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20.09.2026 14:15
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Referee: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
AD Ceuta FC
Match Timeline
Valladolid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Juanmi Latasa
Valladolid
🟨
31'
Carlos Hernández
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
46'
A. Betancourt ↔ Toni Abad
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
46'
M. Mensah ↔ Y. Bodiger
AD Ceuta FC
⚽
53'
J. Latasa · Assist: J. Ponceau
Valladolid
🔄
64'
A. Camacho ↔ J. Escobar
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
64'
A. Melendez ↔ O. Sadik
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
70'
E. Sevikyan ↔ J. Gonzalez
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
70'
J. Ponceau ↔ A. Balboa
Valladolid
🔄
70'
A. Arnuncio ↔ Y. Cabanzon
Valladolid
🔄
70'
V. Fernandez ↔ K. de Rooij
Valladolid
🟨
79'
Alex Balboa
Valladolid
🔄
82'
J. Latasa ↔ R. van Duiven
Valladolid
🟨
85'
Omar Sadik
AD Ceuta FC
🟨
86'
Ivan Garriel Muñoz
Valladolid
🟨
87'
Alex Balboa
Valladolid
🟥
87'
Alex Balboa
Valladolid
🔄
89'
L. Chacon ↔ P. Tomeo
Valladolid
🟨
90+1'
Omar Sadik
AD Ceuta FC
🟥
90+1'
Omar Sadik
AD Ceuta FC
🟨
90+12'
Pablo Tomeo
Valladolid
⚽
90'
C. Hernandez · Assist: J. Escobar
AD Ceuta FC

AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AD Ceuta FC Win 28.7%
Draw 17.3%
Valladolid Win 54.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
AD Ceuta FC0.97
Valladolid1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
WWDLW
8 GF / 20 GA
Valladolid Valladolid
WLDWL
13 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.3
2.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
5
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
4
2.8
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC 9 matches
Valladolid Valladolid 10 matches
AD Ceuta FC Statistic Valladolid
2 Wins 4
0 Draws 2
7 Losses 4
8 Goals For 13
20 Goals Against 11
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
2.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
5 BTTS Yes 3
8 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 5
2.8 Shots On Goal 3
11.8 Total Shots 11.6
5.2 Corners 3.6
47.2% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, AD Ceuta FC won 0 times, Valladolid won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:6 from AD Ceuta FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: AD Ceuta FC 4-3-3 / Valladolid 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AD Ceuta FC wins 0, draws 0, Valladolid wins 2

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 16:5 11 21
W W W W W
2 9 7 0 2 19:10 9 21
L W W W W
3 9 6 2 1 15:4 11 20
L D W W W
4 9 5 2 2 11:4 7 17
W D L W W
5 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
6 9 5 1 3 9:8 1 16
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 15:9 6 15
D D W W L
8 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
L L W W W
9 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W L W L W
10 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
W W L L D
11 9 3 3 3 13:11 2 12
W D W D L
12 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D L D L W
13 10 4 0 6 15:20 -5 12
W L W L W
14 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
15 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
16 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L D L L W
17 10 3 2 5 6:15 -9 11
L L L L W
18 9 3 1 5 13:15 -2 10
W D W L L
19 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L L L W
20 9 1 4 4 11:11 0 7
L W D L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 9 0 1 8 5:20 -15 1
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation