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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
22.10.2026 13:40
Al-Hazem Club Stadium

Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al-Hazm Win 74.5%
Draw 7.8%
Al-Fayha Win 17.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Hazm1.47
Al-Fayha1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Hazm Al-Hazm
WWDLW
10 GF / 13 GA
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha
WLDWL
10 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
0.77
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
2
6
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
7
3.22
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 9 matches
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 13 matches
Al-Hazm Statistic Al-Fayha
2 Wins 1
3 Draws 5
4 Losses 7
10 Goals For 10
13 Goals Against 26
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 2
6 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 7
3.22 Shots On Goal 3.6
9.67 Total Shots 11.1
3.44 Corners 3
46.7% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al-Fayha. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Hazm expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Al-Fayha in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Fayha having the stronger overall control.

Al-Hazm Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Al-Hazm have collected 9 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 8:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi (2 goals), S. Bendebka (1 goals), Afimico Pululu (1 goals), with creative support from S. Bendebka (1 assists), Afimico Pululu (1 assists), Ahmed Al Nakhli (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Fayha Analysis

Al-Fayha sit 13 with 7 points after 8 league matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 8:12 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Lázaro (3 goals), Hugo Moura (2 goals), Jason (1 goals), with creative support from Lázaro (1 assists), Jason (1 assists), Ahmed Bamasud (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Al-Hazm won 6 times, Al-Fayha won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:12 from Al-Hazm's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Al-Hazm 4-2-3-1 / Al-Fayha 4-3-3
H2H summary: Al-Hazm wins 6, draws 4, Al-Fayha wins 4

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 23:9 14 22
W W D W W
2 8 7 0 1 26:7 19 21
W W L W W
3 8 6 1 1 19:7 12 19
W D W L W
4 8 5 2 1 14:9 5 17
L W W W D
5 9 5 1 3 14:8 6 16
L D W W W
6 8 5 0 3 20:10 10 15
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 13:12 1 15
W D D D W
8 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
D L D W L
9 9 3 3 3 14:18 -4 12
L L L W D
10 10 2 6 2 9:13 -4 12
W W D D D
11 9 2 3 4 10:13 -3 9
L D L W D
12 8 2 3 3 9:17 -8 9
D W D L W
13 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
W D L L D
14 9 1 4 4 8:14 -6 7
L D D L D
15 8 1 3 4 8:15 -7 6
W L D D L
16 10 1 3 6 9:20 -11 6
L W L L L
17 9 0 4 5 4:16 -12 4
D L L L D
18 8 0 2 6 6:15 -9 2
L D L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1