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14.11.2026 15:00
Plough Lane

AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71.5%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.80
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71.5%
1.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.80 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
AFC Wimbledon Win 41.5%
Draw 30%
Blackpool Win 28.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
AFC Wimbledon1.21
Blackpool1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
L L L D L
4 GF / 10 GA
Blackpool Blackpool
W D W L W
9 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
10
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
12
3.06
Shots on Goal
4.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 22 matches
Blackpool Blackpool 20 matches
AFC Wimbledon Statistic Blackpool
5 Wins 6
7 Draws 4
10 Losses 10
18 Goals For 29
31 Goals Against 36
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
10 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 5
3.06 Shots On Goal 4.81
11.24 Total Shots 13.63
6.12 Corners 5.88
43.4% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Blackpool. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AFC Wimbledon expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Blackpool in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Blackpool having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

AFC Wimbledon Analysis

AFC Wimbledon approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 13 points from 13 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats with a 9:21 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Stockley (6 goals), M. Hippolyte (3 goals), with creative support from J. Tilley (2 assists), J. Stockley (1 assists), A. Yiadom (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Blackpool Analysis

Blackpool sit 19 with 12 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 17:21 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Yates (3 goals), J. Bowler (2 goals), T. Bloxham (2 goals), with creative support from J. Bowler (2 assists), T. Bloxham (1 assists), D. Charles (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, AFC Wimbledon won 4 times, Blackpool won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:7 from AFC Wimbledon's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.7 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (71.5%)
Predicted formations: AFC Wimbledon 5-4-1 / Blackpool 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: AFC Wimbledon wins 4, draws 3, Blackpool wins 3

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 5 1 28:12 16 29
D W W W W
2 14 8 2 4 26:14 12 26
W L D W W
3 13 7 5 1 22:11 11 26
W D W D W
4 14 7 3 4 27:21 6 24
D W W W W
5 14 7 2 5 21:19 2 23
D W L L W
6 14 6 4 4 25:15 10 22
L D W W L
7 13 6 4 3 10:8 2 22
L D D W D
8 14 5 6 3 21:21 0 21
L D L D W
9 13 5 5 3 22:14 8 20
D D L L W
10 13 5 4 4 22:19 3 19
D W L W W
11 13 5 4 4 20:18 2 19
D L W W D
12 13 4 6 3 22:20 2 18
W W W L W
13 13 4 6 3 21:23 -2 18
W D D W L
14 13 5 2 6 19:14 5 17
W L L W D
15 14 4 5 5 18:21 -3 17
L W D D L
16 12 4 4 4 17:13 4 16
D L W L W
17 12 3 5 4 13:14 -1 14
W D W L L
18 13 3 4 6 9:21 -12 13
L D L L L
19 12 3 3 6 17:21 -4 12
D L W L L
20 13 3 3 7 14:22 -8 12
L L W L L
21 14 3 2 9 11:22 -11 11
D W L L L
22 13 2 4 7 11:23 -12 10
L D L D W
23 12 2 3 7 12:22 -10 9
D L L L L
24 13 2 3 8 13:33 -20 9
L L D L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two