AC Milan
Match Timeline
Genoa
AC Milan vs Genoa Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Genoa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.6
Genoa1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan
WWDLW
64 GF / 39 GA
Genoa
WLDWL
38 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
19
BTTS Yes
20
21
Over 2.5
14
5.35
Shots on Goal
3.41
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Milan
34 matches
Genoa
34 matches
| AC Milan | Statistic | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 12 |
| 6 | Losses | 12 |
| 64 | Goals For | 38 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 5.35 | Shots On Goal | 3.41 |
| 14.12 | Total Shots | 10.65 |
| 4.65 | Corners | 3.88 |
| 56.4% | Ball Possession | 44.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 10 times, Genoa won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:14 from AC Milan's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-4-2-1 / Genoa 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 10, draws 4, Genoa wins 1
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89:22 | 67 | 94 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
AC Milan
Home
|
38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76:49 | 27 | 75 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54:31 | 23 | 71 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72:42 | 30 | 69 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54:32 | 22 | 68 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 63 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49:39 | 10 | 61 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61:46 | 15 | 60 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 53 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55:48 | 7 | 53 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 |
Genoa
Away
|
38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 49 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 12 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:51 | -12 | 45 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38:51 | -13 | 38 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32:54 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37:53 | -16 | 37 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42:68 | -26 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:54 | -25 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44:69 | -25 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43:75 | -32 | 30 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32:81 | -49 | 17 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion - Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation - Serie B