Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
1.41 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
2.09 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
3.37 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.05 | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
7.00 |
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Oulu
13 matches
Mariehamn
14 matches
| AC Oulu | Statistic | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Draws | 6 |
| 3 | Losses | 7 |
| 20 | Goals For | 10 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.71 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 1.18 | Shots On Goal | 1.2 |
| 4.27 | Total Shots | 2.8 |
| 1.64 | Corners | 1.2 |
| 17.1% | Ball Possession | 17.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by AC Oulu's more proactive style and Mariehamn's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Mariehamn. AC Oulu arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 21 points compared to Mariehamn in 12 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AC Oulu expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Mariehamn in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mariehamn having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
AC Oulu arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 21 points after 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, while the 16:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on R. Karjalainen (7 goals), J. Korkko (4 goals), E. Kallio (1 goals), with creative support from E. Kallio (2 assists), L. Ghezali (2 assists), R. Karjalainen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Mariehamn sit 12 with 4 points after 9 league matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 5:14 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by S. Dahlstrom (2 goals), A. Huttunen (1 goals), A. Larsson (1 goals), with creative support from Emmanuel Patut (1 assists), T. Koivisto (1 assists), Y. Amankwah (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Oulu won 7 times, Mariehamn won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:23 from AC Oulu's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Lineups
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
SJK
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
JIPPO
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sandviken
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Sleipner
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
JIPPO
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Sandviken
Mariehamn
KuPS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
AC Oulu
Home
|
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 25 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 17 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:27 | -17 | 7 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Away
|
11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6:19 | -13 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|