Alaves
Match Timeline
Rayo Vallecano
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Alaves Win 0%
Draw 0%
Rayo Vallecano Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves1.17
Rayo Vallecano1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alaves
WWDLW
27 GF / 24 GA
Rayo Vallecano
WLDWL
45 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
10
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
15
3.64
Shots on Goal
4.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alaves
22 matches
Rayo Vallecano
30 matches
| Alaves | Statistic | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 14 |
| 4 | Draws | 8 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 27 | Goals For | 45 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.64 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 10.86 | Total Shots | 14.4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6.43 |
| 48.5% | Ball Possession | 56.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 4 times, Rayo Vallecano won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Alaves's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Alaves 4-4-2 / Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Alaves wins 4, draws 0, Rayo Vallecano wins 7
Stats
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Shots on Goal
7
7
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
8
8
Blocked Shots
3
3
Blocked Shots
1
1
Lineups
Alaves
Formation
Rayo Vallecano
R. Fernandez
N. Tenaglia
C. Protesoni
J. Pacheco
Yusi
Calebe
D. Suarez
A. Guevara
A. Rebbach
A. Manas
T. Martinez
D. Cardenas
I. Balliu
F. Lejeune
N. Mendy
Pacha
O. Valentin
G. Gumbau
F. Perez
O. Trejo
S. Camello
R. Nteka
Alaves
4-4-2
Starting XI
13
R. Fernandez
G
14
N. Tenaglia
D
23
C. Protesoni
D
🟨 36'
5
J. Pacheco
D
3
Yusi
D
↓ 90+1'
20
Calebe
M
↓ 64'
🟨 3'
4
D. Suarez
M
6
A. Guevara
M
🟨 65'
21
A. Rebbach
M
↓ 64'
34
A. Manas
↓ 85'
11
T. Martinez
F
⚽ 49'
↓ 64'
Substitutes
1
A. Sivera
G
31
G. Swiderski
G
8
A. Blanco
M
↑ 85'
7
C. Vicente
F
⚽ 89'
↑ 64'
10
C. Alena
M
↑ 64'
17
Jonny Otto
D
↑ 90+1'
18
J. Guridi
M
↑ 64'
19
P. Ibanez
M
24
V. Parada
D
29
D. Morcillo
F
30
C. Ballestero
D
Rayo Vallecano
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Cardenas
G
20
I. Balliu
D
↓ 40'
24
F. Lejeune
D
32
N. Mendy
D
22
Pacha
D
23
O. Valentin
M
15
G. Gumbau
M
21
F. Perez
M
↓ 83'
🟨 35'
8
O. Trejo
M
↓ 61'
10
S. Camello
M
↓ 40'
11
R. Nteka
F
↓ 62'
Substitutes
13
A. Batalla
G
40
A. Molina
G
3
P. Chavarria
D
↑ 40'
4
P. Diaz
M
7
I. Palazon
M
↑ 61'
🟥 69'
9
Alemao
F
↑ 83'
14
C. Martin
F
18
A. Garcia
M
↑ 40'
19
J. de Frutos
F
↑ 62'
26
M. de las Sias
D
33
J. Vertrouwd
D
Last matches: Alaves
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
17.05.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
0
W
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
09.05.26
La
Alaves
Elche
1
1
D
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
25.04.26
La
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
21.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
22.03.26
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
4
3
W
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
08.03.26
La
Alaves
Valencia
2
3
L
27.02.26
La
Alaves
Levante
0
2
L
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
14.02.26
La
Alaves
Sevilla
1
1
D
08.02.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Alaves
Real Sociedad
2
3
L
30.01.26
La
Alaves
Espanyol
2
1
W
25.01.26
La
Alaves
Real Betis
2
1
W
18.01.26
La
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
0
1
L
Last matches: Rayo Vallecano
27.05.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
23.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
2
1
W
17.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
2
0
W
14.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
1
1
D
11.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
1
D
07.05.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
1
0
W
03.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
2
0
W
30.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
1
0
W
26.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
23.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
1
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
1
3
L
12.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
0
3
L
09.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
3
0
W
03.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
1
0
W
22.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
0
1
L
19.03.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
0
1
L
16.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Levante
1
1
D
12.03.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
3
1
W
08.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
1
1
D
04.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
3
0
W
H2H: Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
23.05.26
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
14.01.26
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
W
26.10.25
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
1
0
L
29.03.25
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0
2
L
26.10.24
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
1
0
L
10.03.24
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
15.09.23
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
2
0
L
16.04.22
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
18.12.21
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
2
0
L
28.01.19
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
22.09.18
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
1
5
W
Last matches: Alaves
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
25.04.26
La
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
08.02.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Alaves
Real Sociedad
2
3
L
25.01.26
La
Alaves
Real Betis
2
1
W
04.01.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
1
D
17.12.25
Cop
Alaves
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.12.25
La
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
06.12.25
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
1
0
W
22.11.25
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
02.11.25
La
Alaves
Espanyol
2
1
W
20.10.25
La
Alaves
Valencia
0
0
D
05.10.25
La
Alaves
Elche
3
1
W
20.09.25
La
Alaves
Sevilla
1
2
L
30.08.25
La
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
H2H at home: Alaves
23.05.26
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
14.01.26
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
W
29.03.25
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0
2
L
10.03.24
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
16.04.22
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
28.01.19
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
Last matches: Rayo Vallecano
27.05.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
23.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
2
1
W
14.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
1
1
D
07.05.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
1
0
W
03.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
2
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
1
3
L
12.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
0
3
L
22.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
0
1
L
12.03.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
3
1
W
08.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
1
1
D
21.02.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Real Betis
1
1
D
01.02.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
1
2
L
18.01.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
0
3
L
06.01.26
Cop
Rayo Vallecano
Granada CF
3
1
W
21.12.25
La
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
0
4
L
11.12.25
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
07.12.25
La
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
0
1
L
04.12.25
Cop
Rayo Vallecano
Real Ávila
2
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Slovan Bratislava
1
2
L
23.11.25
La
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
0
0
D
H2H away: Rayo Vallecano
23.05.26
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
W
14.01.26
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
L
29.03.25
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0
2
W
10.03.24
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
L
16.04.22
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
L
28.01.19
H2H
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
W