ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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La Quema Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Acassuso Win 39.3%
Draw 8.8%
Midland Win 52%
Expected Goals (xG)
Acassuso0.74
Midland1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Acassuso Acassuso
WWDLW
18 GF / 27 GA
Midland Midland
WLDWL
28 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.72
6
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Acassuso Acassuso 24 matches
Midland Midland 25 matches
Acassuso Statistic Midland
6 Wins 11
6 Draws 8
12 Losses 6
18 Goals For 28
27 Goals Against 18
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.72
6 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 10
14 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Midland's more proactive style and Acassuso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Midland. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Midland having the stronger overall control. Midland carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 34 points while Acassuso sit 18 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Acassuso Analysis

Acassuso sit 18 with 21 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 16:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Midland Analysis

Midland come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 34 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 23:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Acassuso won 1 times, Midland won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Acassuso's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.2%)
H2H summary: Acassuso wins 1, draws 1, Midland wins 3
Last matches: Acassuso
01.08.26
Pri
Acassuso
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Miguel
0
0
D
12.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Racing Cordoba
2
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Miguel
0
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
Central Norte
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Defensores De Belgrano
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Atletico Mitre
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
22.04.26
Cop
Acassuso
Gimnasia L.P.
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
All Boys
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Los Andes
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Midland
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Godoy Cruz
0
2
L
29.03.26
Cop
Acassuso
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Moron
0
3
L
Last matches: Midland
07.08.26
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Maipu
2
0
W
01.08.26
Pri
Midland
Almagro
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Midland
Patronato
1
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
21.06.26
Pri
Midland
Patronato
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Midland
Atlanta
1
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Midland
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Midland
Agropecuario
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Midland
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Midland
Club Atlético Güemes
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Midland
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
23.04.26
Cop
Midland
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pri
Midland
Nueva Chicago
2
2
D
08.04.26
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Midland
Temperley
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
H2H: Acassuso vs Midland
08.04.26
H2H
Midland
Acassuso
1
0
L
20.07.25
H2H
Midland
Acassuso
2
1
L
16.04.25
H2H
Acassuso
Midland
1
1
D
06.10.24
H2H
Acassuso
Midland
2
1
W
19.05.24
H2H
Midland
Acassuso
3
0
L
Last matches: Acassuso
01.08.26
Pri
Acassuso
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Miguel
0
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
Central Norte
2
1
W
24.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Defensores De Belgrano
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
22.04.26
Cop
Acassuso
Gimnasia L.P.
0
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Los Andes
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Moron
0
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Acassuso
Racing Cordoba
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Acassuso
Chaco For Ever
2
0
W
14.12.25
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Armenio
1
0
W
06.12.25
Pri
Acassuso
Real Pilar
0
0
D
02.12.25
Pri
Acassuso
Villa San Carlos
1
0
W
10.11.25
Pri
Acassuso
Villa Dalmine
2
2
D
18.10.25
Pri
Acassuso
Fénix
3
1
W
04.10.25
Pri
Acassuso
Liniers
0
1
L
22.09.25
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Armenio
2
3
L
05.09.25
Pri
Acassuso
Sacachispas
0
2
L
23.08.25
Pri
Acassuso
Dock Sud
0
0
D
H2H at home: Acassuso
16.04.25
H2H
Acassuso
Midland
1
1
D
06.10.24
H2H
Acassuso
Midland
2
1
W
Last matches: Midland
01.08.26
Pri
Midland
Almagro
1
1
D
21.06.26
Pri
Midland
Patronato
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Midland
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Midland
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Midland
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
23.04.26
Cop
Midland
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
Midland
Nueva Chicago
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
22.01.26
Cop
Midland
Argentinos JRS
1
1
D
15.11.25
Pri
Midland
Flandria
0
1
L
01.11.25
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Laferrere
4
1
W
12.10.25
Pri
Midland
Comunicaciones
0
0
D
30.09.25
Pri
Midland
San Martín Burzaco
0
1
L
16.09.25
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Merlo
0
0
D
30.08.25
Pri
Midland
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
17.08.25
Pri
Midland
UAI Urquiza
2
0
W
25.07.25
Pri
Midland
Excursionistas
0
1
L
H2H away: Midland
16.04.25
H2H
Acassuso
Midland
1
1
D
06.10.24
H2H
Acassuso
Midland
2
1
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 13 4 6 26:21 5 43
L L W W W
2 22 11 5 6 33:21 12 38
L W D L L
3 23 9 9 5 28:19 9 36
D L L W W
4 23 9 8 6 17:13 4 35
W D D D W
5 22 9 7 6 25:19 6 34
W W W L L
6 23 8 10 5 21:19 2 34
L W D L W
7 22 8 9 5 19:9 10 33
L D W L L
8 22 8 9 5 29:22 7 33
W D D L W
9 23 8 8 7 20:19 1 32
D L D W D
10 23 7 6 10 22:28 -6 27
L W L W D
11 22 5 11 6 17:22 -5 26
L D L D W
12 22 5 10 7 15:19 -4 25
D D L W L
13 23 5 10 8 22:27 -5 25
W D W L D
14 22 5 8 9 18:23 -5 23
W L L L W
15 23 4 11 8 13:22 -9 23
L D D D D
16 22 5 7 10 20:26 -6 22
W W W D W
17 22 5 7 10 14:23 -9 22
W L L D W
18 22 5 6 11 16:24 -8 21
D D L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation