AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 84.2%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
84.2%
1.50
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.47
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Altona Magic Win 10.1%
Draw 5.6%
Avondale Win 84.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Altona Magic1.25
Avondale2.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Altona Magic Altona Magic
WWDLW
27 GF / 39 GA
Avondale Avondale
WLDWL
61 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
2.54
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
14
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Altona Magic Altona Magic 24 matches
Avondale Avondale 24 matches
Altona Magic Statistic Avondale
7 Wins 13
6 Draws 2
11 Losses 9
27 Goals For 61
39 Goals Against 34
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 2.54
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
14 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 23
11 Over 2.5 17
8 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Avondale's more proactive style and Altona Magic's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Avondale having the stronger overall control. Avondale carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 41 points while Altona Magic sit 11 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Avondale.

Altona Magic Analysis

So far, Altona Magic have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 27 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, while the 27:39 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Avondale Analysis

Avondale arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 41 points after 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, while the 59:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Altona Magic won 1 times, Avondale won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:35 from Altona Magic's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.15 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
H2H summary: Altona Magic wins 1, draws 1, Avondale wins 11
Last matches: Altona Magic
14.08.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Dandenong City
0
2
L
01.08.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Sunshine Georgies
1
1
D
25.07.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Dandenong Thunder
2
0
W
18.07.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Heidelberg United
0
0
D
10.07.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Green Gully
3
1
W
04.07.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Melbourne City II
0
3
L
26.06.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Bentleigh Greens
1
0
W
21.06.26
Vic
Altona Magic
St. Albans Saints
1
2
L
07.06.26
Vic
Altona Magic
South Melbourne
3
2
W
30.05.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Oakleigh Cannons
0
2
L
23.05.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Hume City
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Preston Lions
1
0
W
09.05.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Avondale
1
5
L
02.05.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Dandenong City
1
0
W
25.04.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Sunshine Georgies
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Dandenong Thunder
2
4
L
11.04.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Heidelberg United
2
2
D
28.03.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Green Gully
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Melbourne City II
1
1
D
14.03.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Bentleigh Greens
0
2
L
Last matches: Avondale
15.08.26
Vic
Avondale
Sunshine Georgies
2
3
L
01.08.26
Vic
Avondale
Heidelberg United
2
1
W
25.07.26
Vic
Avondale
Melbourne City II
3
2
W
18.07.26
Vic
Avondale
St. Albans Saints
1
1
D
10.07.26
Vic
Avondale
Oakleigh Cannons
0
2
L
04.07.26
Vic
Avondale
Preston Lions
2
3
L
26.06.26
Vic
Avondale
Dandenong City
1
3
L
20.06.26
Vic
Avondale
Dandenong Thunder
11
0
W
05.06.26
Vic
Avondale
Green Gully
2
0
W
30.05.26
Vic
Avondale
Bentleigh Greens
4
0
W
25.05.26
Vic
Avondale
South Melbourne
4
0
W
16.05.26
Vic
Avondale
Hume City
0
3
L
09.05.26
Vic
Avondale
Altona Magic
5
1
W
02.05.26
Vic
Avondale
Sunshine Georgies
5
2
W
24.04.26
Vic
Avondale
Heidelberg United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Vic
Avondale
Melbourne City II
3
1
W
10.04.26
Vic
Avondale
St. Albans Saints
3
2
W
28.03.26
Vic
Avondale
Oakleigh Cannons
1
1
D
20.03.26
Vic
Avondale
Preston Lions
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vic
Avondale
Dandenong City
4
1
W
H2H: Altona Magic vs Avondale
09.05.26
H2H
Avondale
Altona Magic
5
1
L
26.07.25
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
0
1
L
12.04.25
H2H
Avondale
Altona Magic
4
0
L
06.07.24
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
1
0
W
06.04.24
H2H
Avondale
Altona Magic
4
0
L
27.05.23
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
2
5
L
25.02.23
H2H
Avondale
Altona Magic
3
0
L
16.07.22
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
0
1
L
16.04.22
H2H
Avondale
Altona Magic
3
0
L
04.09.21
H2H
Avondale
Altona Magic
0
0
D
06.03.21
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
2
2
D
22.02.20
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
0
2
L
03.08.19
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
0
2
L
04.05.19
H2H
Avondale
Altona Magic
3
0
L
Last matches: Altona Magic
01.08.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Sunshine Georgies
1
1
D
18.07.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Heidelberg United
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Melbourne City II
0
3
L
30.05.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Oakleigh Cannons
0
2
L
23.05.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Hume City
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Preston Lions
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Dandenong City
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Dandenong Thunder
2
4
L
28.03.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Green Gully
1
1
D
14.03.26
Vic
Altona Magic
Bentleigh Greens
0
2
L
07.03.26
Vic
Altona Magic
St. Albans Saints
0
1
L
28.02.26
Vic
Altona Magic
South Melbourne
1
2
L
16.08.25
Vic
Altona Magic
Port Melbourne
4
0
W
26.07.25
Vic
Altona Magic
Avondale
0
1
L
05.07.25
Vic
Altona Magic
Heidelberg United
0
2
L
14.06.25
Vic
Altona Magic
Hume City
1
1
D
31.05.25
Vic
Altona Magic
Preston Lions
0
2
L
17.05.25
Vic
Altona Magic
Melbourne Victory II
1
0
W
10.05.25
Vic
Altona Magic
Melbourne Knights
4
0
W
25.04.25
Vic
Altona Magic
Oakleigh Cannons
1
2
L
H2H at home: Altona Magic
26.07.25
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
0
1
L
06.07.24
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
1
0
W
27.05.23
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
2
5
L
16.07.22
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
0
1
L
06.03.21
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
2
2
D
22.02.20
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
0
2
L
03.08.19
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
0
2
L
Last matches: Avondale
15.08.26
Vic
Avondale
Sunshine Georgies
2
3
L
25.07.26
Vic
Avondale
Melbourne City II
3
2
W
10.07.26
Vic
Avondale
Oakleigh Cannons
0
2
L
26.06.26
Vic
Avondale
Dandenong City
1
3
L
05.06.26
Vic
Avondale
Green Gully
2
0
W
25.05.26
Vic
Avondale
South Melbourne
4
0
W
16.05.26
Vic
Avondale
Hume City
0
3
L
24.04.26
Vic
Avondale
Heidelberg United
1
2
L
10.04.26
Vic
Avondale
St. Albans Saints
3
2
W
20.03.26
Vic
Avondale
Preston Lions
1
2
L
07.03.26
Vic
Avondale
Dandenong Thunder
1
0
W
20.02.26
Vic
Avondale
Bentleigh Greens
0
2
L
01.11.25
Aus
Avondale
Canberra FC
4
1
W
24.10.25
Aus
Avondale
Preston Lions
0
0
D
19.10.25
Aus
Avondale
NWS Spirit
3
3
D
17.08.25
Vic
Avondale
South Melbourne
5
0
W
26.07.25
Vic
Avondale
Altona Magic
1
0
W
04.07.25
Vic
Avondale
Hume City
2
1
W
22.06.25
Vic
Avondale
Preston Lions
1
1
D
09.06.25
Vic
Avondale
Melbourne Victory II
3
2
W
H2H away: Avondale
26.07.25
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
0
1
W
06.07.24
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
1
0
L
27.05.23
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
2
5
W
16.07.22
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
0
1
W
06.03.21
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
2
2
D
22.02.20
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
0
2
W
03.08.19
H2H
Altona Magic
Avondale
0
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 5.02
Draw 4.43
Away 1.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.25 1.34
Under 2.25 3.04
Over 2.5 1.47
Under 2.5 2.56
Over 2.75 1.57
Under 2.75 2.28
Over 3.5 2.25
Under 3.5 1.61
Over 3.0 1.76
Under 3.0 2.02
Over 3.25 2.02
Under 3.25 1.78
Over 3.75 2.58
Under 3.75 1.46
Over 4.0 3.19
Under 4.0 1.31
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 5.00
Draw 4.20
Away 1.48
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 4.75
Draw 2.60
Away 2.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 4.33
Draw 2.88
Away 1.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Under 1.5 5.00
Over 2.5 1.50
Under 2.5 2.50
Over 3.5 2.10
Under 3.5 1.67
Over 0.5 1.02
Under 0.5 11.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 3.75
Under 4.5 1.25
Over 7.5 15.00
Under 7.5 1.01
Over 5.5 6.50
Under 5.5 1.10
Over 6.5 9.00
Under 6.5 1.04
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 5.27
Draw 4.25
Away 1.48
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 5.10
Draw 2.46
Away 1.97
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 4.86
Draw 2.92
Away 1.78
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Under 1.5 4.85
Over 1.75 1.14
Under 1.75 4.44
Over 2.0 1.17
Under 2.0 4.00
Over 2.25 1.31
Under 2.25 2.92
Over 2.5 1.45
Under 2.5 2.41
Over 2.75 1.56
Under 2.75 2.15
Over 3.5 2.19
Under 3.5 1.59
Over 0.5 1.02
Under 0.5 14.90
Over 1.0 1.02
Under 1.0 10.50
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 3.0 1.71
Under 3.0 1.92
Over 4.5 3.58
Under 4.5 1.21
Over 3.25 1.96
Under 3.25 1.74
Over 3.75 2.46
Under 3.75 1.43
Over 4.0 2.97
Under 4.0 1.30
Over 4.25 3.28
Under 4.25 1.25
Over 4.75 4.34
Under 4.75 1.14
Over 5.0 5.75
Under 5.0 1.07
Over 7.5 15.00
Under 7.5 1.01
Over 5.5 6.35
Under 5.5 1.06
Over 5.25 6.05
Under 5.25 1.06
Over 6.5 9.00
Under 6.5 1.04
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 4.50
Draw 3.80
Away 1.57
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 4.35
Draw 2.50
Away 2.06
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.49
Under 2.5 2.32
Over 3.5 2.23
Under 3.5 1.53
Over 4.5 3.70
Under 4.5 1.20

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 6 3 49:21 28 51
W D L W W
2 24 15 4 5 40:18 22 49
W W D W D
3 24 14 4 6 48:32 16 46
W W L L L
4 24 13 2 9 61:34 27 41
L W W D L
5 24 13 2 9 38:33 5 41
W W W D W
6 24 8 11 5 32:31 1 35
W D D W D
7 24 9 7 8 38:33 5 34
L L D D D
8 24 9 6 9 32:29 3 33
W W D L L
9 24 8 6 10 39:34 5 30
L L L L L
10 24 7 7 10 28:42 -14 28
D L W D D
11 24 7 6 11 27:39 -12 27
L D W D W
12 24 5 6 13 21:47 -26 21
D D L W L
13 24 3 6 15 20:49 -29 15
L D D W L
14 24 4 3 17 23:54 -31 15
L L L L W