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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
20.10.2026 15:00
Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 77.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
77.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
53.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al Diriyah Win 44.6%
Draw 32.5%
Al Riyadh Win 22.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Diriyah1.61
Al Riyadh1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Diriyah Al Diriyah
WWDLW
14 GF / 10 GA
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
WLDWL
11 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
2.11
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
5
2.33
Shots on Goal
2.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Diriyah Al Diriyah 11 matches
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 9 matches
Al Diriyah Statistic Al Riyadh
5 Wins 2
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 3
14 Goals For 11
10 Goals Against 19
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11
4 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 3
2.33 Shots On Goal 2.63
10 Total Shots 11
4.56 Corners 3.5
43.2% Ball Possession 40.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al Riyadh. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Diriyah expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Al Riyadh in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Riyadh having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Al Diriyah Analysis

So far, Al Diriyah have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 11 points from 8 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 7:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Núñez (3 goals), A. Boulbina (2 goals), Abdulelah Al Malki (1 goals), with creative support from Óscar Rodríguez (3 assists), Abdulaziz Al Faraj (1 assists), C. Diandy (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Riyadh Analysis

So far, Al Riyadh have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 9 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 9:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Okou (3 goals), Trézéguet (2 goals), R. Abascal (1 goals), with creative support from Trézéguet (1 assists), R. Abascal (1 assists), B. Mensah (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (77.1%)
Predicted formations: Al Diriyah 5-3-2 / Al Riyadh 4-2-3-1

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 23:9 14 22
W W D W W
2 8 7 0 1 26:7 19 21
W W L W W
3 8 6 1 1 19:7 12 19
W D W L W
4 8 5 2 1 14:9 5 17
L W W W D
5 8 5 1 2 14:7 7 16
D W W W L
6 8 5 0 3 20:10 10 15
W W L W L
7 8 3 3 2 12:12 0 12
D D D W L
8 9 3 3 3 14:18 -4 12
L L L W D
9 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L D W L W
10 9 2 3 4 10:13 -3 9
L D L W D
11 9 1 6 2 6:11 -5 9
W D D D L
12 8 2 3 3 9:17 -8 9
D W D L W
13 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
W D L L D
14 9 1 4 4 8:14 -6 7
L D D L D
15 8 1 3 4 8:15 -7 6
W L D D L
16 9 1 3 5 7:17 -10 6
W L L L D
17 8 0 3 5 3:15 -12 3
L L L D L
18 8 0 2 6 6:15 -9 2
L D L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1