NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
19.09.2026 14:30
WerkTalent Stadion

ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.6%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
ADO Den Haag Win 70.6%
Draw 16.2%
Cambuur Win 13.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
ADO Den Haag2.06
Cambuur1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
WWDLW
18 GF / 19 GA
Cambuur Cambuur
WLDWL
16 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
2.45
6
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
10
3.17
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 matches
Cambuur Cambuur 11 matches
ADO Den Haag Statistic Cambuur
3 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
5 Losses 7
18 Goals For 16
19 Goals Against 27
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 2.45
6 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
3.17 Shots On Goal 4.33
11 Total Shots 12.33
3.67 Corners 3.83
47.2% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with ADO Den Haag expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cambuur in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cambuur having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cambuur. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

ADO Den Haag Analysis

ADO Den Haag approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 1 points from 5 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 6:14, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Y. Eduardo (2 goals), E. Rottier (1 goals), N. Thomas (1 goals), with creative support from E. Rottier (2 assists), N. Thomas (1 assists), J. Kilo (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cambuur Analysis

Cambuur approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 1 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 6:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on R. El Arguioui (4 goals), N. Binder (1 goals), I. Hamache (1 goals), with creative support from N. Binder (2 assists), I. Hamache (1 assists), N. Souren (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, ADO Den Haag won 4 times, Cambuur won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from ADO Den Haag's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.46 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (86.8%)
Predicted formations: ADO Den Haag 4-2-3-1 / Cambuur 4-3-3
H2H summary: ADO Den Haag wins 4, draws 2, Cambuur wins 7

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 22:7 15 16
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 17:6 11 16
D W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 20:7 13 14
W W D W D
4 6 4 1 1 12:5 7 13
W W D W W
5 5 3 1 1 14:6 8 10
W L W D W
6 6 3 1 2 13:7 6 10
L D W W L
7 6 3 1 2 12:14 -2 10
L W W L W
8 6 2 3 1 15:13 2 9
D D L W D
9 6 2 2 2 12:13 -1 8
D D L L W
10 6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
L D L W W
11 6 1 3 2 7:9 -2 6
D L D L D
12 6 1 2 3 10:13 -3 5
L D L D W
13 6 1 2 3 5:11 -6 5
D L D L L
14 6 1 2 3 11:19 -8 5
W D L D L
15 6 1 1 4 9:18 -9 4
W D L L L
16 6 1 1 4 6:17 -11 4
L D L W L
17 5 0 2 3 5:14 -9 2
D L D L L
18 6 0 1 5 6:16 -10 1
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie