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ITALY › SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
AC Milan
FT
1 - 0
Lazio
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: Giuseppe Collu, Italy
AC Milan
Match Timeline
Lazio
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Fikayo Tomori
AC Milan
⚽
51'
R. Leao · Assist: F. Tomori
AC Milan
🟨
57'
Luca Pellegrini
Lazio
🔄
62'
M. Vecino ↔ F. Dele-Bashiru
Lazio
🔄
62'
B. Dia ↔ T. Castellanos
Lazio
🟨
64'
Matteo Gabbia
AC Milan
🔄
65'
Y. Fofana ↔ R. Loftus-Cheek
AC Milan
🔄
70'
G. Isaksen ↔ Pedro
Lazio
🟨
72'
Alessio Romagnoli
Lazio
🔄
82'
C. Nkunku ↔ S. Ricci
AC Milan
🔄
85'
L. Pellegrini ↔ N. Tavares
Lazio
🔄
85'
T. Basic ↔ T. Noslin
Lazio
🟨
89'
Samuele Ricci
AC Milan
🟨
90+14'
Mattéo Guendouzi
Lazio
🟨
90+13'
Mattia Zaccagni
Lazio
VAR
90+7'
Alessio Romagnoli
Lazio

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lazio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.28
Lazio1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan AC Milan
WWDLW
23 GF / 9 GA
Lazio Lazio
WLDWL
15 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
6
BTTS Yes
1
7
Over 2.5
3
5.07
Shots on Goal
4.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Milan AC Milan 14 matches
Lazio Lazio 12 matches
AC Milan Statistic Lazio
9 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
1 Losses 4
23 Goals For 15
9 Goals Against 9
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
6 BTTS Yes 1
10 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 6
5.07 Shots On Goal 4.08
14.64 Total Shots 10.92
5.14 Corners 3.42
53.1% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 9 times, Lazio won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:16 from AC Milan's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-5-2 / Lazio 4-3-3
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 9, draws 1, Lazio wins 5
Stats
AC Milan AC Milan
Lazio Lazio
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
1
1 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
493 Total passes 569
437 Passes accurate 498
1.47 expected_goals 0.68
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

AC Milan
Formation
Lazio
M. Maignan
M. Maignan
F. Tomori
🎯
F. Tomori
M. Gabbia
M. Gabbia
S. Pavlovic
S. Pavlovic
A. Saelemaekers
A. Saelemaekers
Y. Fofana
↓
Y. Fofana
L. Modric
L. Modric
A. Rabiot
A. Rabiot
D. Bartesaghi
D. Bartesaghi
C. Nkunku
↓
C. Nkunku
R. Leao
⚽
R. Leao
I. Provedel
I. Provedel
A. Marusic
A. Marusic
M. Gila
M. Gila
A. Romagnoli
A. Romagnoli
L. Pellegrini
↓
L. Pellegrini
M. Guendouzi
M. Guendouzi
M. Vecino
↓
M. Vecino
T. Basic
↓
T. Basic
G. Isaksen
↓
G. Isaksen
B. Dia
↓
B. Dia
M. Zaccagni
M. Zaccagni
AC Milan 3-5-2
Starting XI
16
M. Maignan
G
23
F. Tomori
🎯 51' 🟨 26'
D
46
M. Gabbia
🟨 64'
D
31
S. Pavlovic
D
56
A. Saelemaekers
M
19
Y. Fofana
↓ 65'
M
14
L. Modric
M
12
A. Rabiot
M
33
D. Bartesaghi
M
18
C. Nkunku
↓ 82'
F
10
R. Leao
⚽ 51'
F
Substitutes
1
P. Terracciano
G
37
M. Pittarella
G
2
P. Estupinan
D
5
K. De Winter
D
27
D. Odogu
D
4
S. Ricci
↑ 82' 🟨 89'
M
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
↑ 65'
M
30
A. Jashari
M
Lazio 4-3-3
Starting XI
94
I. Provedel
G
77
A. Marusic
D
34
M. Gila
D
13
A. Romagnoli
🟨 72'
D
3
L. Pellegrini
↓ 85' 🟨 57'
D
8
M. Guendouzi
🟨 90+14'
M
5
M. Vecino
↓ 62'
M
26
T. Basic
↓ 85'
M
18
G. Isaksen
↓ 70'
F
19
B. Dia
↓ 62'
F
10
M. Zaccagni
🟨 90+13'
F
Substitutes
35
C. Mandas
G
55
A. Furlanetto
G
4
Patric
D
17
N. Tavares
↑ 85'
D
25
O. Provstgaard
D
7
F. Dele-Bashiru
↑ 62'
M
21
R. Belahyane
M
9
Pedro
↑ 70'
F
11
T. Castellanos
↑ 62'
F
14
T. Noslin
↑ 85'
F
29
M. Lazzari
Last matches: AC Milan
15.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Manchester United
4
2
W
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
08.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
03.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
3
0
W
Last matches: Lazio
09.08.26
Fri
Lazio
Frosinone
2
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Lazio
Ostia Mare
4
0
W
02.08.26
Fri
Lazio
Ascoli
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Lazio
Avellino
6
3
W
26.07.26
Fri
Lazio
Flaminia
6
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Lazio
Pisa
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Lazio
AS Roma
0
2
L
13.05.26
Cop
Lazio
Inter
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Lazio
Inter
0
3
L
04.05.26
Ser
Lazio
Cremonese
2
1
W
27.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Udinese
3
3
D
22.04.26
Cop
Lazio
Atalanta
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Napoli
2
0
W
13.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Fiorentina
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Parma
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Bologna
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Lazio
AC Milan
1
0
W
09.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Sassuolo
2
1
W
04.03.26
Cop
Lazio
Atalanta
2
2
D
01.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Torino
0
2
L
H2H: AC Milan vs Lazio
15.03.26
H2H
Lazio
AC Milan
1
0
L
04.12.25
H2H
Lazio
AC Milan
1
0
L
29.11.25
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
1
0
W
02.03.25
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
1
2
L
31.08.24
H2H
Lazio
AC Milan
2
2
D
01.03.24
H2H
Lazio
AC Milan
0
1
W
30.09.23
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
2
0
W
06.05.23
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
2
0
W
24.01.23
H2H
Lazio
AC Milan
4
0
L
24.04.22
H2H
Lazio
AC Milan
1
2
W
09.02.22
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
4
0
W
12.09.21
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
2
0
W
26.04.21
H2H
Lazio
AC Milan
3
0
L
23.12.20
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
3
2
W
04.07.20
H2H
Lazio
AC Milan
0
3
W
Last matches: AC Milan
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
08.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
18.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lecce
1
0
W
08.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
1
1
D
28.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
3
0
W
14.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
2
2
D
02.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
0
W
24.10.25
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
2
D
19.10.25
Ser
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
1
W
28.09.25
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
2
1
W
23.09.25
Cop
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
W
14.09.25
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
1
0
W
23.08.25
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
1
2
L
H2H at home: AC Milan
29.11.25
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
1
0
W
02.03.25
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
1
2
L
30.09.23
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
2
0
W
06.05.23
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
2
0
W
09.02.22
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
4
0
W
12.09.21
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
2
0
W
23.12.20
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
3
2
W
Last matches: Lazio
09.08.26
Fri
Lazio
Frosinone
2
1
W
02.08.26
Fri
Lazio
Ascoli
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Lazio
AS Roma
0
2
L
04.05.26
Ser
Lazio
Cremonese
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cop
Lazio
Atalanta
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Napoli
2
0
W
13.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Fiorentina
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Bologna
2
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Torino
0
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Cagliari
0
0
D
11.02.26
Cop
Lazio
Bologna
1
1
D
08.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Juventus
2
2
D
24.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Lecce
0
0
D
11.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
27.12.25
Ser
Lazio
Udinese
1
1
D
13.12.25
Ser
Lazio
Parma
1
0
W
09.11.25
Ser
Lazio
Inter
0
2
L
30.10.25
Ser
Lazio
Pisa
0
0
D
19.10.25
Ser
Lazio
Atalanta
0
0
D
29.09.25
Ser
Lazio
Genoa
3
0
W
H2H away: Lazio
29.11.25
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
1
0
L
02.03.25
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
1
2
W
30.09.23
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
2
0
L
06.05.23
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
2
0
L
09.02.22
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
4
0
L
12.09.21
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
2
0
L
23.12.20
H2H
AC Milan
Lazio
3
2
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2
Napoli
38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3
AS Roma
38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4
Como
38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5
AC Milan Home
38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6
Juventus
38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7
Atalanta
38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8
Bologna
38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9
Lazio Away
38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10
Udinese
38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11
Sassuolo
38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12
Torino
38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13
Parma
38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14
Cagliari
38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15
Fiorentina
38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16
Genoa
38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17
Lecce
38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18
Cremonese
38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19
Hellas Verona
38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20
Pisa
38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B