Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
71.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Al-Nassr
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Al-Nassr
29 matches
Al-Ahli Jeddah
28 matches
| Al-Nassr | Statistic | Al-Ahli Jeddah |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 20 |
| 1 | Draws | 6 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 79 | Goals For | 55 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 2.72 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.96 |
| 0.72 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 7.41 | Shots On Goal | 5.07 |
| 19.03 | Total Shots | 12.57 |
| 7.07 | Corners | 5.96 |
| 59.6% | Ball Possession | 47.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Al-Nassr come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Al-Ahli Jeddah. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Nassr expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Al-Ahli Jeddah in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Ahli Jeddah having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Operating from 1 place with 76 points from 29 games, Al-Nassr bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 25 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 79:21, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through C. Ronaldo (24 goals), Joao Felix (16 goals), S. Mane (9 goals), with creative support from Joao Felix (11 assists), K. Coman (10 assists), Angelo (6 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 13 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Al-Ahli Jeddah approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 66 points after 28 outings. With 20 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 55:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by I. Toney (27 goals), R. Mahrez (4 goals), Valentin Atangana Edoa (4 goals), with creative support from R. Mahrez (7 assists), Galeno (7 assists), I. Toney (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al-Nassr won 8 times, Al-Ahli Jeddah won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:19 from Al-Nassr's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Al-Nassr
3
1
3
2
1
1
Lineups
Al-Nassr
Damac
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Nassr
Al Okhdood
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Nassr
NEOM
Al-Nassr
Al-Fayha
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al-Hazm
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Nassr
Al Riyadh
Al-Nassr
Al Kholood
Al-Nassr
Al Taawon
Al-Nassr
Damac
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Kholood
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Taawon
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Fateh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Okhdood
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Fayha
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Damac
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Riyadh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Damac
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Najma
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Shabab
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Hazm
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ahli Jeddah
NEOM
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Kholood
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Taawon
Al-Nassr
Damac
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Nassr
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
NEOM
Al-Nassr
Al-Hazm
Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Nassr
Al Taawon
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
Al Okhdood
Al-Nassr
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Nassr
Al-Fayha
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
Al-Nassr
Al Riyadh
Al-Nassr
Al Kholood
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Taawon
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Fayha
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Riyadh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Damac
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Shabab
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
NEOM
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Kholood
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Okhdood
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Fateh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Najma
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Hazm
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ettifaq
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Nassr
Home
|
34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 63 | 86 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 58 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Away
|
34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 46 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 49 | 77 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 7 | 55 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 13 | 53 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | -4 | 50 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 45 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | -19 | 42 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | -13 | 38 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | -14 | 37 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | -8 | 37 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | -13 | 35 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | -22 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | -28 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | -23 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | -43 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | -44 | 16 |
W
L
D
D
L
|