ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Tres de Febrero
Almagro
Match Timeline
Gimnasia Y Tiro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
F. Sivetti
Gimnasia Y Tiro
34'
L. Gordillo · Assist: J. Rocca
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
42'
M. Guanini
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
46'
J. Fernandes ↔ M. Laba
Almagro
🔄
46'
T. Dornell ↔ J. Orlando
Almagro
🔄
46'
G. Diaz ↔ G. Soto
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
61'
L. Montoya
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
65'
T. Macies
Almagro
🔄
67'
N. Tolosa ↔ E. Silcan
Almagro
🔄
67'
C. Salto ↔ J. Bustos
Almagro
🔄
67'
T. Macies ↔ E. Martinez
Almagro
🔄
67'
J. Rocca ↔ J. Aguirre
Gimnasia Y Tiro
72'
L. Gordillo · Assist: J. Aguirre
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
77'
F. Rojas ↔ J. Capano
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
81'
J. Galetto
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
90+1'
L. Gordillo ↔ N. Contin
Gimnasia Y Tiro

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.4%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Almagro Win 61.4%
Draw 10.7%
Gimnasia Y Tiro Win 27.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almagro0.95
Gimnasia Y Tiro0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almagro Almagro
WWDLW
20 GF / 24 GA
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro
WLDWL
22 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
12
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almagro Almagro 22 matches
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 24 matches
Almagro Statistic Gimnasia Y Tiro
8 Wins 8
5 Draws 8
9 Losses 8
20 Goals For 22
24 Goals Against 24
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 15
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gimnasia Y Tiro. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gimnasia Y Tiro having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Almagro Analysis

From their first 20 matches, Almagro have collected 25 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 16:22 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gimnasia Y Tiro Analysis

Gimnasia Y Tiro are currently 11 in the standings with 25 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 19:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Almagro won 0 times, Gimnasia Y Tiro won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:10 from Almagro's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
H2H summary: Almagro wins 0, draws 1, Gimnasia Y Tiro wins 5

