AC Milan
Match Timeline
Lecce
AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lecce Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.74
Lecce0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan
WWDLW
57 GF / 34 GA
Lecce
WLDWL
26 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
17
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
12
5.37
Shots on Goal
3.97
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Milan
30 matches
Lecce
30 matches
| AC Milan | Statistic | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 11 |
| 5 | Losses | 13 |
| 57 | Goals For | 26 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.87 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 5.37 | Shots On Goal | 3.97 |
| 13.9 | Total Shots | 13.7 |
| 4.6 | Corners | 4.53 |
| 56.1% | Ball Possession | 43.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 11 times, Lecce won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:13 from AC Milan's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-4-2-1 / Lecce 3-5-2
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 11, draws 4, Lecce wins 0
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89:22 | 67 | 94 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
AC Milan
Home
|
38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76:49 | 27 | 75 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54:31 | 23 | 71 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72:42 | 30 | 69 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54:32 | 22 | 68 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 63 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49:39 | 10 | 61 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61:46 | 15 | 60 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 53 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55:48 | 7 | 53 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 49 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:51 | -12 | 45 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38:51 | -13 | 38 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Lecce
Away
|
38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32:54 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
| 15 | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37:53 | -16 | 37 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42:68 | -26 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:54 | -25 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44:69 | -25 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43:75 | -32 | 30 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32:81 | -49 | 17 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion - Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation - Serie B