DENMARK 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Hybel Arena Horsens
Referee: O. A. Stegemuller Fogh Simbold
AC Horsens
Match Timeline
Esbjerg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
M. Brajanac · Assist: L. From
Esbjerg
9'
K. Kirkegaard
AC Horsens
11'
K. Kirkegaard
AC Horsens
🔄
39'
P. Bjur ↔ J. Kolawole
Esbjerg
50'
A. Justinussen
AC Horsens
🟨
57'
W. Renecke
Esbjerg
62'
J. Madsen · Assist: K. Kirkegaard
AC Horsens
🔄
63'
Y. Ouorou ↔ I. Milicevic
AC Horsens
🔄
68'
A. Lausen ↔ L. Vigen
Esbjerg
🔄
68'
M. Hansen ↔ A. Ammitzboll
Esbjerg
🔄
68'
A. Skipper ↔ J. Foss
Esbjerg
🔄
73'
J. Madsen ↔ A. Bruus
AC Horsens
🔄
73'
A. Justinussen ↔ R. Baturina
AC Horsens
🔄
77'
M. Maden ↔ J. H. Bennedsgaard
Esbjerg
🔄
85'
A. Herdonsson ↔ S. Doua
AC Horsens
🔄
85'
V. Palsson ↔ A. Saine
AC Horsens

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 67%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
67%
-
Probability Distribution
AC Horsens Win 33.8%
Draw 0%
Esbjerg Win 66.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Horsens1.15
Esbjerg1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Horsens AC Horsens
WWDLW
28 GF / 24 GA
Esbjerg Esbjerg
WLDWL
34 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
9
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Horsens AC Horsens 25 matches
Esbjerg Esbjerg 25 matches
AC Horsens Statistic Esbjerg
10 Wins 12
7 Draws 6
8 Losses 7
28 Goals For 34
24 Goals Against 30
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
9 BTTS Yes 13
13 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 6
13 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Esbjerg. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Esbjerg having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

AC Horsens Analysis

AC Horsens arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 37 points after 25 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 27:24 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Pingel (5 goals), K. Kirkegaard (4 goals), R. Baturina (4 goals), with creative support from K. Kirkegaard (5 assists), P. Olsen (3 assists), S. Pingel (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Esbjerg Analysis

Placed 2 with 42 points from 25 outings, Esbjerg continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 34:30 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Brajanac (8 goals), M. Maden (4 goals), A. Lausen (3 goals), with creative support from A. Lausen (4 assists), L. From (3 assists), R. Gyamfi (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Horsens won 9 times, Esbjerg won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:10 from AC Horsens's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: AC Horsens wins 9, draws 5, Esbjerg wins 1

Lineups

AC Horsens
Formation
Esbjerg
M. Delac
M. Delac
V. Palsson
V. Palsson
M. Kupijbida
M. Kupijbida
O. Kolskogen
O. Kolskogen
C. Tape
C. Tape
A. Herdonsson
A. Herdonsson
K. Lusavec
K. Lusavec
Y. Ouorou
Y. Ouorou
J. Madsen
J. Madsen
K. Kirkegaard
⚽ 2 🎯
K. Kirkegaard
A. Justinussen
A. Justinussen
R. McCrorie
R. McCrorie
P. Tjornelund
P. Tjornelund
A. Skipper
A. Skipper
W. Renecke
W. Renecke
S. Strand
S. Strand
A. Lausen
A. Lausen
M. Hansen
M. Hansen
P. Bjur
P. Bjur
M. Maden
M. Maden
L. From
🎯
L. From
M. Brajanac
M. Brajanac
AC Horsens 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Delac
26
V. Palsson
↓ 85'
35
M. Kupijbida
24
O. Kolskogen
12
C. Tape
17
A. Herdonsson
↓ 85'
20
K. Lusavec
27
Y. Ouorou
↓ 63'
14
J. Madsen
⚽ 62' ↓ 73'
10
K. Kirkegaard
⚽ 9' ⚽ 11' 🎯 62'
15
A. Justinussen
⚽ 50' ↓ 73'
Substitutes
23
D. Smarsch
33
A. Ludwig
5
A. Bruus
↑ 73'
9
R. Baturina
↑ 73'
4
S. Hausner
30
S. Doua
↑ 85'
7
I. Milicevic
↑ 63'
28
A. Saine
↑ 85'
21
M. M. Samb
Esbjerg 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
21
R. McCrorie
4
P. Tjornelund
3
A. Skipper
↓ 68'
25
W. Renecke
🟨 57'
19
S. Strand
12
A. Lausen
↓ 68'
18
M. Hansen
↓ 68'
11
P. Bjur
↓ 39'
8
M. Maden
↓ 77'
7
L. From
🎯 7'
80
M. Brajanac
⚽ 7'
Substitutes
16
K. Kristensen
27
B. Baldursson
15
A. Sonderskov
6
L. Vigen
↑ 68'
23
A. Ammitzboll
↑ 68'
5
J. Foss
↑ 68'
14
J. Kolawole
↑ 39'
17
J. Lucena
31
J. H. Bennedsgaard
↑ 77'
Last matches: AC Horsens
18.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Vendsyssel FF
0
1
L
15.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Aarhus
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
FC Copenhagen
2
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Hobro
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
AC Horsens
FC Nordsjaelland
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Kolding IF
1
0
W
25.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
2
0
W
16.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hvidovre
1
1
D
09.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hillerød
4
0
W
30.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
1
0
W
25.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hvidovre
1
1
D
17.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Kolding IF
1
0
W
11.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hillerød
0
0
D
04.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
1
0
W
21.03.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hvidovre
0
4
L
14.03.26
1.
AC Horsens
Aarhus Fremad
0
0
D
09.03.26
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
1
3
L
28.02.26
1.
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
1
2
L
19.02.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Zbrojovka Brno
1
2
L
03.02.26
Fri
AC Horsens
FC Fredericia
0
3
L
Last matches: Esbjerg
18.07.26
Fri
Esbjerg
FC Fredericia
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Mafra
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Aarhus Fremad
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Vejle
3
3
D
31.05.26
1.
Esbjerg
Lyngby
2
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hvidovre
4
1
W
16.05.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hillerød
1
1
D
09.05.26
1.
Esbjerg
Kolding IF
3
0
W
30.04.26
1.
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
1
L
24.04.26
1.
Esbjerg
Lyngby
0
5
L
17.04.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hillerød
0
0
D
10.04.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hvidovre
1
0
W
03.04.26
1.
Esbjerg
Kolding IF
1
1
D
21.03.26
1.
Esbjerg
Aalborg
1
1
D
15.03.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hillerød
2
2
D
06.03.26
1.
Esbjerg
HB Koge
1
0
W
28.02.26
1.
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Vendsyssel FF
0
1
L
10.02.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Zimbru
1
1
D
03.02.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Kauno Žalgiris
1
2
L
H2H: AC Horsens vs Esbjerg
30.04.26
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
1
W
21.04.26
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
4
1
W
28.02.26
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
2
1
L
20.09.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
1
0
W
03.05.25
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
1
W
18.04.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
3
2
W
14.03.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
2
1
W
04.08.24
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
1
W
17.02.24
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
0
0
D
13.03.22
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
0
0
D
13.08.21
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
0
D
04.09.20
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
2
0
W
03.07.20
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
1
2
W
16.06.20
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
2
2
D
01.11.19
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
1
1
D
Last matches: AC Horsens
04.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Hobro
2
0
W
31.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Kolding IF
1
0
W
16.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hvidovre
1
1
D
09.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hillerød
4
0
W
04.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
1
0
W
21.03.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hvidovre
0
4
L
09.03.26
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
1
3
L
03.02.26
Fri
AC Horsens
FC Fredericia
0
3
L
30.11.25
1.
AC Horsens
Aalborg
0
0
D
23.11.25
1.
AC Horsens
Hillerød
3
1
W
31.10.25
1.
AC Horsens
HB Koge
2
3
L
03.10.25
1.
AC Horsens
Hobro
3
3
D
20.09.25
1.
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
1
0
W
31.08.25
1.
AC Horsens
B 93
1
2
L
09.08.25
1.
AC Horsens
Middelfart
2
0
W
25.07.25
1.
AC Horsens
Kolding IF
2
1
W
19.07.25
1.
AC Horsens
Aarhus Fremad
0
0
D
H2H at home: AC Horsens
21.04.26
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
4
1
W
20.09.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
1
0
W
18.04.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
3
2
W
14.03.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
2
1
W
17.02.24
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
0
0
D
13.03.22
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
0
0
D
04.09.20
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
2
0
W
16.06.20
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
2
2
D
Last matches: Esbjerg
25.05.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hvidovre
4
1
W
16.05.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hillerød
1
1
D
24.04.26
1.
Esbjerg
Lyngby
0
5
L
03.04.26
1.
Esbjerg
Kolding IF
1
1
D
21.03.26
1.
Esbjerg
Aalborg
1
1
D
06.03.26
1.
Esbjerg
HB Koge
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Middelfart
1
2
L
23.01.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Silkeborg
3
1
W
29.11.25
1.
Esbjerg
Hvidovre
3
1
W
21.11.25
1.
Esbjerg
Lyngby
0
2
L
25.10.25
1.
Esbjerg
Aarhus Fremad
1
0
W
04.10.25
1.
Esbjerg
Kolding IF
1
2
L
20.09.25
1.
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
1
L
14.09.25
1.
Esbjerg
Hillerød
0
3
L
24.08.25
1.
Esbjerg
Hobro
0
2
L
15.08.25
1.
Esbjerg
B 93
5
1
W
02.08.25
1.
Esbjerg
Middelfart
1
0
W
H2H away: Esbjerg
21.04.26
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
4
1
L
20.09.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
1
0
L
18.04.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
3
2
L
14.03.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
2
1
L
17.02.24
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
0
0
D
13.03.22
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
0
0
D
04.09.20
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
2
0
L
16.06.20
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
2
2
D

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10 22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round