SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
29.04.2026 16:00
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Referee: L. M. Branco Godinho
Al Riyadh
Match Timeline
Al-Qadisiyah FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
A. Al Salem · Assist: C. Bonsu Baah
Al-Qadisiyah FC
VAR
17'
Julián Quiñones
Al-Qadisiyah FC
🔄
46'
O. Al Boardi ↔ M. Sylla
Al Riyadh
🔄
46'
S. Hazazi ↔ M. H. Tambakti
Al Riyadh
🟨
56'
Marzouq Tambakti
Al Riyadh
🔄
66'
M. Al Juwayr ↔ A. A. Hazazi
Al-Qadisiyah FC
🔄
69'
A. Al Siyahi ↔ E. Sali
Al Riyadh
🔄
76'
Otavio ↔ Gabriel Carvalho
Al-Qadisiyah FC
77'
A. Al Salem · Assist: Gabriel Carvalho
Al-Qadisiyah FC
🔄
83'
T. Okou ↔ H. A. Bahri E.
Al Riyadh
🔄
83'
A. Al Salem ↔ H. Asiri
Al-Qadisiyah FC
87'
J. Quinones · Assist: C. Bonsu Baah
Al-Qadisiyah FC
🟨
89'
Abdulelah Al Khaibari
Al Riyadh
🟨
90+4'
Koen Casteels
Al-Qadisiyah FC
90'
J. Quinones · Assist: M. Abu Al Shamat
Al-Qadisiyah FC

Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 85.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
77.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
85.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Away / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Al Riyadh Win 22.7%
Draw 0%
Al-Qadisiyah FC Win 77.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Riyadh1.05
Al-Qadisiyah FC2.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
WWDLW
30 GF / 54 GA
Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC
WLDWL
67 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
2.31
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
20
BTTS Yes
20
15
Over 2.5
20
3.9
Shots on Goal
5.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 29 matches
Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 29 matches
Al Riyadh Statistic Al-Qadisiyah FC
5 Wins 18
8 Draws 8
16 Losses 3
30 Goals For 67
54 Goals Against 31
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 2.31
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
20 BTTS Yes 20
25 Over 1.5 25
15 Over 2.5 20
10 Over 3.5 16
2 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 2
3.9 Shots On Goal 5.1
12.17 Total Shots 14.55
5.17 Corners 7.48
42.3% Ball Possession 60.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Al-Qadisiyah FC's more proactive style and Al Riyadh's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Al-Qadisiyah FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 62 points while Al Riyadh sit 16 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Riyadh expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Al-Qadisiyah FC in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Qadisiyah FC having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Al-Qadisiyah FC. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Al Riyadh Analysis

Al Riyadh sit 16 with 23 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats with a 30:54 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Sylla (8 goals), Toze (8 goals), L. Antunes (6 goals), with creative support from Teddy Okou (6 assists), Toze (4 assists), Ismaila Soro (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Qadisiyah FC Analysis

Placed 4 with 62 points from 29 outings, Al-Qadisiyah FC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 18 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, while the 67:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Quinones (26 goals), M. Retegui (16 goals), N. Nandez (8 goals), with creative support from M. Al Juwayr (9 assists), C. Bonsu Baah (8 assists), M. Abu Al Shamat (7 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Al Riyadh won 1 times, Al-Qadisiyah FC won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:13 from Al Riyadh's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Al Riyadh 4-2-3-1 / Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-5-2
H2H summary: Al Riyadh wins 1, draws 1, Al-Qadisiyah FC wins 4

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation