Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Al-Fateh
NEOM
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Al-Fateh
29 matches
NEOM
30 matches
| Al-Fateh | Statistic | NEOM |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 11 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 13 | Losses | 12 |
| 36 | Goals For | 38 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.59 | Shots On Goal | 4.63 |
| 12.21 | Total Shots | 12.73 |
| 5.34 | Corners | 4.83 |
| 45.6% | Ball Possession | 51.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward NEOM. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Fateh expected to line up in 3-2-4-1 and NEOM in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward NEOM having the stronger overall control. Al-Fateh have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Al-Fateh approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 32 points from 29 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats with a 36:49 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Batna (8 goals), Matías Vargas (7 goals), S. Bendebka (7 goals), with creative support from M. Batna (8 assists), Wesley Delgado (3 assists), Matías Vargas (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
NEOM are currently 8 in the standings with 40 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, while the 38:42 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Lacazette (11 goals), S. Benrahma (7 goals), L. Rodriguez (6 goals), with creative support from S. Benrahma (7 assists), A. Lacazette (4 assists), A. Doucoure (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Al-Fateh won 1 times, NEOM won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Al-Fateh's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Al-Fateh
9
6
8
5
5
8
Lineups
Al-Fateh
Al Kholood
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al Riyadh
Al-Fateh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Fateh
Al Shabab
Al-Fateh
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Fateh
Al Okhdood
Al-Fateh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fateh
Al Taawon
Al-Fateh
Damac
Al-Fateh
Al Okhdood
Al-Fateh
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fateh
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Fateh
Al-Hazm
Al-Fateh
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Fateh
Al-Fayha
Al-Fateh
Al Kholood
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al Riyadh
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
NEOM
Al Shabab
NEOM
Al-Hazm
NEOM
Al Najma
NEOM
Al-Ittihad FC
NEOM
Al-Fayha
NEOM
Al Taawon
NEOM
Al-Nassr
NEOM
Al Kholood
NEOM
Al-Fayha
NEOM
Al Khaleej Saihat
NEOM
Al-Qadisiyah FC
NEOM
Al Riyadh
NEOM
Al Okhdood
NEOM
Damac
NEOM
Al-Ahli Jeddah
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
NEOM
Al Shabab
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Fateh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fateh
Damac
Al-Fateh
Al Okhdood
Al-Fateh
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
Al-Hazm
Al-Fateh
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Fateh
Al Kholood
Al-Fateh
Al Riyadh
Al-Fateh
Al Shabab
Al-Fateh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Fateh
Al Taawon
Al-Fateh
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fateh
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Fateh
Al-Fayha
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
NEOM
Al Najma
NEOM
Al-Ittihad FC
NEOM
Al-Nassr
NEOM
Al-Fayha
NEOM
Al Khaleej Saihat
NEOM
Al-Qadisiyah FC
NEOM
Al Okhdood
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
NEOM
Al Shabab
NEOM
Al-Hazm
NEOM
Al Taawon
NEOM
Al Kholood
NEOM
Al Riyadh
NEOM
Damac
NEOM
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 63 | 86 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 58 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 46 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 49 | 77 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 7 | 55 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 13 | 53 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | -4 | 50 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
NEOM
Away
|
34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 45 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | -19 | 42 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | -13 | 38 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Al-Fateh
Home
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | -14 | 37 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | -8 | 37 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | -13 | 35 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | -22 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | -28 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | -23 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | -43 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | -44 | 16 |
W
L
D
D
L
|