ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
19.09.2026 16:30
Hornchurch Stadium

AFC Hornchurch vs Scunthorpe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.2%
Odds 2.45
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.2%
2.45
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.70
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
AFC Hornchurch Win 73.2%
Draw 7.6%
Scunthorpe Win 19.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
AFC Hornchurch1.63
Scunthorpe1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch
WWDLW
26 GF / 19 GA
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe
WLDWL
28 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
2
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
7
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 16 matches
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 14 matches
AFC Hornchurch Statistic Scunthorpe
9 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 6
26 Goals For 28
19 Goals Against 23
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
7 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by AFC Hornchurch's more proactive style and Scunthorpe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Scunthorpe arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Scunthorpe having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Scunthorpe. AFC Hornchurch arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 12 points compared to Scunthorpe in 21 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

AFC Hornchurch Analysis

AFC Hornchurch approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 12 points after 6 outings. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 10:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Scunthorpe Analysis

Scunthorpe sit 21 with 4 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 19:10 9 20
W D W W W
2 8 5 2 1 19:11 8 17
W W D W W
3 8 5 2 1 17:11 6 17
W D W D L
4 8 5 2 1 13:7 6 17
W W W D W
5 8 5 1 2 19:12 7 16
L W W W L
6 9 4 3 2 18:14 4 15
W D L L W
7 8 4 3 1 10:6 4 15
D W W D W
8 8 5 0 3 9:9 0 15
W L L L W
9 8 4 1 3 12:11 1 13
D W W L L
10 8 4 0 4 13:10 3 12
W W L W L
11 8 4 0 4 10:12 -2 12
L L L W W
12 8 4 0 4 10:14 -4 12
W L W W W
13 8 3 2 3 14:14 0 11
W D D L L
14 8 3 2 3 10:10 0 11
L D L D W
15 8 2 4 2 16:13 3 10
D D L W D
16 8 3 0 5 6:8 -2 9
L L W L L
17 8 2 2 4 10:12 -2 8
D W L D L
18 8 2 2 4 10:12 -2 8
D L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 10:13 -3 8
L W L W D
20 8 2 1 5 11:14 -3 7
L W L L W
21 8 1 3 4 10:12 -2 6
L D W D L
22 8 1 2 5 14:22 -8 5
L L D L W
23 8 1 1 6 5:14 -9 4
L L D L L
24 9 1 1 7 9:23 -14 4
L W L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation