24.07.2026 20:00
Estadio Campeones del 36
Referee: Sebastian Lozano, Peru
Alianza Atletico
Match Timeline
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
J. del Castillo · Assist: G. Diaz
Alianza Atletico
🔄
21'
M. Torres ↔ F. E. Espinoza Vega
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
47'
E. Perleche
Alianza Atletico
🟨
49'
Jorge Palomino
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
61'
A. Campos ↔ J. Ospina
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
62'
D. Gonzales ↔ M. Kaufman
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🟨
72'
Erick Perleche
Alianza Atletico
74'
G. A. Larios Saavedra · Assist: A. Gordillo
Alianza Atletico
VAR
75'
Guillermo Larios
Alianza Atletico
🔄
77'
J. Ingratti ↔ J. Molina
Alianza Atletico
🔄
77'
G. A. Larios Saavedra ↔ F. Flores
Alianza Atletico
🔄
77'
C. Penilla ↔ M. Barreda
Alianza Atletico
🔄
80'
J. Palomino ↔ B. Guevara
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
80'
A. Quintana ↔ G. Rizzo
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
80'
J. Quintero
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
82'
R. Suarez ↔ J. Lujan
Alianza Atletico
🔄
82'
H. Lupu ↔ S. Fernandez
Alianza Atletico
🟥
90'
Kelvin Sánchez
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
VAR
90'
Kelvin Sánchez
Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Alianza Atletico vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 43.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
43.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Alianza Atletico Win 43.4%
Draw 15%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Win 41.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Atletico1.13
Club Deportivo Los Chankas1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
WWDLW
21 GF / 25 GA
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas
WLDWL
26 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
10
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
8
4.89
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 19 matches
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 18 matches
Alianza Atletico Statistic Club Deportivo Los Chankas
5 Wins 11
6 Draws 4
8 Losses 3
21 Goals For 26
25 Goals Against 21
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
10 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 3
4.89 Shots On Goal 4.83
13.28 Total Shots 12.72
3.17 Corners 4.11
46.3% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Club Deportivo Los Chankas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 34 points while Alianza Atletico sit 8 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Club Deportivo Los Chankas. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Atletico expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Club Deportivo Los Chankas in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Deportivo Los Chankas having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Alianza Atletico Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Alianza Atletico have collected 21 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:18 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Penilla (3 goals), Franco Coronel (3 goals), V. Robaldo (3 goals), with creative support from C. Penilla (2 assists), Franco Coronel (2 assists), Ariel Muñoz (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas Analysis

Club Deportivo Los Chankas arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 34 points after 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 25:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on F. Torres (6 goals), Abdiel Ayarza (5 goals), J. Quintero (3 goals), with creative support from F. Torres (3 assists), Adrián Quiroz (3 assists), A. Quintana (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Atletico won 7 times, Club Deportivo Los Chankas won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:9 from Alianza Atletico's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Alianza Atletico 4-3-3 / Club Deportivo Los Chankas 5-3-2
H2H summary: Alianza Atletico wins 7, draws 1, Club Deportivo Los Chankas wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 26 10 7 9 38:34 4 37
L W W W D
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 25:28 -3 32
W L W W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2