16.09.2026 19:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia
AC Milan
Match Timeline
Benfica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Strahinja Pavlović
AC Milan
16'
D. Lukebakio · Assist: J. Kaminski
Benfica
🟨
26'
Souffian El Karouani
Benfica
🟨
37'
Jhon Durán
Benfica
🔄
46'
F. Terracciano ↔ M. Gila
AC Milan
🔄
46'
O. Hutchinson ↔ C. Pulisic
AC Milan
53'
J. Kaminski · Assist: S. El Karouani
Benfica
🔄
57'
D. Bartesaghi ↔ A. Saelemaekers
AC Milan
🔄
57'
A. Cisse ↔ D. Moreira
AC Milan
🔄
70'
F. Aursnes ↔ L. Barreiro
Benfica
🔄
70'
G. Sudakov ↔ G. Prestianni
Benfica
🔄
73'
A. Jashari ↔ A. Rabiot
AC Milan
🟨
77'
Daniel Banjaqui
Benfica
🔄
80'
J. Duran ↔ V. Pavlidis
Benfica
🔄
80'
J. Kaminski ↔ A. Schjelderup
Benfica
🟨
84'
Leandro Barreiro
Benfica
🔄
88'
S. El Karouani ↔ S. Dahl
Benfica
🟨
90+2'
Vangelis Pavlidis
Benfica

AC Milan vs Benfica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.2%
Odds 3.07
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.2%
3.07
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.71
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.28
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 25.6%
Draw 4.3%
Benfica Win 70.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.4
Benfica2.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan AC Milan
WWDLW
14 GF / 12 GA
Benfica Benfica
WLDWL
48 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
3.2
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
6
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
13
4.25
Shots on Goal
6.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Milan AC Milan 8 matches
Benfica Benfica 15 matches
AC Milan Statistic Benfica
3 Wins 11
4 Draws 2
1 Losses 2
14 Goals For 48
12 Goals Against 13
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 3.2
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
6 BTTS Yes 10
8 Over 1.5 15
5 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 9
1 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 0
4.25 Shots On Goal 6.58
13.5 Total Shots 10.17
3 Corners 5.83
58.5% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 0 times, Benfica won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from AC Milan's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-4-2-1 / Benfica 4-2-3-1
Missing players: AC Milan 0, Benfica 1
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 0, draws 0, Benfica wins 1

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)