RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
13.09.2026 11:30
Akhmat-Arena

Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.5%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Akhmat Win 52.4%
Draw 4.5%
Dinamo Makhachkala Win 43.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Akhmat1.42
Dinamo Makhachkala1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Akhmat Akhmat
WWDLW
37 GF / 18 GA
Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala
WLDWL
38 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.81
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
10
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
13
4.43
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Akhmat Akhmat 21 matches
Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 21 matches
Akhmat Statistic Dinamo Makhachkala
11 Wins 13
6 Draws 2
4 Losses 6
37 Goals For 38
18 Goals Against 19
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
10 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 9
3 Failed To Score 4
4.43 Shots On Goal 4.71
13.57 Total Shots 13.71
4.71 Corners 4.14
48% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Akhmat's more proactive style and Dinamo Makhachkala's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dinamo Makhachkala. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Akhmat expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dinamo Makhachkala in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dinamo Makhachkala having the stronger overall control. Dinamo Makhachkala arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Akhmat Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Akhmat have collected 6 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 9:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Georgiy Melkadze (2 goals), Egas Cacintura (1 goals), Erald Maksuti (1 goals), with creative support from Arsen Adamov (1 assists), Lechi Sadulaev (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Dinamo Makhachkala Analysis

Dinamo Makhachkala sit 7 with 9 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 10:10 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Nikita Glushkov (2 goals), Miro (2 goals), Daniil Lesovoy (1 goals), with creative support from Nikita Glushkov (2 assists), Daniil Lesovoy (1 assists), Houssem Eddine Mrezigue (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Akhmat won 1 times, Dinamo Makhachkala won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Akhmat's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Akhmat 4-2-3-1 / Dinamo Makhachkala 5-3-2
H2H summary: Akhmat wins 1, draws 4, Dinamo Makhachkala wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 13:6 7 19
D W W W W
2 7 4 3 0 11:7 4 15
W D W W D
3 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
W W W L W
4 7 4 1 2 12:7 5 13
L D W W L
5 7 4 0 3 14:6 8 12
L W L W L
6 7 4 0 3 12:10 2 12
W L L W L
7 7 3 1 3 10:7 3 10
L W D L W
8 7 2 4 1 10:9 1 10
D W D D D
9 7 2 2 3 10:11 -1 8
W L L D D
10 7 1 5 1 7:9 -2 8
D D D D D
11 7 1 4 2 10:9 1 7
D D W L D
12 7 1 4 2 10:12 -2 7
D D W L L
13 7 1 3 3 6:8 -2 6
W L L D D
14 7 1 1 5 8:19 -11 4
L L L D W
15 7 0 4 3 8:17 -9 4
D D L D D
16 7 0 2 5 4:10 -6 2
L L D L D
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL