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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
24.10.2026 18:30
Estadio Tres de Febrero

Almagro vs Tristan Suarez Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Almagro Win 27.2%
Draw 16.4%
Tristan Suarez Win 56.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almagro0.73
Tristan Suarez1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almagro Almagro
WWDLW
31 GF / 41 GA
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
WLDWL
33 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
0.46
15
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almagro Almagro 34 matches
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 35 matches
Almagro Statistic Tristan Suarez
11 Wins 16
8 Draws 14
15 Losses 5
31 Goals For 33
41 Goals Against 16
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 0.46
15 BTTS Yes 9
22 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 24
13 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Tristan Suarez's more proactive style and Almagro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tristan Suarez. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tristan Suarez having the stronger overall control. Tristan Suarez carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 59 points while Almagro sit 12 on 41, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Almagro Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Almagro have collected 41 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 30:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tristan Suarez Analysis

Tristan Suarez come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 59 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 14 draws, and 4 losses, while the 32:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Almagro won 2 times, Tristan Suarez won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Almagro's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
H2H summary: Almagro wins 2, draws 6, Tristan Suarez wins 6

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 14 4 33:15 18 62
W D D W D
2 34 16 12 6 41:28 13 60
D W W L W
3 34 16 10 8 51:42 9 58
W D L D D
4 34 18 4 12 40:33 7 58
L W W W D
5 34 14 10 10 37:31 6 52
W D L W L
6 34 14 9 11 40:29 11 51
L W D L W
7 34 14 8 12 35:31 4 50
W D W W L
8 34 13 9 12 40:33 7 48
L D W W D
9 34 12 11 11 36:34 2 47
D D L L W
10 34 11 13 10 38:35 3 46
W L W D L
11 34 12 9 13 28:34 -6 45
W L L L W
12 34 11 8 15 31:41 -10 41
L W W L L
13 34 10 10 14 27:38 -11 40
L W D L W
14 34 10 9 15 30:29 1 39
L L D W L
15 34 7 16 11 29:33 -4 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 6 18 26:35 -9 36
W L W L W
17 34 9 9 16 24:33 -9 36
L L L W D
18 34 6 8 20 25:57 -32 26
W L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation