho
Felipe Amaral
Felipe Amaral
M. Segovia
M. Segovia
Eduardo Person
Eduardo Person
Yago Santos
Yago Santos
Thauan
Thauan
Gonzalo Mastriani
Gonzalo Mastriani
Matheus Albino
Matheus Albino
Hereda
Hereda
Henri
Henri
Wallace
Wallace
Lucas Lovat
Lucas Lovat
Douglas Baggio
Douglas Baggio
Pedro Castro
Pedro Castro
De Lucca
De Lucca
Danielzinho
Danielzinho
Dada Belmonte
Dada Belmonte
Mikael
Mikael
America Mineiro 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Gustavo
G
22
Leo Alaba
D
3
Nathan Pelae
🟨 64'
D
2
Emerson Santos
⚽ 10'
D
6
Paulinho
🎯 10' 🟨 8'
D
8
Felipe Amaral
↓ 55' 🟨 5'
M
77
M. Segovia
↓ 67'
M
21
Eduardo Person
↓ 67'
M
33
Yago Santos
↓ 75'
M
11
Thauan
17
Gonzalo Mastriani
↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
19
William
G
9
Willian Bigode
↑ 75'
F
16
Ale
↑ 55'
M
20
Paulo Victor
F
88
Jhonatan Lima
↑ 75'
F
70
K. Dorna
↑ 67'
M
10
Yago Souza
↑ 67'
M
80
Pedro Paranhos
55
O. Goncalves
M
44
Thallyson
D
30
L. Montes
D
CRB 4-5-1
Starting XI
12
Matheus Albino
G
32
Hereda
D
44
Henri
D
82
Wallace
D
36
Lucas Lovat
D
7
Douglas Baggio
↓ 59' 🟨 36'
M
21
Pedro Castro
↓ 70'
M
45
De Lucca
M
10
Danielzinho
🟨 90+5'
M
97
Dada Belmonte
⚽ 41' ↓ 81'
M
28
Mikael
↓ 70' 🟨 45+3'
F
Substitutes
1
Vitor Caetano
G
2
Kevin
D
50
Luizao
M
33
Lyncon
D
22
Bressan
D
19
Luiz Phellype
↑ 70'
F
17
Thiaguinho
↑ 59'
F
11
Guilherme Pato
⚽ 84' ↑ 81'
F
14
Guilherme Estrella
🎯 84' ↑ 70' 🟨 88'
M
18
Guilherme
F
60
Maycon
D
Last matches: America Mineiro
08.08.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
W
21.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Avai
1
2
L
17.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ceara
1
1
D
13.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Londrina
1
1
D
02.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
0
1
L
23.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Criciuma
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
08.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Juventude
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
0
4
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
3
L
Last matches: CRB
27.07.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
CRB
Ceara
1
0
W
16.07.26
Ser
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
CRB
Goias
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
CRB
Londrina
0
5
L
30.06.26
Ser
CRB
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ser
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
3
3
D
07.06.26
Ser
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
CRB
Cuiaba
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
2
D
H2H: America Mineiro vs CRB
03.05.26
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
L
18.10.25
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
1
D
27.06.25
H2H
CRB
America Mineiro
1
2
W
29.09.24
H2H
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
L
15.06.24
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
2
1
W
26.12.20
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
0
W
28.09.20
H2H
CRB
America Mineiro
0
0
D
03.10.19
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
0
W
08.06.19
H2H
CRB
America Mineiro
1
3
W
25.11.17
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
0
W
05.08.17
H2H
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
L
15.09.15
H2H
CRB
America Mineiro
1
0
L
14.06.15
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
0
W
02.09.12
H2H
CRB
America Mineiro
0
1
W
26.05.12
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
4
0
W
Last matches: America Mineiro
26.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
W
17.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ceara
1
1
D
13.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Londrina
1
1
D
23.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Criciuma
0
1
L
08.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
01.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
H2H at home: America Mineiro
03.05.26
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
L
18.10.25
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
1
D
15.06.24
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
2
1
W
26.12.20
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
0
W
03.10.19
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
0
W
25.11.17
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
0
W
14.06.15
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
0
W
26.05.12
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
4
0
W
Last matches: CRB
22.07.26
Ser
CRB
Ceara
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
CRB
Londrina
0
5
L
30.06.26
Ser
CRB
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
12.06.26
Ser
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
3
3
D
31.05.26
Ser
CRB
Cuiaba
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
2
D
H2H away: CRB
03.05.26
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
W
18.10.25
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
1
D
15.06.24
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
2
1
L
26.12.20
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
0
L
03.10.19
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
0
L
25.11.17
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
0
L
14.06.15
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
1
0
L
26.05.12
H2H
America Mineiro
CRB
4
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 11 7 3 23:14 9 40
L D W W W
2 21 11 5 5 23:12 11 38
W W L W W
3 21 10 5 6 24:20 4 35
D W L W L
4 21 10 5 6 29:28 1 35
L L W D W
5 21 10 4 7 27:25 2 34
L L W L L
6 21 9 6 6 32:20 12 33
L W L L L
7 21 9 5 7 22:26 -4 32
W L D W D
8 21 8 8 5 24:21 3 32
D W W D W
9 21 7 11 3 26:19 7 32
W D D D D
10 21 7 10 4 21:18 3 31
W D W D D
11 21 8 6 7 31:24 7 30
W L L D D
12
CRB Away
20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
13 21 7 6 8 26:22 4 27
W L W D D
14 21 7 5 9 25:25 0 26
D D W L L
15 21 5 11 5 16:16 0 26
D D L L D
16 21 6 7 8 22:25 -3 25
W W L D D
17 21 5 5 11 27:32 -5 20
L L L D D
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 21 2 5 14 15:33 -18 11
L W L D D
20 21 2 3 16 15:41 -26 9
L D L L L
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