GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Allwyn Arena
Referee: A. Colombo
AEK Athens FC
Match Timeline
Olympiakos Piraeus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Luka Jović
AEK Athens FC
41'
Rodinei · Assist: D. Podence
Olympiakos Piraeus
🟨
43'
Harold Moukoudi
AEK Athens FC
🟨
45'
Daniel Podence
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
51'
R. Pereyra ↔ B. Varga
AEK Athens FC
🔄
56'
D. Podence ↔ G. Martins
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
56'
D. Garcia ↔ S. Hezze
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
65'
Zini ↔ D. Kutesa
AEK Athens FC
🔄
65'
O. Pineda ↔ Joao Mario
AEK Athens FC
🟨
68'
Rodinei
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
72'
A. El Kaabi ↔ M. Taremi
Olympiakos Piraeus
72'
A. Koita · Assist: L. Rota
AEK Athens FC
🟨
74'
Lorenzo Pirola
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
79'
Costinha ↔ G. Biancone
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
80'
L. Scipioni ↔ Andre Luiz
Olympiakos Piraeus
🟨
90'
Lazaros Rota
AEK Athens FC
🔄
90+3'
L. Jovic ↔ R. Ljubicic
AEK Athens FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
AEK Athens FC Win 52.9%
Draw 9.2%
Olympiakos Piraeus Win 37.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
AEK Athens FC1.41
Olympiakos Piraeus1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
WWDLW
86 GF / 36 GA
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
WLDWL
60 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.46
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
19
BTTS Yes
14
22
Over 2.5
14
4.74
Shots on Goal
5.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 47 matches
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 41 matches
AEK Athens FC Statistic Olympiakos Piraeus
30 Wins 22
12 Draws 11
5 Losses 8
86 Goals For 60
36 Goals Against 32
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
19 BTTS Yes 14
33 Over 1.5 29
22 Over 2.5 14
16 Over 3.5 6
24 Clean Sheets 23
7 Failed To Score 10
4.74 Shots On Goal 5.15
14.32 Total Shots 16.83
5.15 Corners 6.37
51.1% Ball Possession 56.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Olympiakos Piraeus. AEK Athens FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AEK Athens FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Olympiakos Piraeus in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Olympiakos Piraeus having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

AEK Athens FC Analysis

AEK Athens FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 70 points after 30 matches. With 21 wins, 7 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 55:18, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Luka Jović (16 goals), B. Varga (5 goals), Orbelín Pineda (5 goals), with creative support from R. Marin (7 assists), Lazaros Rota (5 assists), Robert Ljubičić (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 13 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Olympiakos Piraeus Analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 62 points from 30 matches. The record of 18 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 49:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. El Kaabi (18 goals), M. Taremi (10 goals), Chiquinho (4 goals), with creative support from Chiquinho (6 assists), D. Podence (5 assists), Rodinei (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AEK Athens FC won 4 times, Olympiakos Piraeus won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:22 from AEK Athens FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
Predicted formations: AEK Athens FC 4-4-2 / Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AEK Athens FC wins 4, draws 4, Olympiakos Piraeus wins 7
Stats
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 3
16 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 3
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
369 Total passes 290
270 Passes accurate 215
0.78 expected_goals 0.62
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

AEK Athens FC
Formation
Olympiakos Piraeus
A. Brignoli
A. Brignoli
L. Rota
🎯
L. Rota
H. Moukoudi
H. Moukoudi
F. Relvas
F. Relvas
S. Pilios
S. Pilios
A. Koita
A. Koita
R. Marin
R. Marin
O. Pineda
O. Pineda
R. Pereyra
R. Pereyra
L. Jovic
L. Jovic
Zini
Zini
K. Tzolakis
K. Tzolakis
Costinha
Costinha
P. Retsos
P. Retsos
L. Pirola
L. Pirola
F. Ortega
F. Ortega
L. Scipioni
L. Scipioni
D. Garcia
D. Garcia
Rodinei
Rodinei
Chiquinho
Chiquinho
D. Podence
🎯
D. Podence
A. El Kaabi
A. El Kaabi
AEK Athens FC 4-4-2
Starting XI
91
A. Brignoli
G
12
L. Rota
🎯 72' 🟨 90'
D
2
H. Moukoudi
🟨 43'
D
44
F. Relvas
D
3
S. Pilios
D
11
A. Koita
⚽ 72'
M
18
R. Marin
M
13
O. Pineda
↓ 65'
M
37
R. Pereyra
↓ 51'
M
9
L. Jovic
↓ 90+3' 🟨 27'
F
90
Zini
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
81
A. Angelopoulos
G
20
P. Mantalos
M
19
N. Eliasson
M
7
D. Kutesa
↑ 65'
M
29
J. Penrice
D
10
Joao Mario
↑ 65'
M
21
D. Vida
D
4
M. Grujic
M
25
B. Varga
↑ 51'
F
23
R. Ljubicic
↑ 90+3'
M
15
M. Georgiev
D
80
H. Sahabo
M
Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
88
K. Tzolakis
G
20
Costinha
↓ 79'
D
45
P. Retsos
D
5
L. Pirola
🟨 74'
D
3
F. Ortega
D
16
L. Scipioni
↓ 80'
M
14
D. Garcia
↓ 56'
M
23
Rodinei
⚽ 41' 🟨 68'
M
22
Chiquinho
M
56
D. Podence
🎯 41' ↓ 56' 🟨 45'
M
9
A. El Kaabi
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Paschalakis
G
61
G. Kouraklis
G
21
R. Vezo
D
99
M. Taremi
↑ 72'
F
4
G. Biancone
↑ 79'
D
17
Andre Luiz
↑ 80'
F
96
C. Mouzakitis
M
10
G. Martins
↑ 56'
M
8
D. Nascimento
M
32
S. Hezze
↑ 56'
M
6
A. Kalogeropoulos
D
67
A. Liatsikouras
M
Last matches: AEK Athens FC
18.07.26
Fri
AEK Athens FC
Groningen
2
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
AEK Athens FC
Vitesse
0
0
D
12.07.26
Fri
AEK Athens FC
De Graafschap
2
1
W
13.05.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
1
1
D
10.05.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
2
1
W
03.05.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
0
0
D
19.04.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
3
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
3
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
L
05.04.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Kifisia
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Celje
0
2
L
15.03.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Atromitos
2
2
D
12.03.26
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Celje
4
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Larisa
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Volos NFC
2
2
D
22.02.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Levadiakos
4
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
0
0
D
08.02.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Panserraikos
4
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
Last matches: Olympiakos Piraeus
24.07.26
Fri
Olympiakos Piraeus
Antwerp
0
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Olympiakos Piraeus
Fortuna Sittard
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Olympiakos Piraeus
OH Leuven
1
1
D
08.07.26
Fri
Olympiakos Piraeus
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
13.05.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
1
1
D
03.05.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
1
3
L
19.04.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
2
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
0
1
L
22.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa
0
0
D
14.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
OFI
3
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
0
0
D
01.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panserraikos
2
1
W
24.02.26
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panetolikos
2
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
0
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Levadiakos
0
0
D
08.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
0
1
L
04.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Asteras Tripolis
3
0
W
H2H: AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus
17.05.26
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
05.04.26
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
0
1
W
01.02.26
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
26.10.25
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
2
0
L
27.04.25
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
L
13.04.25
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
1
0
L
02.04.25
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
0
W
02.03.25
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
L
26.02.25
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
6
0
L
24.11.24
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
4
1
L
15.05.24
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
2
0
L
31.03.24
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
07.01.24
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
1
2
W
17.09.23
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
03.05.23
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
Last matches: AEK Athens FC
10.05.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
2
1
W
19.04.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
3
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
3
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Kifisia
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Celje
0
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Larisa
1
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Levadiakos
4
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
4
0
W
21.12.25
Sup
AEK Athens FC
OFI
2
1
W
18.12.25
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Universitatea Craiova
3
2
W
07.12.25
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Atromitos
4
1
W
23.11.25
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Aris Thessalonikis
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
02.11.25
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Panetolikos
1
0
W
23.10.25
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Aberdeen
6
0
W
19.10.25
Sup
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
0
2
L
28.09.25
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Volos NFC
1
0
W
31.08.25
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Asteras Tripolis
1
0
W
28.08.25
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Anderlecht
2
0
W
H2H at home: AEK Athens FC
17.05.26
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
01.02.26
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
27.04.25
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
L
02.04.25
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
0
W
02.03.25
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
L
31.03.24
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
17.09.23
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
03.05.23
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
Last matches: Olympiakos Piraeus
24.07.26
Fri
Olympiakos Piraeus
Antwerp
0
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
0
1
L
03.05.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
1
3
L
19.04.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
2
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
OFI
3
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panserraikos
2
1
W
24.02.26
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
0
0
D
14.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Levadiakos
0
0
D
04.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Asteras Tripolis
3
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
1
1
D
28.01.26
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
2
1
W
10.01.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Atromitos
2
0
W
14.12.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Aris Thessalonikis
0
0
D
09.12.25
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Kairat Almaty
1
0
W
30.11.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panetolikos
1
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Kifisia
3
1
W
21.10.25
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Barcelona
1
6
L
18.10.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa
2
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
1
2
L
01.10.25
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Arsenal
0
2
L
H2H away: Olympiakos Piraeus
17.05.26
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
01.02.26
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
27.04.25
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
W
02.04.25
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
0
L
02.03.25
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
W
31.03.24
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
L
17.09.23
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
03.05.23
H2H
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round