ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Referee: E. Swallow
AFC Wimbledon
Match Timeline
Plymouth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
A. Mitchell · Assist: M. Boateng
Plymouth
🟨
24'
Ryan Johnson
AFC Wimbledon
🟨
24'
Lorent Tolaj
Plymouth
🟨
45+3'
Mathias Ross
Plymouth
51'
A. Smith · Assist: J. Tilley
AFC Wimbledon
🟨
55'
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu
Plymouth
🔄
62'
C. Watts ↔ A. Pepple
Plymouth
🔄
62'
B. Wiredu ↔ M. Sorinola
Plymouth
🔄
65'
L. Stewart ↔ A. Hackford
AFC Wimbledon
68'
L. Tolaj · Assist: W. Harding
Plymouth
🔄
69'
R. Curtis ↔ X. Amaechi
Plymouth
🔄
71'
N. Asiimwe ↔ A. Sasu
AFC Wimbledon
🔄
71'
J. Reeves ↔ Z. Nelson
AFC Wimbledon
🟨
75'
Steve Seddon
AFC Wimbledon
76'
A. Pepple · Assist: O. Dale
Plymouth
🔄
81'
C. Maycock ↔ O. Foyo
AFC Wimbledon
🔄
85'
L. Tolaj ↔ J. Pleguezuelo
Plymouth

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
62.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72.9%
-
Probability Distribution
AFC Wimbledon Win 22%
Draw 5%
Plymouth Win 73%
Expected Goals (xG)
AFC Wimbledon1.23
Plymouth1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
WWDLW
49 GF / 67 GA
Plymouth Plymouth
WLDWL
66 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
20
BTTS Yes
21
21
Over 2.5
24
3.09
Shots on Goal
4.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 44 matches
Plymouth Plymouth 43 matches
AFC Wimbledon Statistic Plymouth
14 Wins 19
8 Draws 6
22 Losses 18
49 Goals For 66
67 Goals Against 60
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
20 BTTS Yes 21
30 Over 1.5 32
21 Over 2.5 24
12 Over 3.5 16
7 Clean Sheets 12
19 Failed To Score 10
3.09 Shots On Goal 4.47
10.36 Total Shots 12.79
4.61 Corners 5.37
45.8% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Plymouth's more proactive style and AFC Wimbledon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Plymouth. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AFC Wimbledon expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Plymouth in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Plymouth having the stronger overall control. Plymouth carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 63 points while AFC Wimbledon sit 20 on 50, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. AFC Wimbledon have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

AFC Wimbledon Analysis

AFC Wimbledon approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 50 points from 43 matches. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 8 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 49:63 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Browne (12 goals), M. Stevens (9 goals), O. Bugiel (5 goals), with creative support from Steve Seddon (8 assists), O. Bugiel (4 assists), M. Hippolyte (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Plymouth Analysis

From their first 42 matches, Plymouth have collected 63 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 19 wins, 6 draws, and 17 losses, while the 66:58 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Pepple (13 goals), O. Oseni (7 goals), C. Watts (6 goals), with creative support from M. Boateng (7 assists), Bali Mumba (5 assists), A. Pepple (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AFC Wimbledon won 5 times, Plymouth won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:27 from AFC Wimbledon's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: AFC Wimbledon 3-5-2 / Plymouth 4-4-2
H2H summary: AFC Wimbledon wins 5, draws 2, Plymouth wins 8
Stats
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth Plymouth
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
10
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 7
13 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 3
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Goal 10
6 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 18
9 Shots outsidebox 4
7 Goalkeeper Saves 3
335 Total passes 285
216 Passes accurate 175
1.52 expected_goals 3.61
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

AFC Wimbledon
Formation
Plymouth
N. Bishop
N. Bishop
I. Ogundere
I. Ogundere
R. Johnson
R. Johnson
S. Seddon
S. Seddon
J. Reeves
J. Reeves
J. Tilley
🎯
J. Tilley
A. Smith
A. Smith
C. Maycock
C. Maycock
N. Asiimwe
N. Asiimwe
L. Stewart
L. Stewart
R. Nkeng
R. Nkeng
C. Hazard
C. Hazard
J. Edwards
J. Edwards
M. Ross
M. Ross
A. Mitchell
A. Mitchell
W. Harding
🎯
W. Harding
B. Wiredu
B. Wiredu
R. Curtis
R. Curtis
C. Watts
C. Watts
M. Boateng
🎯
M. Boateng
O. Dale
🎯
O. Dale
L. Tolaj
L. Tolaj
AFC Wimbledon 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
1
N. Bishop
G
33
I. Ogundere
D
6
R. Johnson
🟨 24'
D
3
S. Seddon
🟨 75'
D
4
J. Reeves
↓ 71'
M
7
J. Tilley
🎯 51'
M
12
A. Smith
⚽ 51'
M
8
C. Maycock
↓ 81'
M
2
N. Asiimwe
↓ 71'
M
36
L. Stewart
↓ 65'
F
30
R. Nkeng
Substitutes
20
J. McDonnell
G
16
A. Hackford
↑ 65'
F
29
A. Sasu
↑ 71'
F
32
K. Jennings
M
19
O. Foyo
↑ 81'
F
37
Z. Nelson
↑ 71'
M
22
R. Horan
Plymouth 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
C. Hazard
G
8
J. Edwards
D
2
M. Ross
🟨 45+3'
D
15
A. Mitchell
⚽ 6'
D
45
W. Harding
🎯 68'
D
4
B. Wiredu
↓ 62' 🟨 55'
M
28
R. Curtis
↓ 69'
M
17
C. Watts
↓ 62'
M
19
M. Boateng
🎯 6'
M
35
O. Dale
🎯 76'
M
9
L. Tolaj
⚽ 68' ↓ 85' 🟨 24'
F
Substitutes
21
L. Ashby-Hammond
G
5
J. Pleguezuelo
↑ 85'
D
7
J. Paterson
F
10
X. Amaechi
↑ 69'
F
27
A. Pepple
⚽ 76' ↑ 62'
F
29
M. Sorinola
↑ 62'
D
18
O. Oseni
Last matches: AFC Wimbledon
01.08.26
Fri
AFC Wimbledon
QPR
2
3
L
28.07.26
Fri
AFC Wimbledon
Wealdstone
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
AFC Wimbledon
Charlton
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
AFC Wimbledon
Norwich
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
AFC Wimbledon
Sutton Utd
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Huddersfield
0
4
L
25.04.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Wigan
1
0
W
15.04.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Stockport County
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Burton Albion
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Luton
0
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Lincoln
0
1
L
28.03.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Stockport County
0
3
L
21.03.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Peterborough
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Leyton Orient
2
4
L
14.03.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Stevenage
0
1
L
11.03.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Blackpool
4
1
W
08.03.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Northampton
1
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
21.02.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Bradford
3
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Cardiff
1
4
L
Last matches: Plymouth
04.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Tavistock
4
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bristol City
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Truro City
1
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Torquay
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bath City
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Plymouth Parkway
4
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Plymouth
Northampton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Port Vale
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Bradford
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Exeter City
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Barnsley
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Bolton
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Huddersfield
3
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Stevenage
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Reading
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Wigan
3
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Doncaster
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Rotherham
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Cardiff
5
2
W
17.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Leyton Orient
3
1
W
H2H: AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth
18.04.26
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
1
3
L
18.10.25
H2H
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
1
2
W
21.12.22
H2H
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
3
3
D
08.03.22
H2H
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
2
0
L
18.09.21
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
0
1
L
02.04.21
H2H
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
L
19.09.20
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
4
4
D
26.12.18
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
2
1
W
06.10.18
H2H
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
L
13.02.18
H2H
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
4
2
L
21.10.17
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
0
1
L
04.10.16
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
2
1
W
30.05.16
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
2
0
W
09.04.16
H2H
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
1
2
W
01.09.15
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
2
3
L
Last matches: AFC Wimbledon
01.08.26
Fri
AFC Wimbledon
QPR
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
AFC Wimbledon
Charlton
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
AFC Wimbledon
Norwich
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Huddersfield
0
4
L
15.04.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Stockport County
0
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Luton
0
3
L
21.03.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Peterborough
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Leyton Orient
2
4
L
11.03.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Blackpool
4
1
W
08.03.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Northampton
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Bradford
3
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Reading
3
2
W
31.01.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Bolton
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Doncaster
0
1
L
29.12.25
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Exeter City
0
1
L
26.12.25
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Stevenage
0
0
D
13.12.25
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
22.11.25
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Wigan
1
2
L
01.11.25
FA
AFC Wimbledon
Gateshead
0
2
L
25.10.25
Lea
AFC Wimbledon
Burton Albion
0
1
L
H2H at home: AFC Wimbledon
18.04.26
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
1
3
L
18.09.21
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
0
1
L
19.09.20
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
4
4
D
26.12.18
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
2
1
W
21.10.17
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
0
1
L
04.10.16
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
2
1
W
30.05.16
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
2
0
W
01.09.15
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
2
3
L
Last matches: Plymouth
04.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Tavistock
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Truro City
1
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Torquay
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bath City
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Plymouth Parkway
4
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Plymouth
Northampton
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Bradford
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Barnsley
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Reading
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Wigan
3
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Rotherham
0
1
L
17.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Leyton Orient
3
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Blackpool
4
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Stockport County
1
2
L
17.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Peterborough
1
0
W
01.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Stevenage
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Plymouth
Doncaster
5
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Plymouth
Wycombe
1
0
W
22.11.25
Lea
Plymouth
Port Vale
1
0
W
08.11.25
Lea
Plymouth
Huddersfield
1
3
L
H2H away: Plymouth
18.04.26
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
1
3
W
18.09.21
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
0
1
W
19.09.20
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
4
4
D
26.12.18
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
2
1
L
21.10.17
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
0
1
W
04.10.16
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
2
1
L
30.05.16
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
2
0
L
01.09.15
H2H
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
2
3
W

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two