COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.4%
Odds 1.58
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.17
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.4%
1.58
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.17
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.8%
1.29
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
America de Cali Win 85.4%
Draw 4.2%
Fortaleza FC Win 10.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
America de Cali1.39
Fortaleza FC0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
America de Cali America de Cali
WWDLW
41 GF / 23 GA
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC
WLDWL
26 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
10
BTTS Yes
16
11
Over 2.5
10
4.68
Shots on Goal
3.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America de Cali America de Cali 29 matches
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 23 matches
America de Cali Statistic Fortaleza FC
16 Wins 6
5 Draws 9
8 Losses 8
41 Goals For 26
23 Goals Against 31
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
10 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 4
15 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
4.68 Shots On Goal 3.91
13.56 Total Shots 12.04
3.64 Corners 4.3
54.5% Ball Possession 54.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by America de Cali's more proactive style and Fortaleza FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with America de Cali expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Fortaleza FC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza FC having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fortaleza FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. America de Cali arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 33 points compared to Fortaleza FC in 15 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

America de Cali Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 33 points from 19 games, America de Cali bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 25:15, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Yeison Guzmán (3 goals), Dany Rosero (3 goals), Kevin Angulo (2 goals), with creative support from Luis Quiñones (2 assists), Rafael Carrascal (2 assists), Tomás Ángel (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Fortaleza FC Analysis

With 22 points from 19 games and a place of 15, Fortaleza FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 22:27 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Richardson Rivas (2 goals), Joan Cajares (1 goals), J. Solís (1 goals), with creative support from Yesid Díaz (1 assists), Santiago Vivas (1 assists), Andres Copete (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, America de Cali won 2 times, Fortaleza FC won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from America de Cali's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: America de Cali 4-4-2 / Fortaleza FC 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: America de Cali wins 2, draws 2, Fortaleza FC wins 1
Last matches: America de Cali
29.08.26
Pri
America de Cali
Jaguares
2
2
D
26.08.26
Pri
America de Cali
Junior
4
2
W
22.08.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
0
0
D
10.08.26
Pri
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
06.08.26
Pri
America de Cali
Once Caldas
1
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
America de Cali
Chico
7
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
America de Cali
Internacional de Bogota
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
0
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Cali
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Millonarios
3
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Cucuta
0
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Bucaramanga
2
0
W
30.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Llaneros
0
0
D
Last matches: Fortaleza FC
26.08.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Chico
0
0
D
23.08.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
2
0
W
04.08.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Llaneros
1
3
L
01.08.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
26.07.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Independiente Medellin
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
America de Cali
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Águilas Doradas
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
31.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Millonarios
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
L
19.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Junior
1
2
L
05.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Jaguares
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Cali
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Once Caldas
2
4
L
16.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Chico
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Atletico Nacional
1
4
L
H2H: America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC
16.08.26
H2H
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
23.04.26
H2H
Fortaleza FC
America de Cali
1
2
W
13.09.25
H2H
Fortaleza FC
America de Cali
1
0
L
31.03.25
H2H
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
1
0
W
29.09.24
H2H
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
18.03.24
H2H
Fortaleza FC
America de Cali
0
0
D
Last matches: America de Cali
26.08.26
Pri
America de Cali
Junior
4
2
W
10.08.26
Pri
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
America de Cali
Chico
7
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Millonarios
3
1
W
02.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Bucaramanga
2
0
W
26.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Llaneros
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportes Tolima
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Jaguares
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pri
America de Cali
Once Caldas
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pri
America de Cali
Internacional de Bogota
3
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
America de Cali
Once Caldas
1
1
D
08.12.25
Pri
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
3
2
W
27.11.25
Pri
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
24.11.25
Pri
America de Cali
Junior
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pri
America de Cali
Union Magdalena
3
0
W
25.10.25
Pri
America de Cali
Junior
2
1
W
12.10.25
Pri
America de Cali
Internacional de Bogota
3
2
W
H2H at home: America de Cali
16.08.26
H2H
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
31.03.25
H2H
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
1
0
W
29.09.24
H2H
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Fortaleza FC
26.08.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Chico
0
0
D
04.08.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Llaneros
1
3
L
26.07.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Independiente Medellin
0
1
L
31.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Millonarios
2
2
D
19.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Junior
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Cali
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Once Caldas
2
4
L
13.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Atletico Nacional
1
4
L
31.01.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
08.12.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportes Tolima
0
1
L
26.11.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
22.11.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Santa Fe
0
3
L
14.11.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Union Magdalena
0
2
L
29.10.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Internacional de Bogota
1
0
W
17.10.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Independiente Medellin
1
3
L
04.10.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Llaneros
0
0
D
21.09.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Millonarios
2
3
L
H2H away: Fortaleza FC
16.08.26
H2H
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
31.03.25
H2H
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
1
0
L
29.09.24
H2H
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.10
Draw 3.69
Home 1.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 1.75 1.48
Over 2.0 1.63
Over 2.25 1.91
Over 2.5 2.17
Over 2.75 2.52
Over 3.5 3.87
Under 1.5 2.93
Under 1.75 2.61
Under 2.0 2.25
Under 2.25 1.88
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 2.75 1.51
Under 3.5 1.24
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.75
Draw 3.75
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.20
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.40
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.15
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.01
Draw 3.70
Home 1.57
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.73
Draw 2.07
Home 2.14
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.89
Draw 2.44
Home 1.92
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.18
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.56
Over 2.25 1.87
Over 2.5 2.14
Over 2.75 2.43
Over 3.0 3.06
Over 3.25 3.37
Over 3.5 3.78
Over 3.75 4.80
Over 4.0 6.95
Over 4.25 7.39
Over 4.5 7.80
Under 0.5 8.40
Under 0.75 7.65
Under 1.0 6.85
Under 1.25 3.88
Under 1.5 2.88
Under 1.75 2.56
Under 2.0 2.20
Under 2.25 1.88
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 2.75 1.46
Under 3.0 1.30
Under 3.25 1.24
Under 3.5 1.19
Under 3.75 1.12
Under 4.0 1.04
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.02
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.40
Draw 4.00
Home 1.52
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.75
Draw 2.28
Home 2.02
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.10
Draw 2.65
Home 1.89
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.0 1.44
Over 2.25 1.67
Over 2.5 1.89
Over 2.75 2.15
Over 3.0 2.60
Over 3.25 2.90
Over 3.5 3.20
Over 3.75 3.90
Over 4.0 5.20
Over 4.25 5.50
Over 4.5 5.75
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.0 2.55
Under 2.25 2.04
Under 2.5 1.78
Under 2.75 1.60
Under 3.0 1.42
Under 3.25 1.34
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 3.75 1.20
Under 4.0 1.11
Under 4.25 1.10
Under 4.5 1.09

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D L D L L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D W D W W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D D L D W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D W L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
D D W D L
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D D L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
L D W L W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D W W L
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W W L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D D W W W
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D W D D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L W D W D
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D L W L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D W D L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L D L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D L L L W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W D L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D D L L W
Post season qualification