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ITALY › COPPA ITALIA
23.09.2025 19:00
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: P. Tremolada
AC Milan
Match Timeline
Lecce
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
18'
Jamil Siebert
Lecce
VAR
18'
Jamil Siebert
Lecce
⚽
20'
S. Gimenez · Assist: D. Bartesaghi
AC Milan
🔄
22'
K. Ndri ↔ K. Gaspar
Lecce
🟨
35'
Samuele Ricci
AC Milan
🟨
43'
Mohamed Kaba
Lecce
🔄
46'
S. Ricci ↔ Y. Fofana
AC Milan
🔄
46'
T. J. Helgason ↔ O. Gorter
Lecce
🔄
46'
M. Kaba ↔ S. Pierotti
Lecce
⚽
51'
C. Nkunku · Assist: A. Saelemaekers
AC Milan
🔄
57'
Tete Morente ↔ A. Gallo
Lecce
🔄
61'
A. Saelemaekers ↔ Z. Athekame
AC Milan
🔄
61'
C. Nkunku ↔ C. Pulisic
AC Milan
⚽
64'
C. Pulisic · Assist: Y. Fofana
AC Milan
🔄
68'
S. Gimenez ↔ C. Balentien
AC Milan
🟨
70'
Strahinja Pavlović
AC Milan
🔄
79'
S. Pavlovic ↔ D. Odogu
AC Milan
🔄
80'
M. Berisha ↔ L. Coulibaly
Lecce

AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lecce Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.72
Lecce0.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan AC Milan
WWDLW
9 GF / 2 GA
Lecce Lecce
WLDWL
4 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
0.8
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
1
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
5.2
Shots on Goal
2.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Milan AC Milan 5 matches
Lecce Lecce 5 matches
AC Milan Statistic Lecce
4 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 3
9 Goals For 4
2 Goals Against 8
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
1 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 2
5.2 Shots On Goal 2.6
17.8 Total Shots 8.8
7.4 Corners 4
56.6% Ball Possession 43.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 11 times, Lecce won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:13 from AC Milan's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-5-2 / Lecce 5-3-2
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 11, draws 4, Lecce wins 0