ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground
Aldershot Town
Match Timeline
Truro City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
28'
K. Wilson
Truro City
🔄
46'
B. Peart ↔ T. Frost
Aldershot Town
49'
K. Wilson
Truro City
🔄
59'
T. Widdrington ↔ D. Tetek
Aldershot Town
🔄
59'
J. Lewis-Evans ↔ C. Warren
Aldershot Town
🟨
66'
B. Starkie
Truro City
🟨
67'
C. Riley-Lowe
Truro City
🔄
68'
M. Penney ↔ J. Barrett
Aldershot Town
🔄
68'
F. Issaka ↔ T. Love-Holmes
Truro City
🔄
75'
C. Riley-Lowe ↔ C. Oxlade-Chamberlain
Truro City
🔄
82'
B. Starkie ↔ H. Kite
Truro City
🔄
82'
T. Dean ↔ H. Charsley
Truro City
🔄
86'
J. Henry ↔ L. Jenkins
Aldershot Town
🟨
90+5'
C. Hargreaves
Aldershot Town

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 53%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
53%
-
Probability Distribution
Aldershot Town Win 35.5%
Draw 22.7%
Truro City Win 41.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aldershot Town1.58
Truro City1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town
WWDLW
74 GF / 91 GA
Truro City Truro City
WLDWL
42 GF / 78 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
32
BTTS Yes
19
35
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 48 matches
Truro City Truro City 48 matches
Aldershot Town Statistic Truro City
14 Wins 7
7 Draws 12
27 Losses 29
74 Goals For 42
91 Goals Against 78
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
32 BTTS Yes 19
43 Over 1.5 36
35 Over 2.5 21
20 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 7
11 Failed To Score 24
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Truro City. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Truro City having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Aldershot Town Analysis

With 46 points from 45 games and a place of 20, Aldershot Town still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 13 wins, 7 draws, and 25 losses, together with goals at 68:81, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through R. Hill (9 goals), C. Warren (7 goals), K. Thomas (7 goals), with creative support from J. Barrett (7 assists), R. Jones (6 assists), R. Hill (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Truro City Analysis

Truro City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 24 with 31 points from 45 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 28 defeats with a 40:71 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on L. Jephcott (7 goals), T. Harvey (5 goals), D. Johnson-Fisher (4 goals), with creative support from C. Riley-Lowe (6 assists), L. Jephcott (5 assists), C. Oxlade-Chamberlain (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 16 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Aldershot Town won 0 times, Truro City won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Aldershot Town's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
H2H summary: Aldershot Town wins 0, draws 1, Truro City wins 1

Lineups

Aldershot Town
Formation
Truro City
C. Boyce-Clarke
C. Boyce-Clarke
R. Sheckleford
R. Sheckleford
W. Nightingale
W. Nightingale
O. Scott
O. Scott
M. Penney
M. Penney
B. Peart
B. Peart
R. Hill
R. Hill
T. Widdrington
T. Widdrington
J. Lewis-Evans
J. Lewis-Evans
J. Henry
J. Henry
C. Hargreaves
C. Hargreaves
A. Stone
A. Stone
Z. Bell
Z. Bell
M. Kinsey
M. Kinsey
T. Harrison
T. Harrison
C. Riley-Lowe
C. Riley-Lowe
T. Dean
T. Dean
F. Issaka
F. Issaka
B. Starkie
B. Starkie
L. Jephcott
L. Jephcott
R. Law
R. Law
K. Wilson
⚽ 2
K. Wilson
Aldershot Town 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
41
C. Boyce-Clarke
31
R. Sheckleford
25
W. Nightingale
22
O. Scott
42
M. Penney
↓ 68'
11
B. Peart
↓ 46'
19
R. Hill
6
T. Widdrington
↓ 59'
26
J. Lewis-Evans
↓ 59'
17
J. Henry
↓ 86'
7
C. Hargreaves
🟨 90+5'
Substitutes
16
P. Nash
4
L. Jenkins
↑ 86'
12
K. Anderson
8
T. Frost
↑ 46'
34
D. Tetek
↑ 59'
24
C. Warren
↑ 59'
10
J. Barrett
↑ 68'
Truro City 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
24
A. Stone
2
Z. Bell
21
M. Kinsey
5
T. Harrison
3
C. Riley-Lowe
↓ 75' 🟨 67'
26
T. Dean
↓ 82'
18
F. Issaka
↓ 68'
23
B. Starkie
↓ 82' 🟨 66'
15
L. Jephcott
20
R. Law
31
K. Wilson
⚽ 28' ⚽ 49'
Substitutes
12
C. Oxlade-Chamberlain
↑ 75'
16
T. Love-Holmes
↑ 68'
29
H. Kite
↑ 82'
30
W. Howard
32
H. Charsley
↑ 82'
Last matches: Aldershot Town
18.04.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Brackley Town
1
2
L
14.04.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Southend
0
2
L
11.04.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Gateshead
0
1
L
06.04.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Wealdstone
0
3
L
03.04.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Sutton Utd
2
2
D
28.03.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Morecambe
2
0
W
24.03.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
21.03.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Woking
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
York
0
3
L
10.03.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Carlisle
0
2
L
07.03.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Forest Green
1
2
L
28.02.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Rochdale
0
2
L
25.02.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Braintree
2
1
W
21.02.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Scunthorpe
3
1
W
17.02.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Yeovil Town
2
1
W
14.02.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Tamworth
1
1
D
07.02.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
FC Halifax Town
3
2
W
31.01.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Hartlepool
3
0
W
17.01.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Eastleigh
4
1
W
10.01.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Solihull Moors
1
5
L
Last matches: Truro City
18.04.26
Nat
Truro City
Carlisle
0
1
L
11.04.26
Nat
Truro City
Boston United
0
1
L
06.04.26
Nat
Truro City
Forest Green
1
1
D
03.04.26
Nat
Truro City
Yeovil Town
0
1
L
28.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Boreham Wood
0
0
D
25.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Solihull Moors
1
1
D
21.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
17.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Scunthorpe
1
2
L
14.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Hartlepool
0
1
L
07.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Altrincham
0
2
L
03.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Southend
1
1
D
28.02.26
Nat
Truro City
Braintree
2
3
L
25.02.26
Nat
Truro City
Eastleigh
1
2
L
21.02.26
Nat
Truro City
Gateshead
1
2
L
14.02.26
Nat
Truro City
FC Halifax Town
0
1
L
10.02.26
Nat
Truro City
Woking
0
2
L
07.02.26
Nat
Truro City
Morecambe
2
1
W
24.01.26
Nat
Truro City
Rochdale
0
2
L
20.01.26
Nat
Truro City
Brackley Town
3
3
D
17.01.26
Nat
Truro City
Tamworth
0
0
D
H2H: Aldershot Town vs Truro City
25.04.26
H2H
Aldershot Town
Truro City
0
2
L
03.09.25
H2H
Truro City
Aldershot Town
2
2
D
Last matches: Aldershot Town
14.04.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Southend
0
2
L
11.04.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Gateshead
0
1
L
03.04.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Sutton Utd
2
2
D
24.03.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
14.03.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
York
0
3
L
10.03.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Carlisle
0
2
L
28.02.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Rochdale
0
2
L
21.02.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Scunthorpe
3
1
W
07.02.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
FC Halifax Town
3
2
W
10.01.26
Nat
Aldershot Town
Solihull Moors
1
5
L
30.12.25
Nat
Aldershot Town
Wealdstone
4
1
W
06.12.25
Nat
Aldershot Town
Altrincham
2
1
W
22.11.25
Nat
Aldershot Town
Woking
1
2
L
08.11.25
Nat
Aldershot Town
Forest Green
2
3
L
18.10.25
Nat
Aldershot Town
Tamworth
1
2
L
30.09.25
Nat
Aldershot Town
Braintree
1
1
D
24.09.25
Nat
Aldershot Town
Yeovil Town
1
4
L
20.09.25
Nat
Aldershot Town
Hartlepool
1
0
W
06.09.25
Nat
Aldershot Town
Brackley Town
2
2
D
25.08.25
Nat
Aldershot Town
Morecambe
4
0
W
H2H at home: Aldershot Town
25.04.26
H2H
Aldershot Town
Truro City
0
2
L
Last matches: Truro City
11.04.26
Nat
Truro City
Boston United
0
1
L
03.04.26
Nat
Truro City
Yeovil Town
0
1
L
21.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Altrincham
0
2
L
03.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Southend
1
1
D
25.02.26
Nat
Truro City
Eastleigh
1
2
L
14.02.26
Nat
Truro City
FC Halifax Town
0
1
L
07.02.26
Nat
Truro City
Morecambe
2
1
W
24.01.26
Nat
Truro City
Rochdale
0
2
L
30.12.25
Nat
Truro City
Forest Green
1
1
D
20.12.25
Nat
Truro City
York
0
4
L
13.12.25
FA
Truro City
Southend
0
4
L
29.11.25
Nat
Truro City
Hartlepool
1
3
L
15.11.25
Nat
Truro City
Braintree
0
2
L
05.11.25
Nat
Truro City
Solihull Moors
0
4
L
25.10.25
Nat
Truro City
Gateshead
2
2
D
11.10.25
FA
Truro City
AFC Totton
1
1
D
04.10.25
Nat
Truro City
Woking
2
2
D
23.09.25
Nat
Truro City
Brackley Town
0
1
L
20.09.25
Nat
Truro City
Scunthorpe
0
4
L
H2H away: Truro City
25.04.26
H2H
Aldershot Town
Truro City
0
2
W

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L