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SPAIN › LA LIGA
30.08.2025 15:00
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain
Alaves
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
G. Simeone
Atletico Madrid
⚽
14'
C. Vicente
Alaves
🟨
29'
Johnny Cardoso
Atletico Madrid
🟨
38'
Moussa Diarra
Alaves
🟨
42'
Alexander Sørloth
Atletico Madrid
🔄
57'
J. Guridi ↔ V. Parada
Alaves
🔄
58'
M. Diarra ↔ A. Guevara
Alaves
🔄
72'
J. Cardoso ↔ M. Ruggeri
Atletico Madrid
🔄
72'
D. Hancko ↔ C. Gallagher
Atletico Madrid
🔄
73'
T. Almada ↔ A. Griezmann
Atletico Madrid
🔄
79'
P. Ibanez ↔ C. Protesoni
Alaves
🔄
80'
T. Martinez ↔ M. Diaz
Alaves
🟨
84'
Victor Parada
Alaves
🔄
88'
G. Simeone ↔ Koke
Atletico Madrid
🔄
88'
J. Alvarez ↔ G. Raspadori
Atletico Madrid
🔄
89'
↔ D. Suarez
Alaves
🟨
90+4'
Koke
Atletico Madrid

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Alaves Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico Madrid Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves1.2
Atletico Madrid1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alaves Alaves
WWDLW
2 GF / 2 GA
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
2 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
4.5
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alaves Alaves 2 matches
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2 matches
Alaves Statistic Atletico Madrid
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
2 Goals For 2
2 Goals Against 3
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
1 BTTS Yes 2
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
4.5 Shots On Goal 5
13 Total Shots 14
6 Corners 6.5
56.5% Ball Possession 59%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 2 times, Atletico Madrid won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:24 from Alaves's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Alaves 4-4-2 / Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
H2H summary: Alaves wins 2, draws 3, Atletico Madrid wins 10

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2