Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
73%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
62.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72.9%
|
- |
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AFC Wimbledon
44 matches
Plymouth
43 matches
| AFC Wimbledon | Statistic | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 19 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 22 | Losses | 18 |
| 49 | Goals For | 66 |
| 67 | Goals Against | 60 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 19 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.09 | Shots On Goal | 4.47 |
| 10.36 | Total Shots | 12.79 |
| 4.61 | Corners | 5.37 |
| 45.8% | Ball Possession | 47.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Plymouth's more proactive style and AFC Wimbledon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Plymouth. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AFC Wimbledon expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Plymouth in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Plymouth having the stronger overall control. Plymouth carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 63 points while AFC Wimbledon sit 20 on 50, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. AFC Wimbledon have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
AFC Wimbledon approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 50 points from 43 matches. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 8 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 49:63 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Browne (12 goals), M. Stevens (9 goals), O. Bugiel (5 goals), with creative support from Steve Seddon (8 assists), O. Bugiel (4 assists), M. Hippolyte (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 42 matches, Plymouth have collected 63 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 19 wins, 6 draws, and 17 losses, while the 66:58 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Pepple (13 goals), O. Oseni (7 goals), C. Watts (6 goals), with creative support from M. Boateng (7 assists), Bali Mumba (5 assists), A. Pepple (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AFC Wimbledon won 5 times, Plymouth won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:27 from AFC Wimbledon's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
AFC Wimbledon
4
10
6
7
5
5
Lineups
AFC Wimbledon
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
Wealdstone
AFC Wimbledon
Charlton
AFC Wimbledon
Norwich
AFC Wimbledon
Sutton Utd
AFC Wimbledon
Huddersfield
AFC Wimbledon
Wigan
AFC Wimbledon
Stockport County
AFC Wimbledon
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
Lincoln
AFC Wimbledon
Stockport County
AFC Wimbledon
Peterborough
AFC Wimbledon
Leyton Orient
AFC Wimbledon
Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
Blackpool
AFC Wimbledon
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town
AFC Wimbledon
Bradford
AFC Wimbledon
Cardiff
Plymouth
Tavistock
Plymouth
Bristol City
Plymouth
Truro City
Plymouth
Torquay
Plymouth
Bath City
Plymouth
Plymouth Parkway
Plymouth
Northampton
Plymouth
Port Vale
Plymouth
Bradford
Plymouth
Exeter City
Plymouth
Barnsley
Plymouth
Bolton
Plymouth
Huddersfield
Plymouth
Stevenage
Plymouth
Reading
Plymouth
Wigan
Plymouth
Doncaster
Plymouth
Rotherham
Plymouth
Cardiff
Plymouth
Leyton Orient
AFC Wimbledon
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
Charlton
AFC Wimbledon
Norwich
AFC Wimbledon
Huddersfield
AFC Wimbledon
Stockport County
AFC Wimbledon
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
Peterborough
AFC Wimbledon
Leyton Orient
AFC Wimbledon
Blackpool
AFC Wimbledon
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
Bradford
AFC Wimbledon
Reading
AFC Wimbledon
Bolton
AFC Wimbledon
Doncaster
AFC Wimbledon
Exeter City
AFC Wimbledon
Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town
AFC Wimbledon
Wigan
AFC Wimbledon
Gateshead
AFC Wimbledon
Burton Albion
Plymouth
Tavistock
Plymouth
Truro City
Plymouth
Torquay
Plymouth
Bath City
Plymouth
Plymouth Parkway
Plymouth
Northampton
Plymouth
Bradford
Plymouth
Barnsley
Plymouth
Reading
Plymouth
Wigan
Plymouth
Rotherham
Plymouth
Leyton Orient
Plymouth
Blackpool
Plymouth
Stockport County
Plymouth
Peterborough
Plymouth
Stevenage
Plymouth
Doncaster
Plymouth
Wycombe
Plymouth
Port Vale
Plymouth
Huddersfield
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Plymouth
Away
|
46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 |
AFC Wimbledon
Home
|
46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|