Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
80.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 8.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
AC Oulu
Lahti
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Oulu
15 matches
Lahti
16 matches
| AC Oulu | Statistic | Lahti |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 6 |
| 4 | Losses | 6 |
| 23 | Goals For | 21 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2.38 | Shots On Goal | 2.17 |
| 6.46 | Total Shots | 7.17 |
| 2.31 | Corners | 3 |
| 25.2% | Ball Possession | 36.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around AC Oulu's more proactive style and Lahti's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lahti. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. AC Oulu come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. AC Oulu arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 25 points compared to Lahti in 9 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AC Oulu expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Lahti in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lahti having the stronger overall control.
AC Oulu approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 25 points after 12 outings. The return of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 18:9, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Karjalainen (7 goals), J. Korkko (5 goals), E. Kallio (1 goals), with creative support from R. Karjalainen (2 assists), E. Kallio (2 assists), L. Ghezali (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Lahti approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 11 points from 11 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 14:14, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Belabid (2 goals), A. Lindholm (2 goals), Erik Andersson (2 goals), with creative support from Tòfol Montiel (3 assists), R. Sans (2 assists), A. Belabid (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, AC Oulu won 5 times, Lahti won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from AC Oulu's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.
Lineups
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
SJK
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
JIPPO
Lahti
FF Jaro
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
VPS
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Lahti
JIPPO
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
GrIFK
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
JIPPO
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 33:16 | 17 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 25:14 | 11 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
AC Oulu
Home
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 30 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
| 4 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:17 | 7 | 27 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Lahti
Away
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:16 | 6 | 25 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29:31 | -2 | 22 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 18 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17:35 | -18 | 15 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 9:39 | -30 | 5 |
L
D
L
L
L
|