Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
90.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
88.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alianza Lima
16 matches
Sporting Cristal
22 matches
| Alianza Lima | Statistic | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 8 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 2 | Losses | 9 |
| 28 | Goals For | 33 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 14.2 | Total Shots | 14.71 |
| 4.2 | Corners | 5.48 |
| 52.8% | Ball Possession | 58.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Alianza Lima's more proactive style and Sporting Cristal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Alianza Lima come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Lima expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Sporting Cristal in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Cristal having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sporting Cristal. Alianza Lima arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 32 points compared to Sporting Cristal in 13 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Alianza Lima come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 32 points after 13 matches. The return of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 24:6, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through E. Castillo (8 goals), Paolo Guerrero (4 goals), R. Garces (4 goals), with creative support from E. Castillo (4 assists), J. Velez (3 assists), A. Cantero (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Sporting Cristal approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 15 points from 13 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 22:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Felipe Vizeu (5 goals), L. Iberico (4 goals), I. Avila (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Yotun (5 assists), I. Avila (3 assists), S. Gonzalez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Lima won 2 times, Sporting Cristal won 4 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:16 from Alianza Lima's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Alianza Lima
7
4
5
2
3
3
Lineups
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Lima
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
Cusco
Alianza Lima
ADT
Alianza Lima
Universitario
Alianza Lima
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
Inter Miami
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
ADT
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
Cusco
Alianza Lima
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Inter Miami
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
Sport Huancayo
Sporting Cristal
2 de Mayo
Sporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alianza Lima
Home
|
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
?
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 12 |
Sporting Cristal
Away
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
?
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
?
|