GERMANY 3. LIGA
24.04.2026 17:00
New Tivoli
Referee: L. Benen
Alemannia Aachen
Match Timeline
MSV Duisburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Ben Schlicke
MSV Duisburg
🟨
29'
Lamar Yarbrough
Alemannia Aachen
🟨
29'
Lex-Tyger Lobinger
MSV Duisburg
32'
M. Schroers · Assist: P. Nadjombe
Alemannia Aachen
36'
M. Loune · Assist: M. Schroers
Alemannia Aachen
🔄
46'
B. Schlicke ↔ P. Sussek
MSV Duisburg
🔄
58'
L. Yarbrough ↔ F. Ademi
Alemannia Aachen
🔄
60'
F. Kruger ↔ C. Noss
MSV Duisburg
🔄
60'
D. Kother ↔ J. Symalla
MSV Duisburg
🔄
60'
L. Lobinger ↔ T. Topken
MSV Duisburg
🔄
66'
G. Gaudino ↔ N. H. Castelle
Alemannia Aachen
🟨
72'
Jonas Oehmichen
Alemannia Aachen
🔄
74'
R. Bulic ↔ A. Casar
MSV Duisburg
79'
A. Casar · Assist: C. Coskun
MSV Duisburg
🔄
84'
M. Schroers ↔ O. Sillah
Alemannia Aachen
🔄
84'
M. Loune ↔ F. Torsiello
Alemannia Aachen
85'
J. Bitter
Alemannia Aachen
🟨
90+4'
Fabio Torsiello
Alemannia Aachen

Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Alemannia Aachen Win 63.1%
Draw 4.7%
MSV Duisburg Win 32.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alemannia Aachen1.63
MSV Duisburg1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen
WWDLW
63 GF / 54 GA
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
WLDWL
62 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
24
BTTS Yes
22
25
Over 2.5
22
4.18
Shots on Goal
3.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 34 matches
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 34 matches
Alemannia Aachen Statistic MSV Duisburg
16 Wins 18
6 Draws 9
12 Losses 7
63 Goals For 62
54 Goals Against 44
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
24 BTTS Yes 22
30 Over 1.5 26
25 Over 2.5 22
18 Over 3.5 16
4 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 7
4.18 Shots On Goal 3.46
10.61 Total Shots 9
4.54 Corners 4.07
39.5% Ball Possession 36.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward MSV Duisburg. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alemannia Aachen expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and MSV Duisburg in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward MSV Duisburg having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Alemannia Aachen Analysis

From their first 34 matches, Alemannia Aachen have collected 54 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 60:53 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Gindorf (22 goals), Mika Schröers (17 goals), Faton Ademi (5 goals), with creative support from L. Gindorf (10 assists), Mika Schröers (6 assists), Pierre Nadjombe (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

MSV Duisburg Analysis

MSV Duisburg come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 63 points after 34 matches. The return of 18 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 59:43, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Conor Noß (10 goals), P. Sussek (7 goals), Joshua Bitter (5 goals), with creative support from P. Sussek (7 assists), J. Symalla (7 assists), Joshua Bitter (5 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Alemannia Aachen won 1 times, MSV Duisburg won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Alemannia Aachen's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Alemannia Aachen 3-4-2-1 / MSV Duisburg 5-4-1
H2H summary: Alemannia Aachen wins 1, draws 1, MSV Duisburg wins 2

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation