SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Referee: A. Ali Bakri
Al Riyadh
Match Timeline
Al Okhdood
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
Toze · Assist: S. Hazazi
Al Riyadh
🔄
46'
G. Gul ↔ M. Al-Qahtani
Al Okhdood
🔄
46'
K. Al Lazam ↔ S. Al Abbas
Al Okhdood
🟨
58'
Hussain Al Zabdani
Al Okhdood
🔄
60'
T. Nguen ↔ M. Al Jahif
Al Okhdood
🔄
60'
H. Al Zabdani ↔ M. Al Qaydhi
Al Okhdood
🔄
61'
A. Al Siyahi ↔ M. Al Khaibari
Al Riyadh
🟨
64'
Leandro Antunes
Al Riyadh
🔄
69'
C. Bassogog ↔ B. Ince
Al Okhdood
🟨
69'
Ghassan Hawsawi
Al Okhdood
🔄
86'
M. Sylla ↔ S. Haroun
Al Riyadh
🔄
86'
L. Antunes ↔ H. A. Bahri E.
Al Riyadh
🟨
88'
Victor Lekhal
Al Riyadh
🔄
90+1'
T. Okou ↔ A. Al Harfi
Al Riyadh

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 34.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 28.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
34.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
28.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Al Riyadh Win 73.1%
Draw 8.2%
Al Okhdood Win 18.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Riyadh1.45
Al Okhdood1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
WWDLW
34 GF / 63 GA
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood
WLDWL
27 GF / 69 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
0.82
1.91
Average Goals Conceded
2.09
22
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
18
3.97
Shots on Goal
3.12

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 33 matches
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 33 matches
Al Riyadh Statistic Al Okhdood
6 Wins 5
9 Draws 5
18 Losses 23
34 Goals For 27
63 Goals Against 69
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 2.09
22 BTTS Yes 16
28 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 18
12 Over 3.5 12
3 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 15
3.97 Shots On Goal 3.12
12.58 Total Shots 8.45
5 Corners 3.76
41.9% Ball Possession 41.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Riyadh expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Al Okhdood in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Okhdood having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Al Okhdood.

Al Riyadh Analysis

With 27 points from 33 games and a place of 16, Al Riyadh still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 18 defeats with a 34:63 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Sylla (10 goals), Toze (8 goals), L. Antunes (7 goals), with creative support from Teddy Okou (8 assists), Toze (5 assists), Ismaila Soro (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Okhdood Analysis

Al Okhdood sit 17 with 20 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 23 defeats, and the 27:69 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Al Hatila (4 goals), C. Bassogog (4 goals), K. Narey (4 goals), with creative support from C. Bassogog (5 assists), K. Narey (3 assists), G. Gul (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Al Riyadh won 5 times, Al Okhdood won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:15 from Al Riyadh's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Al Riyadh 4-1-4-1 / Al Okhdood 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Al Riyadh wins 5, draws 1, Al Okhdood wins 4

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
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