ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento
Almirante Brown
Match Timeline
CA Estudiantes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
T. Squie
CA Estudiantes
🟨
63'
J. Velazquez
Almirante Brown
🔄
65'
R. Melo ↔ F. Quinteros
CA Estudiantes
🔄
65'
T. Squie ↔ S. Camacho
CA Estudiantes
🟨
69'
F. Quinteros
CA Estudiantes
🔄
72'
L. Pascual ↔ T. Almada
Almirante Brown
🔄
78'
T. Villoldo ↔ R. Fernandez
Almirante Brown
🔄
78'
J. Correa ↔ B. Degregorio
CA Estudiantes
🔄
78'
M. Acosta ↔ I. Vera
CA Estudiantes
🔄
82'
S. Gauna ↔ P. Velurtas
Almirante Brown
🔄
82'
E. Martinez ↔ S. Vera
Almirante Brown
🔄
82'
E. Cardozo ↔ N. Bazan
Almirante Brown
🟨
86'
G. Alegre Rojas
Almirante Brown
🟨
88'
I. Vera
CA Estudiantes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Almirante Brown Win 52%
Draw 10%
CA Estudiantes Win 38%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almirante Brown0.79
CA Estudiantes0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
WWDLW
15 GF / 13 GA
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
WLDWL
18 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.86
0.65
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
6
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 20 matches
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 21 matches
Almirante Brown Statistic CA Estudiantes
8 Wins 8
6 Draws 6
6 Losses 7
15 Goals For 18
13 Goals Against 18
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
0.65 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
6 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 12
4 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 0
10 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward CA Estudiantes. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CA Estudiantes having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Almirante Brown Analysis

From their first 20 matches, Almirante Brown have collected 30 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 15:13 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

CA Estudiantes Analysis

So far, CA Estudiantes have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 30 points from 20 matches. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 18:16 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Almirante Brown won 7 times, CA Estudiantes won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Almirante Brown's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
H2H summary: Almirante Brown wins 7, draws 2, CA Estudiantes wins 6

Lineups

CA Estudiantes
Formation
Almirante Brown
J. Lungarzo
J. Lungarzo
M. Albarracin
M. Albarracin
J. Benitez
J. Benitez
Caro Nicolas
Caro Nicolas
T. Squie
T. Squie
F. Ardiles
F. Ardiles
R. Melo
R. Melo
F. Sena
F. Sena
E. Acosta
E. Acosta
J. Correa
J. Correa
M. Acosta
M. Acosta
B. Galvan
B. Galvan
E. Cardozo
E. Cardozo
M. Levi
M. Levi
G. Cabral
G. Cabral
G. Alegre Rojas
G. Alegre Rojas
J. Velazquez
J. Velazquez
S. Gauna
S. Gauna
L. Pascual
L. Pascual
T. Villoldo
T. Villoldo
M. Abreliano
M. Abreliano
E. Martinez
E. Martinez
CA Estudiantes 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Lungarzo
4
M. Albarracin
2
J. Benitez
6
Caro Nicolas
3
T. Squie
↓ 65' 🟨 24'
7
F. Ardiles
5
R. Melo
↓ 65'
8
F. Sena
11
E. Acosta
10
J. Correa
↓ 78'
9
M. Acosta
↓ 78'
Substitutes
12
F. Vila
13
B. Bernardi
14
F. Dure
15
F. Quinteros
↑ 65' 🟨 69'
16
L. Silva
17
S. Camacho
↑ 65'
18
B. Degregorio
↑ 78'
19
I. Vera
↑ 78' 🟨 88'
20
E. Almiron
Almirante Brown 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
B. Galvan
4
E. Cardozo
↓ 82'
2
M. Levi
6
G. Cabral
3
G. Alegre Rojas
🟨 86'
11
J. Velazquez
🟨 63'
5
S. Gauna
↓ 82'
10
L. Pascual
↓ 72'
8
T. Villoldo
↓ 78'
7
M. Abreliano
9
E. Martinez
↓ 82'
Substitutes
12
A. Bottini
13
R. Fernandez
↑ 78'
14
P. Velurtas
↑ 82'
15
G. Altamirano
16
M. Santiago
17
J. Ibanez
18
S. Vera
↑ 82'
19
N. Bazan
↑ 82'
20
T. Almada
↑ 72'
Last matches: Almirante Brown
02.08.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Racing Cordoba
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Atletico Mitre
0
0
D
11.07.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
All Boys
1
1
D
04.07.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Los Andes
1
0
W
21.06.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Atletico Mitre
3
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Godoy Cruz
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
0
1
L
30.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
San Miguel
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
San Telmo
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Acassuso
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Chaco For Ever
1
0
W
28.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Central Norte
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Madryn
1
2
L
05.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Defensores De Belgrano
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Racing Cordoba
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
1
0
W
Last matches: CA Estudiantes
01.08.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
3
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Racing Cordoba
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ciudad de Bolívar
2
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
All Boys
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Los Andes
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Godoy Cruz
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Moron
0
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Miguel
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Telmo
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Acassuso
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Chaco For Ever
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Central Norte
1
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Chacarita Juniors
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Madryn
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Defensores De Belgrano
0
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
H2H: Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes
17.07.26
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
0
0
D
01.03.26
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
0
1
W
22.06.25
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
15.02.25
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
5
2
L
13.03.22
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
1
0
W
24.07.21
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
1
2
W
13.03.21
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
2
1
W
27.01.19
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
0
2
L
21.08.18
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
2
0
L
09.03.18
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
1
1
D
14.10.17
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
2
0
W
09.05.17
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
0
1
W
25.10.16
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
2
1
W
04.10.15
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
22.05.15
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
2
1
L
Last matches: Almirante Brown
02.08.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Racing Cordoba
2
0
W
04.07.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Los Andes
1
0
W
21.06.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Atletico Mitre
3
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Godoy Cruz
1
0
W
30.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
San Telmo
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Chaco For Ever
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Central Norte
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Defensores De Belgrano
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
All Boys
2
1
W
27.12.20
Pri
Almirante Brown
Acassuso
2
1
W
19.12.20
Pri
Almirante Brown
Comunicaciones
2
0
W
05.12.20
Pri
Almirante Brown
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
08.03.20
Pri
Almirante Brown
Flandria
1
1
D
25.02.20
Pri
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Armenio
2
0
W
08.02.20
Pri
Almirante Brown
Sacachispas
1
1
D
01.12.19
Pri
Almirante Brown
Talleres Remedios
0
0
D
17.11.19
Pri
Almirante Brown
Argentino Quilmes
1
0
W
03.11.19
Pri
Almirante Brown
Villa San Carlos
1
0
W
H2H at home: Almirante Brown
17.07.26
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
13.03.22
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
1
0
W
13.03.21
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
2
1
W
27.01.19
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
0
2
L
14.10.17
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
2
0
W
25.10.16
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
2
1
W
04.10.15
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
Last matches: CA Estudiantes
01.08.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ciudad de Bolívar
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Los Andes
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Moron
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Miguel
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Acassuso
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Chacarita Juniors
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Madryn
0
3
L
23.02.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Racing Cordoba
0
1
L
18.01.26
Cop
CA Estudiantes
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
L
11.05.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Fénix
0
1
L
29.04.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Telmo
1
2
L
14.04.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Miguel
1
0
W
08.04.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
UAI Urquiza
1
1
D
23.03.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Acassuso
1
1
D
14.03.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Español
1
0
W
04.03.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
17.02.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Comunicaciones
1
0
W
H2H away: CA Estudiantes
17.07.26
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
0
1
W
13.03.22
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
1
0
L
13.03.21
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
2
1
L
27.01.19
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
0
2
W
14.10.17
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
2
0
L
25.10.16
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
2
1
L
04.10.15
H2H
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
0
1
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 13 4 6 26:21 5 43
L L W W W
2 22 11 5 6 33:21 12 38
L W D L L
3 23 9 9 5 28:19 9 36
D L L W W
4 23 9 8 6 17:13 4 35
W D D D W
5 22 9 7 6 25:19 6 34
W W W L L
6 23 8 10 5 21:19 2 34
L W D L W
7 22 8 9 5 19:9 10 33
L D W L L
8 22 8 9 5 29:22 7 33
W D D L W
9 23 8 8 7 20:19 1 32
D L D W D
10 23 7 6 10 22:28 -6 27
L W L W D
11 22 5 11 6 17:22 -5 26
L D L D W
12 22 5 10 7 15:19 -4 25
D D L W L
13 23 5 10 8 22:27 -5 25
W D W L D
14 22 5 8 9 18:23 -5 23
W L L L W
15 23 4 11 8 13:22 -9 23
L D D D D
16 22 5 7 10 20:26 -6 22
W W W D W
17 22 5 7 10 14:23 -9 22
W L L D W
18 22 5 6 11 16:24 -8 21
D D L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation