11.09.2026 18:45
The Airfield
Referee: N. Pratt

Airbus UK vs The New Saints Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.7%
Odds 1.21
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.7%
1.21
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.36
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.22
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Airbus UK Win 38%
Draw 14.3%
The New Saints Win 47.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Airbus UK1.57
The New Saints1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Airbus UK Airbus UK
WWDLW
19 GF / 12 GA
The New Saints The New Saints
WLDWL
22 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.11
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Airbus UK Airbus UK 9 matches
The New Saints The New Saints 13 matches
Airbus UK Statistic The New Saints
6 Wins 8
0 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
19 Goals For 22
12 Goals Against 10
2.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
3 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 1
0 Total Shots 2.5
0 Corners 0.75
0% Ball Possession 11.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward The New Saints. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward The New Saints having the stronger overall control. The New Saints look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The New Saints carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 16 points while Airbus UK sit 9 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Airbus UK Analysis

With 9 points from 6 games and a place of 9, Airbus UK still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 11:9 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

The New Saints Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 16 points from 6 games, The New Saints bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 16:3 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Airbus UK won 1 times, The New Saints won 13 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:73 from Airbus UK's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 5.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.7%)
H2H summary: Airbus UK wins 1, draws 1, The New Saints wins 13

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 17:3 14 19
W W W W W
2 7 6 0 1 17:8 9 18
L W W W W
3 7 5 1 1 18:5 13 16
D W W W W
4 7 5 0 2 18:9 9 15
W L W W W
5 7 5 0 2 15:7 8 15
W L W L W
6 7 4 3 0 11:5 6 15
W D D W W
7 7 4 1 2 18:9 9 13
D W W L L
8 7 4 0 3 13:9 4 12
W W L L W
9 7 3 1 3 8:11 -3 10
L W L W L
10 7 2 3 2 10:10 0 9
D D L W W
11 7 2 1 4 5:12 -7 7
L L L W L
12 7 1 1 5 3:13 -10 4
D W L L L
13 7 0 2 5 4:16 -12 2
L L D L L
14 7 0 2 5 3:18 -15 2
D L D L L
15 7 0 1 6 6:14 -8 1
L L D L L
16 7 0 1 6 10:27 -17 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)