SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
20.09.2026 14:00
Tunavallen

AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.73
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.9%
1.73
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.62
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.34
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
AFC Eskilstuna Win 69.9%
Draw 4.5%
Gefle IF Win 25.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
AFC Eskilstuna1.95
Gefle IF1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna
WWDLW
65 GF / 42 GA
Gefle IF Gefle IF
WLDWL
52 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
2.03
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.84
20
BTTS Yes
17
22
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 32 matches
Gefle IF Gefle IF 31 matches
AFC Eskilstuna Statistic Gefle IF
21 Wins 12
4 Draws 3
7 Losses 16
65 Goals For 52
42 Goals Against 57
2.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.84
20 BTTS Yes 17
27 Over 1.5 27
22 Over 2.5 22
12 Over 3.5 14
9 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by AFC Eskilstuna's more proactive style and Gefle IF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gefle IF. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gefle IF having the stronger overall control. AFC Eskilstuna come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. AFC Eskilstuna arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 37 points compared to Gefle IF in 10 on 27, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

AFC Eskilstuna Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 37 points from 20 games, AFC Eskilstuna bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a 35:27 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Gefle IF Analysis

Gefle IF are currently 10 in the standings with 27 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 28:39 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, AFC Eskilstuna won 3 times, Gefle IF won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from AFC Eskilstuna's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
H2H summary: AFC Eskilstuna wins 3, draws 3, Gefle IF wins 2

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 3 4 53:19 34 48
W W W W W
2 22 13 4 5 41:29 12 43
W W W W W
3 22 12 6 4 46:18 28 42
D W L D D
4 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
5 22 11 6 5 36:25 11 39
W L L W W
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 22 8 5 9 37:39 -2 29
L L W W L
9 22 8 4 10 29:36 -7 28
L W L D L
10 22 8 3 11 28:41 -13 27
L W L D W
11 22 7 5 10 28:37 -9 26
W L W W D
12 22 6 6 10 33:43 -10 24
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
14 22 5 3 14 29:47 -18 18
W L L L L
15 22 3 6 13 24:43 -19 15
L L W L D
16 22 3 5 14 43:55 -12 14
L W L L L