Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
73%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Almeria
Mirandes
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Almeria
39 matches
Mirandes
39 matches
| Almeria | Statistic | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 11 | Losses | 20 |
| 77 | Goals For | 41 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 63 |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 5.61 | Shots On Goal | 4.05 |
| 15 | Total Shots | 11.95 |
| 4.74 | Corners | 4.21 |
| 51.4% | Ball Possession | 41.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Almeria's more proactive style and Mirandes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mirandes. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Almeria arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 67 points compared to Mirandes in 19 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Operating from 3 place with 67 points from 37 games, Almeria bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 20 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, with a 74:56 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on S. Arribas (24 goals), A. Embarba (14 goals), Leo Baptistao (8 goals), with creative support from A. Embarba (9 assists), S. Arribas (7 assists), A. Munoz (6 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 13 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Mirandes sit 19 with 36 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 40:60 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Fernandez (16 goals), G. Petit (7 goals), J. Hernandez (6 goals), with creative support from Fernando Medrano (3 assists), Marino Illescas (3 assists), S. El Jebari (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Almeria won 7 times, Mirandes won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:13 from Almeria's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.
Almeria
3
5
3
4
3
3
Lineups
Almeria
Granada CF
Almeria
Águilas
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Valladolid
Almeria
Sporting Gijon
Almeria
Las Palmas
Almeria
Burgos
Almeria
Granada CF
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Racing Santander
Almeria
Leganes
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Real Sociedad II
Almeria
Huesca
Almeria
Zaragoza
Almeria
Cultural Leonesa
Almeria
Albacete
Mirandes
Leganes
Mirandes
Granada CF
Mirandes
Real Sociedad II
Mirandes
Eibar
Mirandes
Cultural Leonesa
Mirandes
Deportivo La Coruna
Mirandes
Castellón
Mirandes
Zaragoza
Mirandes
Albacete
Mirandes
Cordoba
Mirandes
Valladolid
Mirandes
Cadiz
Mirandes
Burgos
Mirandes
AD Ceuta FC
Mirandes
Huesca
Mirandes
Las Palmas
Mirandes
Racing Santander
Mirandes
Malaga
Mirandes
Sporting Gijon
Mirandes
FC Andorra
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Valladolid
Almeria
Las Palmas
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Leganes
Almeria
Real Sociedad II
Almeria
Cultural Leonesa
Almeria
Cordoba
Almeria
FC Andorra
Almeria
AD Ceuta FC
Almeria
Deportivo La Coruna
Almeria
Granada CF
Almeria
Burgos
Almeria
Huesca
Almeria
Cadiz
Almeria
Eibar
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Zaragoza
Almeria
Sporting Gijon
Mirandes
Leganes
Mirandes
Real Sociedad II
Mirandes
Deportivo La Coruna
Mirandes
Zaragoza
Mirandes
Cordoba
Mirandes
Burgos
Mirandes
Huesca
Mirandes
Racing Santander
Mirandes
Sporting Gijon
Mirandes
Eibar
Mirandes
Castellón
Mirandes
Las Palmas
Mirandes
Malaga
Mirandes
Cultural Leonesa
Mirandes
Atlético Astorga
Mirandes
AD Ceuta FC
Mirandes
Valladolid
Mirandes
FC Andorra
Mirandes
Albacete
Mirandes
Granada CF
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 29 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 21 | 77 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Almeria
Home
|
42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 18 | 74 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 4 | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 23 | 73 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 17 | 73 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 19 | 72 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 15 | 72 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 12 | 67 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 6 | 61 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | -4 | 61 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | -12 | 61 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 1 | 59 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 8 | 58 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | -6 | 48 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | -9 | 47 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | -8 | 46 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | -20 | 43 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 |
Mirandes
Away
|
42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | -22 | 40 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 20 | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | -29 | 37 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | -24 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
L
|