PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Campeones del 36
Referee: Augusto Menendez, Peru
Alianza Atletico
Match Timeline
FC Cajamarca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Hernan Lupú
Alianza Atletico
12'
H. Lupu · Assist: A. Munoz
Alianza Atletico
22'
B. Palacios · Assist: R. Lagos
FC Cajamarca
🔄
32'
A. Munoz ↔ J. Perez
Alianza Atletico
🟨
33'
Mauricio Arrasco
FC Cajamarca
🟨
45+2'
Anthony Gordillo
Alianza Atletico
🔄
54'
C. Meza ↔ J. Betancourt
FC Cajamarca
🔄
60'
C. Penilla ↔ F. Coronel
Alianza Atletico
🔄
61'
J. del Castillo ↔ C. Valladolid
Alianza Atletico
🟨
65'
Brandon Palacios
FC Cajamarca
🔄
75'
B. Palacios ↔ A. Moyano
FC Cajamarca
🔄
75'
M. Arrasco ↔ F. Ocas
FC Cajamarca
🔄
82'
H. Lupu ↔ J. Delgado
Alianza Atletico
🔄
90'
S. Enciso ↔ S. Pineau
FC Cajamarca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Alianza Atletico Win 84.5%
Draw 0%
FC Cajamarca Win 15.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Atletico1.35
FC Cajamarca1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
WWDLW
18 GF / 17 GA
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca
WLDWL
23 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
7
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
10
4.8
Shots on Goal
3.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 16 matches
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 16 matches
Alianza Atletico Statistic FC Cajamarca
5 Wins 5
5 Draws 3
6 Losses 8
18 Goals For 23
17 Goals Against 27
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
7 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 0
6 Failed To Score 6
4.8 Shots On Goal 3.13
13 Total Shots 8.47
3.2 Corners 2.93
46.3% Ball Possession 41%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Alianza Atletico's more proactive style and FC Cajamarca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Cajamarca. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Alianza Atletico Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Alianza Atletico have collected 20 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 18:14 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Penilla (3 goals), Franco Coronel (3 goals), V. Robaldo (3 goals), with creative support from C. Penilla (2 assists), Franco Coronel (2 assists), F. Flores (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

FC Cajamarca Analysis

FC Cajamarca sit 15 with 15 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 21:26, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their threat comes through H. Barcos (9 goals), B. Palacios (4 goals), A. Rodriguez (2 goals), with creative support from T. Andrade (3 assists), H. Barcos (2 assists), R. Lagos (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Atletico won 0 times, FC Cajamarca won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Alianza Atletico's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Alianza Atletico 4-2-3-1 / FC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Alianza Atletico wins 0, draws 1, FC Cajamarca wins 0
Stats
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
0
6 Corner Kicks 0
11 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 5
12 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 7
382 Total passes 325
311 Passes accurate 245
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Alianza Atletico
Formation
FC Cajamarca
D. Prieto
D. Prieto
E. Perleche
E. Perleche
J. C. Villegas
J. C. Villegas
J. Lujan
J. Lujan
A. Gordillo
A. Gordillo
H. Lupu
H. Lupu
G. Diaz
G. Diaz
A. Munoz
🎯
A. Munoz
J. del Castillo
J. del Castillo
C. Penilla
C. Penilla
V. Robaldo
V. Robaldo
S. Aspajo
S. Aspajo
C. Gomez
C. Gomez
A. Rodas
A. Rodas
P. Miguez
P. Miguez
R. Lagos
🎯
R. Lagos
S. Enciso
S. Enciso
J. G. Orejuela
J. G. Orejuela
M. Arrasco
M. Arrasco
C. Meza
C. Meza
B. Palacios
B. Palacios
H. Barcos
H. Barcos
Alianza Atletico 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
95
D. Prieto
G
21
E. Perleche
D
4
J. C. Villegas
D
6
J. Lujan
D
24
A. Gordillo
🟨 45+2'
D
15
H. Lupu
⚽ 12' ↓ 82' 🟨 -5'
M
10
G. Diaz
M
23
A. Munoz
🎯 12' ↓ 32'
M
22
J. del Castillo
↓ 61'
M
17
C. Penilla
↓ 60'
M
9
V. Robaldo
F
Substitutes
1
E. Hermoza
G
7
F. Coronel
↑ 60'
F
20
J. Perez
↑ 32'
M
99
M. Barreda
F
37
J. Delgado
↑ 82'
25
W. Guzman
D
16
S. Fernandez
M
77
C. Valladolid
↑ 61'
2
R. Suarez
D
FC Cajamarca 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
S. Aspajo
G
44
C. Gomez
14
A. Rodas
D
6
P. Miguez
D
13
R. Lagos
🎯 22'
D
31
S. Enciso
↓ 90'
M
18
J. G. Orejuela
M
11
M. Arrasco
↓ 75' 🟨 33'
M
20
C. Meza
↓ 54'
M
17
B. Palacios
⚽ 22' ↓ 75' 🟨 65'
F
9
H. Barcos
F
Substitutes
1
C. Mosquera
G
25
E. Paucar
M
8
A. Moyano
↑ 75'
M
7
S. Pineau
↑ 90'
F
26
H. Timana
D
27
J. Betancourt
↑ 54'
29
F. Ocas
↑ 75'
F
30
J. C. Vega
D
Last matches: Alianza Atletico
31.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
1
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Sport Huancayo
4
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Atletico Grau
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
1
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
ADT
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
0
3
L
Last matches: FC Cajamarca
31.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
15.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
3
1
W
08.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
3
2
W
25.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
0
3
L
13.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
3
4
L
06.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
0
2
L
09.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
3
3
D
18.01.26
Fri
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
1
W
H2H: Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca
24.05.26
H2H
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D
Last matches: Alianza Atletico
03.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Sport Huancayo
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Atletico Grau
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
3
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
ADT
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
1
0
W
H2H at home: Alianza Atletico
24.05.26
H2H
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D
Last matches: FC Cajamarca
08.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
0
3
L
06.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
0
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
3
3
D
H2H away: FC Cajamarca
24.05.26
H2H
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
D W W D W
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
D L W D L
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
W D L W W
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
W D L D W
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
W D W D W
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
W W L D D
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
W D W W W
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
L D W L W
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
L D L D L
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
L L W D W
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
W D W D L
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
L W L D D
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
D D L L L
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
L D L D L
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
D D W W W
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
W L W L L
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
L D L W L
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
L D L L L