NIGERIA NPFL
--.--.---- --:--
Umuahia Township Stadium
Abia Warriors
Match Timeline
Ikorodu City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
P. Samson
Abia Warriors
35'
A. Adeoye
Ikorodu City
44'
V. Ugwu
Abia Warriors

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Abia Warriors Win 63.7%
Draw 5.6%
Ikorodu City Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Abia Warriors0.84
Ikorodu City0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Abia Warriors Abia Warriors
WWDLW
28 GF / 26 GA
Ikorodu City Ikorodu City
WLDWL
37 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.09
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
9
BTTS Yes
11
5
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 34 matches
Ikorodu City Ikorodu City 34 matches
Abia Warriors Statistic Ikorodu City
15 Wins 15
7 Draws 10
12 Losses 9
28 Goals For 37
26 Goals Against 30
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
9 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 18
5 Over 2.5 9
0 Over 3.5 5
16 Clean Sheets 18
12 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ikorodu City. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ikorodu City having the stronger overall control. Abia Warriors have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Abia Warriors Analysis

With 52 points from 34 games and a place of 4, Abia Warriors still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 15 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 28:26 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Obioma (8 goals), C. Azubuike (4 goals), S. Megwo (4 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Ikorodu City Analysis

Ikorodu City approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 55 points after 34 outings. With 15 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 37:30, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Arumala (12 goals), T. Oyedokun (4 goals), C. Chidera Oparaocha (3 goals), with creative support from M. Malik (1 assists), O. Dada (1 assists), W. Ojetoye (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses supports the view of a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Abia Warriors won 2 times, Ikorodu City won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Abia Warriors's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
H2H summary: Abia Warriors wins 2, draws 0, Ikorodu City wins 2

Lineups

Abia Warriors
Formation
Ikorodu City
O. Okiemute
O. Okiemute
E. Ogbuagu
E. Ogbuagu
L. Suraju
L. Suraju
F. Abdullahi
F. Abdullahi
P. Samson
P. Samson
G. Innocent
G. Innocent
I. Godwin
I. Godwin
C. Obioma
C. Obioma
K. Adeleke
K. Adeleke
V. Ugwu
V. Ugwu
I. Joseph
I. Joseph
M. Atata
M. Atata
G. Udoh
G. Udoh
M. Olanrewaju
M. Olanrewaju
A. Salawudeen
A. Salawudeen
D. Idoko
D. Idoko
A. Adeoye
A. Adeoye
R. Owolabi
R. Owolabi
T. Oyedokun
T. Oyedokun
A. Ayodeji
A. Ayodeji
F. Salami
F. Salami
J. Arumala
J. Arumala
Abia Warriors 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
O. Okiemute
5
E. Ogbuagu
7
L. Suraju
8
F. Abdullahi
10
P. Samson
⚽ 22'
18
G. Innocent
19
I. Godwin
20
C. Obioma
30
K. Adeleke
32
V. Ugwu
⚽ 44'
37
I. Joseph
Substitutes
35
J. Nmecha
25
A. Somiari
6
S. Asiegbu
27
C. Merpring
13
Y. Hammed
28
O. Osoboh
16
C. Azubuike
33
I. Obot
39
O. Sogo
Ikorodu City 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
34
M. Atata
37
G. Udoh
32
M. Olanrewaju
13
A. Salawudeen
19
D. Idoko
4
A. Adeoye
⚽ 35'
16
R. Owolabi
10
T. Oyedokun
11
A. Ayodeji
26
F. Salami
20
J. Arumala
Substitutes
1
D. Julu
6
E. Mathias
27
E. Ujunwa
25
F. Temitope
28
T. Adebayo
9
A. Moses
A. Tomiwa
K. Briggs
Last matches: Abia Warriors
24.05.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Warri Wolves
1
2
L
10.05.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Kun Khalifat FC
0
2
L
03.05.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Rivers United
0
3
L
11.04.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Bendel Insurance
0
1
L
06.04.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Bayelsa United
1
0
W
29.03.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Enyimba
1
2
L
23.03.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Niger Tornadoes
2
1
W
15.03.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Barau FC
0
2
L
08.03.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Shooting Stars
2
0
W
28.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
El Kanemi Warriors
0
2
L
22.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Kwara United
1
0
W
15.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Remo Stars
1
1
D
08.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
01.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Katsina United
0
2
L
28.01.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Wikki Tourist
1
1
D
25.01.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Nasarawa United
1
2
L
18.01.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Kano Pillars
1
0
W
14.01.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Plateau United
1
1
D
28.12.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Plateau United
1
0
W
21.12.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Warri Wolves
1
0
W
Last matches: Ikorodu City
24.05.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Enugu Rangers
1
2
L
10.05.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Katsina United
1
4
L
05.05.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Wikki Tourist
3
1
W
12.04.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Kano Pillars
3
0
W
06.04.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Plateau United
1
4
L
29.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Warri Wolves
4
3
W
22.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Kun Khalifat FC
2
2
D
16.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Rivers United
1
0
W
08.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Nasarawa United
0
1
L
01.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Bendel Insurance
0
4
L
22.02.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
15.02.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Enyimba
1
0
W
08.02.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Niger Tornadoes
2
0
W
02.02.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Barau FC
0
1
L
29.01.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Shooting Stars
1
0
W
25.01.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
El Kanemi Warriors
0
1
L
18.01.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Kwara United
1
0
W
14.01.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Remo Stars
0
1
L
28.12.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Remo Stars
1
0
W
21.12.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Enugu Rangers
1
2
L
H2H: Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City
19.04.26
H2H
Abia Warriors
Ikorodu City
2
1
W
30.11.25
H2H
Ikorodu City
Abia Warriors
1
0
L
25.05.25
H2H
Ikorodu City
Abia Warriors
3
2
L
22.12.24
H2H
Abia Warriors
Ikorodu City
2
0
W
Last matches: Abia Warriors
10.05.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Kun Khalifat FC
0
2
L
06.04.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Bayelsa United
1
0
W
23.03.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Niger Tornadoes
2
1
W
08.03.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Shooting Stars
2
0
W
22.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Kwara United
1
0
W
08.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
28.01.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Wikki Tourist
1
1
D
25.01.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Nasarawa United
1
2
L
14.01.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Plateau United
1
1
D
21.12.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Warri Wolves
1
0
W
07.12.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Rivers United
1
1
D
23.11.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Bendel Insurance
0
0
D
09.11.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Enyimba
0
0
D
26.10.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Barau FC
2
0
W
12.10.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
El Kanemi Warriors
2
0
W
02.10.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Remo Stars
2
0
W
14.09.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Katsina United
1
0
W
24.08.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Kano Pillars
1
0
W
H2H at home: Abia Warriors
19.04.26
H2H
Abia Warriors
Ikorodu City
2
1
W
22.12.24
H2H
Abia Warriors
Ikorodu City
2
0
W
Last matches: Ikorodu City
10.05.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Katsina United
1
4
L
06.04.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Plateau United
1
4
L
22.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Kun Khalifat FC
2
2
D
08.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Nasarawa United
0
1
L
01.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Bendel Insurance
0
4
L
15.02.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Enyimba
1
0
W
02.02.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Barau FC
0
1
L
25.01.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
El Kanemi Warriors
0
1
L
14.01.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Remo Stars
0
1
L
21.12.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Enugu Rangers
1
2
L
07.12.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Wikki Tourist
0
0
D
24.11.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Kano Pillars
1
2
L
09.11.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Warri Wolves
2
0
W
29.10.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Rivers United
0
0
D
05.10.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
21.09.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Niger Tornadoes
2
4
L
07.09.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Shooting Stars
1
1
D
24.08.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Kwara United
0
0
D
H2H away: Ikorodu City
19.04.26
H2H
Abia Warriors
Ikorodu City
2
1
L
22.12.24
H2H
Abia Warriors
Ikorodu City
2
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 19 11 8 47:27 20 68
W W W W D
2 38 19 10 9 44:31 13 67
W W W L W
3 38 18 6 14 41:40 1 60
L W W W D
4 38 16 10 12 43:39 4 58
L L W L W
5 38 16 8 14 37:34 3 56
L W L W L
6 38 16 7 15 31:34 -3 55
L L L W L
7 37 13 14 10 43:38 5 53
D L W W W
8 38 13 13 12 34:30 4 52
W L W L W
9 37 14 10 13 36:38 -2 52
L W L W L
10 38 15 6 17 37:39 -2 51
L W L W L
11 38 15 5 18 39:40 -1 50
W L L D L
12 38 13 11 14 35:36 -1 50
L W D W D
13 38 13 10 15 44:42 2 49
W L W L W
14 38 13 10 15 42:43 -1 49
W W W D W
15 38 13 10 15 36:41 -5 49
W L W L L
16 38 13 9 16 37:36 1 48
W D D L D
17 38 14 5 19 42:47 -5 47
D W L W L
18 38 13 8 17 30:46 -16 47
L D L L W
19 38 11 10 17 37:42 -5 43
W L L L L
20 38 9 13 16 36:48 -12 40
L L L L W
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation