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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
24.10.2026 18:00
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.7%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al Riyadh Win 77.7%
Draw 11.7%
Al Taawon Win 10.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Riyadh1.39
Al Taawon1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
WWDLW
11 GF / 19 GA
Al Taawon Al Taawon
WLDWL
8 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
0.73
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
4
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
5
2.63
Shots on Goal
3.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 9 matches
Al Taawon Al Taawon 11 matches
Al Riyadh Statistic Al Taawon
2 Wins 1
4 Draws 5
3 Losses 5
11 Goals For 8
19 Goals Against 18
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
2.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
4 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 6
2.63 Shots On Goal 3.22
11 Total Shots 14.22
3.5 Corners 6.11
40.6% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Al Taawon arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Al Taawon. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Al Riyadh arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 12 with 9 points compared to Al Taawon in 17 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Al Riyadh Analysis

Al Riyadh are currently 12 in the standings with 9 points from 8 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 9:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Okou (3 goals), Trézéguet (2 goals), R. Abascal (1 goals), with creative support from Trézéguet (1 assists), R. Abascal (1 assists), B. Mensah (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Taawon Analysis

With 3 points from 8 games and a place of 17, Al Taawon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 3:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Hamed Allah (2 goals), Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji (1 goals), with creative support from M. Petkov (1 assists), Y. El Bahraoui (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Al Riyadh won 2 times, Al Taawon won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Al Riyadh's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.4%)
Predicted formations: Al Riyadh 4-2-3-1 / Al Taawon 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Al Riyadh wins 2, draws 2, Al Taawon wins 2

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 23:9 14 22
W W D W W
2 8 7 0 1 26:7 19 21
W W L W W
3 8 6 1 1 19:7 12 19
W D W L W
4 8 5 2 1 14:9 5 17
L W W W D
5 9 5 1 3 14:8 6 16
L D W W W
6 8 5 0 3 20:10 10 15
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 13:12 1 15
W D D D W
8 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
D L D W L
9 9 3 3 3 14:18 -4 12
L L L W D
10 9 2 3 4 10:13 -3 9
L D L W D
11 9 1 6 2 6:11 -5 9
W D D D L
12 8 2 3 3 9:17 -8 9
D W D L W
13 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
W D L L D
14 9 1 4 4 8:14 -6 7
L D D L D
15 8 1 3 4 8:15 -7 6
W L D D L
16 9 1 3 5 7:17 -10 6
W L L L D
17 9 0 4 5 4:16 -12 4
D L L L D
18 8 0 2 6 6:15 -9 2
L D L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1