Lineups

Almagro
Formation
Gimnasia Y Tiro
E. Gonzalez
E. Gonzalez
G. Asis
G. Asis
M. Cortave
M. Cortave
B. Negro
B. Negro
N. Tolosa
N. Tolosa
C. Salto
C. Salto
J. Fernandes
J. Fernandes
F. Bustamante
F. Bustamante
T. Macies
T. Macies
T. Dornell
T. Dornell
F. De La Vega
F. De La Vega
F. Cosentino
F. Cosentino
J. Galetto
J. Galetto
M. Guanini
M. Guanini
G. Diaz
G. Diaz
L. Montoya
L. Montoya
J. Rocca
🎯
J. Rocca
F. Sivetti
F. Sivetti
T. Banega
T. Banega
N. Rinaldi
N. Rinaldi
L. Gordillo
⚽ 2
L. Gordillo
F. Rojas
F. Rojas
Almagro 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
E. Gonzalez
4
G. Asis
2
M. Cortave
6
B. Negro
3
N. Tolosa
↓ 67'
8
C. Salto
↓ 67'
5
J. Fernandes
↓ 46'
10
F. Bustamante
11
T. Macies
↓ 67' 🟨 65'
7
T. Dornell
↓ 46'
9
F. De La Vega
Substitutes
12
F. Mangudo
13
S. Chamorro
15
E. Silcan
↑ 67'
17
J. Bustos
↑ 67'
16
M. Laba
↑ 46'
20
J. Orlando
↑ 46'
14
J. Vitale
18
T. Lopez
19
E. Martinez
↑ 67'
Gimnasia Y Tiro 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Cosentino
4
J. Galetto
🟨 81'
2
M. Guanini
🟨 42'
6
G. Diaz
↓ 46'
3
L. Montoya
🟨 61'
7
J. Rocca
🎯 34' ↓ 67'
5
F. Sivetti
🟨 15'
8
T. Banega
10
N. Rinaldi
9
L. Gordillo
⚽ 34' ⚽ 72' ↓ 90+1'
11
F. Rojas
↓ 77'
Substitutes
12
J. Papaleo
14
J. C. Oviedo
13
G. Soto
↑ 46'
15
J. Aguirre
🎯 72' ↑ 67'
18
M. Birge
19
W. Montoya
16
R. Villarreal
17
J. Capano
↑ 77'
20
N. Contin
↑ 90+1'
Last matches: Almagro
22.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
15.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
0
2
L
09.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Quilmes
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Midland
1
1
D
27.07.26
Pri
Almagro
Atlanta
3
1
W
12.07.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
3
L
04.07.26
Pri
Almagro
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Atlanta
2
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Agropecuario
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Temperley
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Maipu
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
6
L
11.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Patronato
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Colegiales
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
2
0
W
Last matches: Gimnasia Y Tiro
22.08.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
San Martin S.J.
1
3
L
16.08.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Central Norte
0
0
D
09.08.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Nueva Chicago
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Temperley
2
1
W
26.07.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Patronato
1
1
D
04.07.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Colegiales
2
1
W
21.06.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Deportivo Maipu
0
0
D
13.06.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Quilmes
0
1
L
06.06.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Midland
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Atlanta
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
05.05.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Agropecuario
2
3
L
01.05.26
Cop
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Velez Sarsfield
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Tristan Suarez
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
15.04.26
Cop
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Gimnasia M.
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Chacarita Juniors
0
2
L
H2H: Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
05.08.26
H2H
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
2
L
28.02.26
H2H
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Almagro
2
0
L
29.06.25
H2H
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Almagro
1
0
L
22.02.25
H2H
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
3
L
02.06.24
H2H
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Almagro
1
1
D
Last matches: Almagro
22.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
01.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Midland
1
1
D
04.07.26
Pri
Almagro
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Atlanta
2
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Agropecuario
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Temperley
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Patronato
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Quilmes
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
L
28.11.15
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
4
0
W
13.11.15
Pri
Almagro
Atlanta
0
0
D
31.10.15
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Español
3
2
W
04.10.15
Pri
Almagro
Fénix
0
1
L
22.09.15
Pri
Almagro
Tristan Suarez
1
0
W
15.09.15
Pri
Almagro
Villa San Carlos
2
0
W
29.08.15
Pri
Almagro
Barracas Central
0
1
L
17.08.15
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Riestra
2
0
W
H2H at home: Almagro
05.08.26
H2H
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
2
L
22.02.25
H2H
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
3
L
Last matches: Gimnasia Y Tiro
22.08.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
San Martin S.J.
1
3
L
16.08.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Central Norte
0
0
D
02.08.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Temperley
2
1
W
04.07.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Colegiales
2
1
W
21.06.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Deportivo Maipu
0
0
D
13.06.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Quilmes
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Atlanta
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
01.05.26
Cop
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Velez Sarsfield
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Tristan Suarez
1
2
L
15.04.26
Cop
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Gimnasia M.
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Chacarita Juniors
0
2
L
23.03.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Nueva Chicago
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Patronato
2
1
W
H2H away: Gimnasia Y Tiro
05.08.26
H2H
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
2
W
22.02.25
H2H
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
3
W

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 9 3 28:13 15 48
W W W W W
2 26 13 6 7 39:32 7 45
D W L L L
3 26 11 10 5 29:22 7 43
W W L L W
4 25 13 3 9 31:25 6 42
W L W L L
5 25 10 8 7 27:19 8 38
L D W D W
6 26 11 5 10 34:27 7 38
W W L W L
7 26 10 8 8 27:25 2 38
L D W W W
8 26 9 9 8 18:19 -1 36
D D W D W
9 26 8 11 7 26:23 3 35
W D D L L
10 26 8 8 10 27:22 5 32
L W D W D
11 24 8 8 8 26:24 2 32
W D D D L
12 25 8 7 10 23:25 -2 31
D L D W W
13 26 8 7 11 21:29 -8 31
D L D L D
14 25 7 8 10 20:24 -4 29
L L L W L
15 26 7 8 11 22:30 -8 29
L W W L W
16 26 7 6 13 19:28 -9 27
L D L L W
17 25 4 13 8 21:29 -8 25
D L D D L
18 26 5 7 14 21:43 -22 22
D D D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation