BRAZIL SERIE D
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Altos
Match Timeline
Ferroviario
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
38'
Robinho
Altos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
52.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Altos Win 52.9%
Draw 7.6%
Ferroviario Win 39.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Altos0.6
Ferroviario1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Altos Altos
WWDLW
0 GF / 3 GA
Ferroviario Ferroviario
WLDWL
4 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0
Average Goals Scored
2
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
0
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Altos Altos 2 matches
Ferroviario Ferroviario 2 matches
Altos Statistic Ferroviario
0 Wins 1
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 0
0 Goals For 4
3 Goals Against 3
0 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
0 BTTS Yes 2
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Ferroviario's more proactive style and Altos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Ferroviario carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 4 points while Altos sit 5 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ferroviario. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ferroviario having the stronger overall control.

Altos Analysis

Altos come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 1 points from 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, while the 0:3 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ferroviario Analysis

Placed 2 with 4 points from 2 outings, Ferroviario continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 4:3 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luan (1 goals), Lucas Black (1 goals), Matheus Galdezani (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Altos won 2 times, Ferroviario won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:11 from Altos's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
H2H summary: Altos wins 2, draws 2, Ferroviario wins 4
Last matches: Altos
28.06.26
Ser
Altos
ABC
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Altos
ABC
0
1
L
13.06.26
Ser
Altos
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
3
2
W
31.05.26
Ser
Altos
Fluminense PI
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Altos
Ferroviario
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Altos
Piauí
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Altos
Tirol/CEFAT
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Altos
Tirol/CEFAT
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Altos
Piauí
1
3
L
12.04.26
Ser
Altos
Fluminense PI
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Altos
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
0
0
D
24.08.25
Ser
Altos
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
18.08.25
Ser
Altos
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Altos
Independência
3
1
W
03.08.25
Ser
Altos
Independência
5
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Altos
Maranhão
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Altos
Tocantinópolis
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
Altos
Parnahyba
4
2
W
06.07.25
Ser
Altos
Maracanã
3
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
Altos
Iguatu
2
1
W
Last matches: Ferroviario
04.07.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Imperatriz
1
1
D
28.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
01.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Tirol/CEFAT
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Altos
3
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
2
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Piauí
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Piauí
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Tirol/CEFAT
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Fluminense PI
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Ferroviario
ASA
0
2
L
02.08.25
Ser
Ferroviario
ASA
0
1
L
27.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
0
0
D
19.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Santa Cruz RN
2
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Horizonte
0
2
L
05.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Sousa
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Treze
1
1
D
16.06.25
Ser
Ferroviario
America-RN
2
3
L
H2H: Altos vs Ferroviario
23.05.26
H2H
Ferroviario
Altos
3
1
L
18.04.26
H2H
Altos
Ferroviario
1
0
W
19.02.25
H2H
Ferroviario
Altos
1
0
L
12.06.22
H2H
Altos
Ferroviario
1
0
W
06.08.21
H2H
Altos
Ferroviario
1
1
D
05.06.21
H2H
Ferroviario
Altos
1
0
L
23.06.18
H2H
Altos
Ferroviario
2
4
L
18.06.18
H2H
Ferroviario
Altos
1
1
D
Last matches: Altos
21.06.26
Ser
Altos
ABC
0
1
L
13.06.26
Ser
Altos
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
3
2
W
16.05.26
Ser
Altos
Piauí
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Altos
Tirol/CEFAT
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Altos
Fluminense PI
0
3
L
24.08.25
Ser
Altos
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
Altos
Independência
3
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Altos
Maranhão
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
Altos
Parnahyba
4
2
W
28.06.25
Ser
Altos
Iguatu
2
1
W
11.06.25
Ser
Altos
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
24.05.25
Ser
Altos
Imperatriz
1
1
D
10.05.25
Ser
Altos
Maracanã
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Altos
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
H2H at home: Altos
18.04.26
H2H
Altos
Ferroviario
1
0
W
12.06.22
H2H
Altos
Ferroviario
1
0
W
06.08.21
H2H
Altos
Ferroviario
1
1
D
23.06.18
H2H
Altos
Ferroviario
2
4
L
Last matches: Ferroviario
04.07.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Imperatriz
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
1
1
D
01.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Tirol/CEFAT
0
0
D
11.05.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Piauí
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Fluminense PI
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Ferroviario
ASA
0
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Santa Cruz RN
2
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Horizonte
0
2
L
16.06.25
Ser
Ferroviario
America-RN
2
3
L
01.06.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Santa Cruz
1
3
L
18.05.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Treze
0
1
L
11.05.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Sousa
0
4
L
20.04.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
1
2
L
H2H away: Ferroviario
18.04.26
H2H
Altos
Ferroviario
1
0
L
12.06.22
H2H
Altos
Ferroviario
1
0
L
06.08.21
H2H
Altos
Ferroviario
1
1
D
23.06.18
H2H
Altos
Ferroviario
2
4
W

Standings

Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4
Altos Home
10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)