21.08.2026 20:00
Estadio Campeones del 36
Referee: Jordi Espinoza, Peru
Alianza Atletico
Match Timeline
Sporting Cristal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Williams Guzmán
Alianza Atletico
VAR
23'
Hernan Lupú
Alianza Atletico
🟨
34'
Michael Hoyos
Sporting Cristal
🟨
41'
Román Suárez
Alianza Atletico
🟨
44'
Leandro Sosa
Sporting Cristal
45'
J. Ingratti · Assist: G. A. Larios Saavedra
Alianza Atletico
🔄
46'
I. Wisdom ↔ C. Cabellos
Sporting Cristal
🔄
46'
S. Gonzalez ↔ M. Castro
Sporting Cristal
🟨
50'
Anthony Gordillo
Alianza Atletico
🟨
52'
Martín Távara
Sporting Cristal
53'
M. Hoyos · Assist: Y. Yotun
Sporting Cristal
🔄
67'
Cristiano ↔ L. Diaz
Sporting Cristal
🔄
68'
G. A. Larios Saavedra ↔ J. Perez
Alianza Atletico
🔄
68'
C. Penilla ↔ A. Munoz
Alianza Atletico
🔄
74'
H. Lupu ↔ S. Fernandez
Alianza Atletico
🔄
76'
R. Lutiger ↔ A. Villacorta
Sporting Cristal
🔄
76'
M. Hoyos ↔ H. Barcos
Sporting Cristal
85'
A. Munoz
Alianza Atletico
🔄
90+1'
A. Gordillo ↔ J. Mendieta
Alianza Atletico
🔄
90+1'
J. Molina ↔ W. Guzman
Alianza Atletico
90'
G. Diaz
Alianza Atletico

Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.1%
Odds -
2 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Alianza Atletico Win 81.1%
Draw 6.4%
Sporting Cristal Win 12.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Atletico1.28
Sporting Cristal1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
WWDLW
27 GF / 30 GA
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
WLDWL
50 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
13
BTTS Yes
22
11
Over 2.5
20
4.68
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 23 matches
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 33 matches
Alianza Atletico Statistic Sporting Cristal
7 Wins 12
7 Draws 7
9 Losses 14
27 Goals For 50
30 Goals Against 48
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
13 BTTS Yes 22
16 Over 1.5 28
11 Over 2.5 20
7 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 4
4.68 Shots On Goal 4.78
13.09 Total Shots 14.22
3.23 Corners 5.53
45.1% Ball Possession 56.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Alianza Atletico's more proactive style and Sporting Cristal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Alianza Atletico have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sporting Cristal. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Alianza Atletico Analysis

Alianza Atletico approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 21 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats with a 20:18 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Cristian Penilla (4 goals), Valentín Robaldo (2 goals), Jorge del Castillo (2 goals), with creative support from Cristian Penilla (2 assists), Hernan Lupú (2 assists), Valentín Robaldo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sporting Cristal Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Sporting Cristal have collected 19 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 28:30 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Yoshimar Yotún (3 goals), Gustavo Cazonatti (3 goals), Felipe Vizeu (3 goals), with creative support from Yoshimar Yotún (4 assists), Maxloren Castro (2 assists), Santiago González (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Atletico won 3 times, Sporting Cristal won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:30 from Alianza Atletico's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Alianza Atletico 4-3-3 / Sporting Cristal 4-3-3
H2H summary: Alianza Atletico wins 3, draws 2, Sporting Cristal wins 10

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 25 10 7 8 37:31 6 37
W W W D W
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
12 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
13 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
14 25 8 5 12 22:27 -5 29
L W W W D
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2