Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
70.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.1%
|
- |
Alemannia Aachen
MSV Duisburg
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alemannia Aachen
34 matches
MSV Duisburg
34 matches
| Alemannia Aachen | Statistic | MSV Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 18 |
| 6 | Draws | 9 |
| 12 | Losses | 7 |
| 63 | Goals For | 62 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 18 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.18 | Shots On Goal | 3.46 |
| 10.61 | Total Shots | 9 |
| 4.54 | Corners | 4.07 |
| 39.5% | Ball Possession | 36.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward MSV Duisburg. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alemannia Aachen expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and MSV Duisburg in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward MSV Duisburg having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 34 matches, Alemannia Aachen have collected 54 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 60:53 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Gindorf (22 goals), Mika Schröers (17 goals), Faton Ademi (5 goals), with creative support from L. Gindorf (10 assists), Mika Schröers (6 assists), Pierre Nadjombe (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
MSV Duisburg come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 63 points after 34 matches. The return of 18 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 59:43, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Conor Noß (10 goals), P. Sussek (7 goals), Joshua Bitter (5 goals), with creative support from P. Sussek (7 assists), J. Symalla (7 assists), Joshua Bitter (5 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Alemannia Aachen won 1 times, MSV Duisburg won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Alemannia Aachen's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 32 | 80 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 21 | 72 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 12 | 70 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
MSV Duisburg
Away
|
38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 17 | 68 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 25 | 67 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 34 | 64 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Alemannia Aachen
Home
|
38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 19 | 64 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 8 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 2 | 53 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | -13 | 52 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | -2 | 51 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 9 | 49 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | -12 | 46 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | -6 | 44 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | -6 | 43 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | -32 | 35 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | -19 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | -29 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | -49 | 21 |
L
L
D
D
D
|