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CYPRUS › 1. DIVISION
05.10.2025 16:00
AEK Arena
Referee: Marios Christoforou, Cyprus
AEK Larnaca
Match Timeline
Pafos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
W. Rubio
AEK Larnaca
⚽
15'
D. Quina
Pafos
⚽
42'
D. Quina
Pafos
🟨
43'
Ivan Šunjić
Pafos
🟨
47'
Derrick Luckassen
Pafos
🔄
58'
K. Pileas ↔ B. Langa
Pafos
🔄
58'
L. Dimata ↔ V. Dragomir
Pafos
🟨
62'
David Goldar
Pafos
🔄
66'
D. Quina ↔ Anderson Silva
Pafos
🔄
66'
O. Mimovic ↔ M. Bassouamina
Pafos
🔄
67'
R. Bajic ↔ D. Ivanovic
AEK Larnaca
🟨
69'
Gus Ledes
AEK Larnaca
🔄
78'
W. Rubio ↔ J. Izquierdo
AEK Larnaca
⚽
83'
Anderson Silva
Pafos
🔄
84'
Pepe ↔ David Luiz
Pafos
🔄
86'
Miramon ↔ G. Naoum
AEK Larnaca
🔄
86'
Ledes Gustavo ↔ Jimmy Suarez
AEK Larnaca
⚽
87'
D. Ivanovic
AEK Larnaca
⚽
89'
V. Dragomir
Pafos

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AEK Larnaca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Pafos Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AEK Larnaca1.33
Pafos1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
WWDLW
24 GF / 16 GA
Pafos Pafos
WLDWL
17 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
7
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
4
1.18
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 14 matches
Pafos Pafos 13 matches
AEK Larnaca Statistic Pafos
7 Wins 8
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 2
24 Goals For 17
16 Goals Against 10
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
7 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 2
1.18 Shots On Goal 1
3.64 Total Shots 3.36
1.36 Corners 0.82
14.5% Ball Possession 14.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AEK Larnaca won 5 times, Pafos won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from AEK Larnaca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AEK Larnaca 4-2-3-1 / Pafos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AEK Larnaca wins 5, draws 7, Pafos wins 3

Standings

1-division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 4 3 63:17 46 61
W W D L W
2 26 16 5 5 49:22 27 53
W W D L L
3 26 16 5 5 36:22 14 53
D W D W W
4
Pafos Away
26 16 3 7 53:24 29 51
W W D D W
5 26 13 6 7 45:27 18 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 7 7 48:26 22 43
L W D D D
7 26 10 4 12 23:31 -8 34
W L W W D
8 26 10 3 13 31:38 -7 33
L L L W L
9 26 7 11 8 23:33 -10 32
D W W D D
10 26 8 4 14 26:36 -10 28
W L W D D
11 26 6 10 10 22:37 -15 28
L W D L D
12 26 7 5 14 23:48 -25 26
L L L W D
13 26 7 2 17 25:44 -19 23
L L L L W
14 26 0 1 25 5:67 -62 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)