ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
14.09.2026 18:30
Estadio Juan Pasquale
Defensores De Belgrano
Live Timeline
Deportivo Madryn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
A. Gutierrez
Deportivo Madryn
🟨
32'
I. Gutierrez
Defensores De Belgrano
34'
E. Gonzalez · Assist: E. Aguirre
Defensores De Belgrano
🟨
37'
Y. Bonnin
Deportivo Madryn
🟨
37'
N. Solis
Deportivo Madryn
39'
E. Gonzalez
Defensores De Belgrano
🟨
41'
I. Perez
Defensores De Belgrano

Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.70
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.53
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.95
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.8%
1.70
BTTS No
56%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.95
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.28
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.00
Correct Score 0-3
-
41.00
Probability Distribution
Defensores De Belgrano Win 34.2%
Draw 18.6%
Deportivo Madryn Win 47.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensores De Belgrano0.81
Deportivo Madryn1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano
WWDLW
20 GF / 25 GA
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
WLDWL
41 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
1.41
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
10
BTTS Yes
15
7
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 28 matches
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 29 matches
Defensores De Belgrano Statistic Deportivo Madryn
6 Wins 12
12 Draws 10
10 Losses 7
20 Goals For 41
25 Goals Against 28
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
10 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 20
7 Over 2.5 15
0 Over 3.5 8
11 Clean Sheets 9
13 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Deportivo Madryn's more proactive style and Defensores De Belgrano's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Defensores De Belgrano have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Madryn having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Madryn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 43 points while Defensores De Belgrano sit 13 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Madryn.

Defensores De Belgrano Analysis

With 29 points from 27 games and a place of 13, Defensores De Belgrano still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 19:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Madryn Analysis

Deportivo Madryn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 43 points after 27 matches. The return of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 38:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Defensores De Belgrano won 0 times, Deportivo Madryn won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Defensores De Belgrano's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.4%)
H2H summary: Defensores De Belgrano wins 0, draws 1, Deportivo Madryn wins 3

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
2 29 16 7 6 34:25 9 55
D D D W W
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 28 12 10 6 41:26 15 46
W L W W D
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 29 10 9 10 26:25 1 39
W L D L W
8 29 9 12 8 24:26 -2 39
D L W D L
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 6 14 9 27:35 -8 32
D D D L D
13 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
14 29 6 13 10 16:25 -9 31
L W D L W
15 29 7 10 12 23:33 -10 31
W D L W D
16 28 6 12 10 20:25 -5 30
D W L L D
17 29 6 12 11 23:33 -10 30
D L L L L
18 29 5 8 16 19:34 -15 23
L L D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation