Accrington ST vs Gillingham H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsAccrington ST vs Gillingham Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
44.2%
|
2.90 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.00 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81.8%
|
1.80 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
11.00 |
Accrington ST
Gillingham
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Accrington ST
15 matches
Gillingham
14 matches
| Accrington ST | Statistic | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 18 | Goals For | 21 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.86 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 3.6 |
| 14 | Total Shots | 10.1 |
| 4.9 | Corners | 3.4 |
| 46.7% | Ball Possession | 46% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Gillingham's more proactive style and Accrington ST's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gillingham. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Accrington ST expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Gillingham in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gillingham having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Accrington ST approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 10 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with a 13:14 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Caton (3 goals), J. Woods (2 goals), C. Warren (2 goals), with creative support from J. Woods (1 assists), Stefan Mols (1 assists), C. O'Brien (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 9 matches, Gillingham have collected 13 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 11:9 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Brophy (3 goals), S. Kendall (2 goals), Ronan Hale (1 goals), with creative support from N. Freeman (3 assists), Ronan Hale (1 assists), A. Smith (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Accrington ST won 2 times, Gillingham won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:15 from Accrington ST's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.64 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:11 | 9 | 18 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 |
Gillingham
Away
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 15 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 15 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:6 | 0 | 12 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Accrington ST
Home
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
D
|