Akhmat vs Nizhny Novgorod Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
91.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Akhmat
27 matches
Nizhny Novgorod
27 matches
| Akhmat | Statistic | Nizhny Novgorod |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Draws | 4 |
| 11 | Losses | 17 |
| 31 | Goals For | 23 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.85 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 3.48 | Shots On Goal | 3.78 |
| 11.93 | Total Shots | 10.81 |
| 4.3 | Corners | 4.37 |
| 45.3% | Ball Possession | 42.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Nizhny Novgorod. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Akhmat expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nizhny Novgorod in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nizhny Novgorod having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Akhmat approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 32 points from 27 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 31:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Cacintura (7 goals), G. Melkadze (7 goals), M. Samorodov (5 goals), with creative support from M. Samorodov (4 assists), E. Cacintura (3 assists), M. Konate (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 22 points from 27 games and a place of 15, Nizhny Novgorod still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 17 defeats with a 23:44 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Juan Manuel Boselli (8 goals), O. Olusegun (5 goals), A. Balboa (3 goals), with creative support from Juan Manuel Boselli (2 assists), Renaldo Cephas (2 assists), Egor Smelov (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Akhmat won 7 times, Nizhny Novgorod won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from Akhmat's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 53:19 | 34 | 68 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 60:23 | 37 | 66 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 54:39 | 15 | 53 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 51 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 38:21 | 17 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 51:40 | 11 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 43 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Akhmat
Home
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 37 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 35:53 | -18 | 27 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Nizhny Novgorod
Away
|
30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:50 | -24 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 16 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|