ITALY › SERIE A
18.02.2026 19:45
Optus Stadium
Referee: M. Mariani
AC Milan
Match Timeline
Como
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
32'
N. Paz
Como
🔄
46'
S. Pavlovic ↔ M. Gabbia
AC Milan
🟨
53'
Nico Paz
Como
🔄
55'
S. Ricci ↔ Y. Fofana
AC Milan
🔄
56'
Z. Athekame ↔ A. Saelemaekers
AC Milan
🔄
62'
C. Nkunku ↔ N. Fullkrug
AC Milan
🟨
63'
Jean Butez
Como
⚽
64'
R. Leao · Assist: A. Jashari
AC Milan
🟨
68'
Rafael Leão
AC Milan
🟨
68'
Sergi Roberto
Como
🔄
71'
I. Van der Brempt ↔ A. Valle
Como
🔄
71'
N. Paz ↔ A. Douvikas
Como
🔄
78'
M. Caqueret ↔ J. Rodriguez
Como
🔄
78'
S. Roberto ↔ L. Da Cunha
Como
🔄
82'
R. Leao ↔ C. Pulisic
AC Milan
🟨
87'
Alexis Saelemaekers
AC Milan
🔄
90'
M. Vojvoda ↔ I. Smolcic
Como

AC Milan vs Como Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Como Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.27
Como1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan AC Milan
WWDLW
45 GF / 21 GA
Como Como
WLDWL
48 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.71
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
13
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
13
4.71
Shots on Goal
5.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Milan AC Milan 28 matches
Como Como 28 matches
AC Milan Statistic Como
17 Wins 14
8 Draws 9
3 Losses 5
45 Goals For 48
21 Goals Against 21
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
13 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 7
13 Clean Sheets 13
3 Failed To Score 7
4.71 Shots On Goal 5.54
13.93 Total Shots 14.54
4.96 Corners 4.29
53.6% Ball Possession 62.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 3 times, Como won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:4 from AC Milan's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-5-2 / Como 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 3, draws 1, Como wins 0

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4
Como Away
38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B