UNITED-ARAB-EMIRATES PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Ajman Stadium
Referee: A. Jamali
Ajman
Match Timeline
Al Nasr
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
W. Azarou · Assist: V. Henrique
Ajman
🟨
30'
M. Ghaedi
Al Nasr
42'
W. Azarou · Assist: V. Henrique
Ajman
🔄
46'
V. Henrique ↔ J. Flemmings
Ajman
🔄
46'
M. Abdulbasit ↔ K. Agudelo
Al Nasr
🔄
46'
Glauber ↔ S. Saatci
Al Nasr
🔄
46'
M. Ghaedi ↔ C. Doumbia
Al Nasr
52'
C. Doumbia
Al Nasr
🔄
63'
R. Mierez ↔ M. Azarkan
Al Nasr
🟨
67'
Y. Jabrane
Ajman
🔄
73'
S. El Hadani ↔ O. Al Zaabi
Ajman
🔄
83'
Biro ↔ A. Saleh
Ajman
🔄
88'
H. Mahdi ↔ M. Kassem
Al Nasr
🔄
90+4'
Y. Jabrane ↔ A. Abdelaziz
Ajman
90'
A. Toure
Al Nasr

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 18.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 33.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
18.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
33.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ajman Win 33.1%
Draw 4.2%
Al Nasr Win 62.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajman1.11
Al Nasr1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajman Ajman
WWDLW
25 GF / 32 GA
Al Nasr Al Nasr
WLDWL
34 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
9
BTTS Yes
17
8
Over 2.5
12
2.45
Shots on Goal
3.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ajman Ajman 25 matches
Al Nasr Al Nasr 25 matches
Ajman Statistic Al Nasr
9 Wins 9
4 Draws 10
12 Losses 6
25 Goals For 34
32 Goals Against 32
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
9 BTTS Yes 17
16 Over 1.5 19
8 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 4
2.45 Shots On Goal 3.15
7.9 Total Shots 8.25
2.25 Corners 3.3
27.9% Ball Possession 40.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Al Nasr's more proactive style and Ajman's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al Nasr. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ajman expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Al Nasr in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Nasr having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Ajman Analysis

Ajman sit 7 with 31 points after 25 league matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 25:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by W. Azarou (8 goals), Lithierry (5 goals), J. Flemmings (3 goals), with creative support from Lithierry (4 assists), J. Flemmings (4 assists), I. Moumen (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Nasr Analysis

From their first 25 matches, Al Nasr have collected 37 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses, while the 34:32 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Toure (6 goals), Cheickna Doumbia (5 goals), L. Milivojevic (5 goals), with creative support from M. Ghaedi (4 assists), L. Milivojevic (3 assists), Ramón Miérez (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ajman won 5 times, Al Nasr won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:25 from Ajman's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Ajman 3-4-3 / Al Nasr 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ajman wins 5, draws 3, Al Nasr wins 7

Lineups

Ajman
Formation
Al Nasr
A. Al Hosani
A. Al Hosani
S. Suliman
S. Suliman
G. Zajkov
G. Zajkov
Yuri Matias
Yuri Matias
N. A. Mohammed M.
N. A. Mohammed M.
Biro
Biro
B. Al Raeesi
B. Al Raeesi
Y. Jabrane
Y. Jabrane
V. Henrique
🎯
V. Henrique
S. El Hadani
S. El Hadani
W. Azarou
⚽ 2
W. Azarou
A. Al Tamimi
A. Al Tamimi
Z. Al Zaabi
Z. Al Zaabi
Glauber
Glauber
M. Hoibraaten
M. Hoibraaten
D. Petrovic
D. Petrovic
M. Abdulbasit
M. Abdulbasit
H. Mahdi
H. Mahdi
M. Ghaedi
M. Ghaedi
I. Faiz
I. Faiz
A. Toure
A. Toure
R. Mierez
R. Mierez
Ajman 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
81
A. Al Hosani
4
S. Suliman
5
G. Zajkov
44
Yuri Matias
12
N. A. Mohammed M.
20
Biro
↓ 83'
26
B. Al Raeesi
56
Y. Jabrane
↓ 90+4' 🟨 67'
99
V. Henrique
🎯 2' 🎯 42' ↓ 46'
48
S. El Hadani
↓ 73'
9
W. Azarou
⚽ 2' ⚽ 42'
Substitutes
96
M. Yousef
11
A. Abdelaziz
↑ 90+4'
19
R. Marciano
3
A. Saleh
↑ 83'
7
J. Flemmings
↑ 46'
8
M. Al Junaibi
90
O. Al Zaabi
↑ 73'
87
I. Ali
14
F. Ben Njima
97
A. Alblooshi
92
M. Yazan
Al Nasr 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
40
A. Al Tamimi
24
Z. Al Zaabi
4
Glauber
↓ 46'
22
M. Hoibraaten
55
D. Petrovic
8
M. Abdulbasit
↓ 46'
6
H. Mahdi
↓ 88'
10
M. Ghaedi
↓ 46' 🟨 30'
57
I. Faiz
28
A. Toure
⚽ 90'
13
R. Mierez
↓ 63'
Substitutes
37
S. Salem
2
S. Sultan
20
K. Agudelo
↑ 46'
15
S. Saatci
↑ 46'
88
A. Abdulaziz
17
M. Azarkan
↑ 63'
23
C. Doumbia
⚽ 52' ↑ 46'
52
Felipe Motta
75
Z. Osama
35
J. Al-Saadi
51
M. Kassem
↑ 88'
Last matches: Ajman
10.05.26
Pro
Ajman
Dibba Al-Fujairah
2
0
W
05.05.26
Pro
Ajman
Al-Jazira
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pro
Ajman
Al-Dhafra
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pro
Ajman
Al-Wasl FC
1
3
L
05.04.26
Pro
Ajman
Al Ain
0
2
L
18.03.26
Pro
Ajman
Baniyas SC
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pro
Ajman
Al Bataeh
0
1
L
25.02.26
Pro
Ajman
Al Wahda FC
0
2
L
20.02.26
Pro
Ajman
Sharjah FC
3
2
W
14.02.26
Pro
Ajman
Khorfakkan
5
2
W
07.02.26
Pro
Ajman
Al-Ittihad Kalba
3
1
W
28.01.26
Pro
Ajman
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0
1
L
19.01.26
Pro
Ajman
Al-Dhafra
1
1
D
15.01.26
Pro
Ajman
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1
3
L
08.01.26
Pro
Ajman
Al-Jazira
0
3
L
03.01.26
Pro
Ajman
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0
1
L
20.12.25
Pro
Ajman
Dibba Al-Fujairah
2
0
W
22.11.25
Pro
Ajman
Al-Wasl FC
0
0
D
30.10.25
Pro
Ajman
Al Ain
0
3
L
18.10.25
Pro
Ajman
Khorfakkan
1
2
L
Last matches: Al Nasr
11.05.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2
1
W
06.05.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1
2
L
24.04.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Jazira
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Dhafra
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Wahda FC
2
2
D
18.03.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Bataeh
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Sharjah FC
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Dibba Al-Fujairah
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Khorfakkan
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Ain
1
1
D
05.02.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Wasl FC
1
1
D
29.01.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Baniyas SC
0
2
L
17.01.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Khorfakkan
0
0
D
06.01.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Sharjah FC
2
4
L
02.01.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Baniyas SC
2
1
W
28.12.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Ain
2
2
D
21.12.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Bataeh
3
2
W
21.11.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Dhafra
2
0
W
30.10.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Wahda FC
2
3
L
18.10.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Wasl FC
1
2
L
H2H: Ajman vs Al Nasr
15.05.26
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
2
2
D
24.08.25
H2H
Al Nasr
Ajman
1
0
L
27.02.25
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
2
1
W
05.10.24
H2H
Al Nasr
Ajman
3
1
L
21.05.24
H2H
Al Nasr
Ajman
1
1
D
02.04.24
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
1
2
L
16.12.23
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
0
3
L
14.09.23
H2H
Al Nasr
Ajman
4
1
L
30.08.23
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
2
2
D
04.02.23
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
4
1
W
10.09.22
H2H
Al Nasr
Ajman
2
0
L
06.02.22
H2H
Al Nasr
Ajman
0
1
W
22.01.22
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
1
0
W
19.08.21
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
3
0
W
18.02.21
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
0
3
L
Last matches: Ajman
05.05.26
Pro
Ajman
Al-Jazira
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pro
Ajman
Al-Wasl FC
1
3
L
18.03.26
Pro
Ajman
Baniyas SC
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pro
Ajman
Sharjah FC
3
2
W
28.01.26
Pro
Ajman
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0
1
L
19.01.26
Pro
Ajman
Al-Dhafra
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pro
Ajman
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0
1
L
20.12.25
Pro
Ajman
Dibba Al-Fujairah
2
0
W
30.10.25
Pro
Ajman
Al Ain
0
3
L
18.10.25
Pro
Ajman
Khorfakkan
1
2
L
12.09.25
Pro
Ajman
Al Bataeh
1
0
W
17.08.25
Pro
Ajman
Al Wahda FC
0
2
L
H2H at home: Ajman
15.05.26
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
2
2
D
27.02.25
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
2
1
W
02.04.24
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
1
2
L
16.12.23
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
0
3
L
30.08.23
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
2
2
D
04.02.23
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
4
1
W
22.01.22
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
1
0
W
19.08.21
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
3
0
W
18.02.21
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
0
3
L
Last matches: Al Nasr
06.05.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Dhafra
1
0
W
11.03.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Sharjah FC
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Dibba Al-Fujairah
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Ain
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Khorfakkan
0
0
D
02.01.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Baniyas SC
2
1
W
21.12.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Bataeh
3
2
W
30.10.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Wahda FC
2
3
L
18.10.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Wasl FC
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Jazira
0
0
D
16.08.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1
0
W
H2H away: Al Nasr
15.05.26
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
2
2
D
27.02.25
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
2
1
L
02.04.24
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
1
2
W
16.12.23
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
0
3
W
30.08.23
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
2
2
D
04.02.23
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
4
1
L
22.01.22
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
1
0
L
19.08.21
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
3
0
L
18.02.21
H2H
Ajman
Al Nasr
0
3
W

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 21 5 0 62:18 44 68
W W W W W
2 26 17 7 2 60:18 42 58
D D W D L
3 26 14 6 6 39:29 10 48
W W W W W
4 26 13 5 8 46:30 16 44
W L D L W
5 26 10 10 6 38:26 12 40
L D L W D
6 26 9 11 6 36:34 2 38
D W L W W
7
Ajman Home
26 9 5 12 27:34 -7 32
D W D W L
8 26 8 5 13 35:47 -12 29
W D L L D
9 26 6 9 11 35:45 -10 27
L D D D D
10 26 7 6 13 29:43 -14 27
L D D W D
11 26 5 9 12 29:45 -16 24
L L D L D
12 26 6 4 16 28:52 -24 22
W L D L L
13 26 4 9 13 24:37 -13 21
D D L L D
14 26 5 5 16 25:55 -30 20
L L W L L