Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
81.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
77.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alianza Atletico
23 matches
Sporting Cristal
33 matches
| Alianza Atletico | Statistic | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 12 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 14 |
| 27 | Goals For | 50 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.68 | Shots On Goal | 4.78 |
| 13.09 | Total Shots | 14.22 |
| 3.23 | Corners | 5.53 |
| 45.1% | Ball Possession | 56.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Alianza Atletico's more proactive style and Sporting Cristal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Alianza Atletico have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sporting Cristal. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Alianza Atletico approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 21 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats with a 20:18 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Cristian Penilla (4 goals), Valentín Robaldo (2 goals), Jorge del Castillo (2 goals), with creative support from Cristian Penilla (2 assists), Hernan Lupú (2 assists), Valentín Robaldo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
From their first 17 matches, Sporting Cristal have collected 19 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 28:30 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Yoshimar Yotún (3 goals), Gustavo Cazonatti (3 goals), Felipe Vizeu (3 goals), with creative support from Yoshimar Yotún (4 assists), Maxloren Castro (2 assists), Santiago González (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Atletico won 3 times, Sporting Cristal won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:30 from Alianza Atletico's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | 24 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | 16 | 49 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | 16 | 45 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 45 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 40 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Alianza Atletico
Home
|
25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 37 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Sporting Cristal
Away
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|