RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Akhmat-Arena
Referee: S. Cheban
Akhmat
Match Timeline
Nizhny Novgorod
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Georgiy Melkadze
Akhmat
🟨
44'
Lechii Sadulaev
Akhmat
🔄
46'
D. Lesovoy ↔ A. Sidorenko
Nizhny Novgorod
55'
L. Sadulaev
Akhmat
60'
E. Cacintura · Assist: M. Samorodov
Akhmat
🔄
64'
Y. Koledin ↔ A. Ivlev
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
75'
M. Samorodov ↔ B. Mansilla
Akhmat
🔄
75'
G. Melkadze ↔ M. Konate
Akhmat
🟨
78'
Ismael Silva
Akhmat
🔄
85'
E. Cacintura ↔ M. Keliano
Akhmat
🔄
85'
↔ M. Urvantsev
Nizhny Novgorod

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 91.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
91.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Akhmat Win 91.7%
Draw 5.9%
Nizhny Novgorod Win 2.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Akhmat1.34
Nizhny Novgorod1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Akhmat Akhmat
WWDLW
31 GF / 37 GA
Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod
WLDWL
23 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
0.85
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
15
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
15
3.48
Shots on Goal
3.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Akhmat Akhmat 27 matches
Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod 27 matches
Akhmat Statistic Nizhny Novgorod
8 Wins 6
8 Draws 4
11 Losses 17
31 Goals For 23
37 Goals Against 44
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
15 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 21
12 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 13
3.48 Shots On Goal 3.78
11.93 Total Shots 10.81
4.3 Corners 4.37
45.3% Ball Possession 42.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Nizhny Novgorod. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Akhmat expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nizhny Novgorod in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nizhny Novgorod having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Akhmat Analysis

Akhmat approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 32 points from 27 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 31:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Cacintura (7 goals), G. Melkadze (7 goals), M. Samorodov (5 goals), with creative support from M. Samorodov (4 assists), E. Cacintura (3 assists), M. Konate (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nizhny Novgorod Analysis

With 22 points from 27 games and a place of 15, Nizhny Novgorod still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 17 defeats with a 23:44 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Juan Manuel Boselli (8 goals), O. Olusegun (5 goals), A. Balboa (3 goals), with creative support from Juan Manuel Boselli (2 assists), Renaldo Cephas (2 assists), Egor Smelov (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Akhmat won 7 times, Nizhny Novgorod won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from Akhmat's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (97.6%)
Predicted formations: Akhmat 4-2-3-1 / Nizhny Novgorod 4-3-3
Missing players: Akhmat 3, Nizhny Novgorod 3
H2H summary: Akhmat wins 7, draws 0, Nizhny Novgorod wins 5
Stats
Akhmat Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
8 Corner Kicks 5
16 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 2
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
317 Total passes 437
257 Passes accurate 377
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Akhmat
Formation
Nizhny Novgorod
G. Shelia
G. Shelia
M. Sidorov
M. Sidorov
O. Ndong
O. Ndong
K. Cake
K. Cake
M. Bogosavac
M. Bogosavac
S. Pryakhin
S. Pryakhin
I. Silva
I. Silva
M. Samorodov
🎯
M. Samorodov
E. Cacintura
E. Cacintura
L. Sadulaev
L. Sadulaev
G. Melkadze
G. Melkadze
N. Medvedev
N. Medvedev
M. Shnaptsev
M. Shnaptsev
N. Kakkoev
N. Kakkoev
I. Kirsch
I. Kirsch
Y. Koledin
Y. Koledin
S. Karic
S. Karic
L. Ticic
L. Ticic
D. Lesovoy
D. Lesovoy
N. Kalinski
N. Kalinski
A. Balboa
A. Balboa
R. Cephas
R. Cephas
Akhmat 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
88
G. Shelia
G
81
M. Sidorov
D
90
O. Ndong
D
5
K. Cake
D
8
M. Bogosavac
D
19
S. Pryakhin
M
11
I. Silva
🟨 78'
M
20
M. Samorodov
🎯 60' ↓ 75'
M
17
E. Cacintura
⚽ 60' ↓ 85'
M
7
L. Sadulaev
⚽ 55' 🟨 44'
M
77
G. Melkadze
↓ 75' 🟨 34'
F
Substitutes
72
Y. Magomedov
G
9
B. Mansilla
↑ 75'
F
13
M. Konate
↑ 75'
F
82
D. Khlusevich
D
23
G. Kenzhebek
M
42
M. Keliano
↑ 85'
M
37
P. Gadio
M
22
M. Zare
D
40
R. Utsiev
D
80
V. Tsarukyan
M
27
A. Davlitgereev
M
2
D. Abdulkadyrov
D
Nizhny Novgorod 4-1-3-2
Starting XI
30
N. Medvedev
G
70
M. Shnaptsev
D
22
N. Kakkoev
D
4
I. Kirsch
D
3
Y. Koledin
↓ 64'
D
25
S. Karic
M
29
L. Ticic
M
88
D. Lesovoy
↓ 46'
M
78
N. Kalinski
M
10
A. Balboa
F
21
R. Cephas
F
Substitutes
1
V. Lukyanov
G
51
E. Koshkin
G
2
V. Aleksandrov
D
8
M. Maiga
M
17
E. Smelov
M
14
M. Urvantsev
↑ 85'
F
77
A. Ivlev
↑ 64'
M
27
V. Grulev
F
16
Y. Krashevskiy
D
69
A. Sidorenko
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: Akhmat
16.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Ajman
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Radnik Bijeljina
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
IMT Novi Beograd
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
1
1
D
29.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
Borac Banja Luka
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
OFK Beograd
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Sochi
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Zenit
0
2
L
23.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Baltika
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Akron
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
2
2
D
01.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Baltika
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Olmaliq
3
2
W
11.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Bars
2
0
W
Last matches: Nizhny Novgorod
04.07.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
1
2
L
29.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Tekstilshchik
6
1
W
21.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
2
1
W
16.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
2
2
D
17.05.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
CSKA Moscow
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Baltika
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Rostov
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
0
5
L
15.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Krylia Sovetov
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FK Tobol Kostanay
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Enisey
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Torpedo Moskva
2
4
L
17.01.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Chelyabinsk
0
1
L
07.12.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
0
W
H2H: Akhmat vs Nizhny Novgorod
03.05.26
H2H
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
20.09.25
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
1
2
W
26.04.25
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
1
0
L
03.11.24
H2H
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
0
2
L
19.09.24
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
1
2
W
31.07.24
H2H
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
4
1
W
28.04.24
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Nizhny Novgorod
5
1
L
14.08.23
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat Grozny
2
0
L
11.11.22
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat Grozny
3
2
L
10.09.22
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Nizhny Novgorod
1
3
W
07.05.22
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat Grozny
0
1
W
07.11.21
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Nizhny Novgorod
3
1
L
Last matches: Akhmat
16.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Ajman
1
0
W
29.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
Borac Banja Luka
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
OFK Beograd
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
23.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Baltika
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Olmaliq
3
2
W
11.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Bars
2
0
W
02.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
FK Vozdovac
3
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
FC UFA
1
2
L
29.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
Vardar Skopje
1
0
W
18.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
OFK Beograd
3
0
W
05.12.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
Akhmat
Dynamo
2
1
W
09.11.25
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
27.10.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Sochi
2
4
L
27.09.25
Pre
Akhmat
Akron
3
0
W
13.09.25
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
H2H at home: Akhmat
03.05.26
H2H
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
03.11.24
H2H
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
0
2
L
31.07.24
H2H
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
4
1
W
Last matches: Nizhny Novgorod
04.07.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
2
2
D
22.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Baltika
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
0
5
L
28.02.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Torpedo Moskva
2
4
L
07.12.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Akron
2
1
W
31.10.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
CSKA Moscow
0
2
L
05.10.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
1
2
L
28.09.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
0
3
L
30.08.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Zenit
0
2
L
23.08.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
0
3
L
10.08.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Rostov
0
1
L
25.07.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Krylia Sovetov
0
2
L
H2H away: Nizhny Novgorod
03.05.26
H2H
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
L
03.11.24
H2H
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
0
2
W
31.07.24
H2H
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
4
1
L
28.04.24
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Nizhny Novgorod
5
1
L
10.09.22
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Nizhny Novgorod
1
3
W
07.11.21
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Nizhny Novgorod
3
1
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Akhmat 3 missing
-
T. Ibishev
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
M. Keliano
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
V. Ulyanov
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Nizhny Novgorod 3 missing
-
A. Ektov
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
E. Farina
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
A. Sarfo
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT